[bigboydan]

look at all the first year head coaching we have comming into the NFL this year:

Gary Kubiak
Eric Mangini
Rod Marinelli
Brad Childress
Mike McCarthy
Sean Payton
Scott Linehan

i feel there is a big edge in betting the over/unders early in the season. lets face facts here, these rookie head coaches are gonna make some mistakes, so why not take advantage of it

[crackerjack]

Yes, there will be mistakes, but in which direction? O/Us are pretty tough to pick early in the season because there is little information to go on (preseason is a pour indicator). Traditional thinking is that defense is ahead of offense early, but linesmakers account for this thinking. I am going to do a quick study of week one and two O/Us to see if any trends emerge but I think it's best to avoid wagering totals early on...