Well I mean with all of that analysis I just figured you might bet $15 instead of $10 is all I was pointing out
NYG bet I actually pinned for huge value on the ML if bradshaw was in, but without being able to establish the run game g-men can't control the clock as well, and don't play shootout style as well as other teams do. They aren't really at their best when they can't do this, and most of their big wins tend to have been lower scoring so not sure about the NYG pick but maybe it will steam to 8.5 in a parallel universe where you can tease them to +14.5 with something else. I don't see a reason to fade GB anymore, I've tried it twice this year with the chargers and DET, which you know better than anyone with an essay write up that it did not pan out well at all (flags and what not, but rodgers gunna rodgers).
DET is plagued with injuries, and they don't have a good run game without best. Stafford looked very sloppy out there and I think he still might have an injury to his hand so I don't like betting on him. +9 is a lot in a game that you would imagine to be a shootout war, but I haven't seen detroit do much of this since earlier in the year around weeks 1 - 6. Saints secondary is bad so you'd imagine DET's WRs will have a field day but I expect stafford to throw at least one pick this game early on by forcing a small hole on 3rd down and it will all go down hill from there. I understand you see no value in -9 but Saints looked really good last night and this team does close well before entering playoffs as evidenced from the last two years. Everyone is healthy in NOR, and it's the opposite for DET: a.) banged up qb, b.) running back is out, c.) tons of o-line/d-line injuries, d.) secondary is bad, e.) d-line isn't good so sproles will have a field day
You could just wait for g-men to hit 8.5 and tease both of these to +14.5/+14, respectively. GL.