Originally Posted by
Mike Hazard
Excellent analysis billysink. I agree with you on most of your points (some more than the other but heck I have a slightly different approach). So I'm not trying to oppose the ones I feel different about, just to add a few insights.
On GB yards allowed v yards gained. Significant number, more than just the points allowed, but has to adjusted for the defensive TD and return yards they produce on their interceptions. (Also, Bears D could be better than Detroit D if you look at the points they have scored.) Not a significant issue, but Packers D would certainly grade better if the adjustment is made. This doesn't take away the fact that they indeed were awful against TB (and in some other matches as well).
On Detroit defensive front. I cannot really see how KVB and Avril could be overlooked/underrated. They are close to elite pass rushers as you can find. However, as formidable front4 they might have been, Corey Williams, Avril, Suh and KVB are KILLING Lions with their penalties. So your point "if they can stay out of penalties" is a weak one. I don't see how they can.
On a topic that bugs me. Stafford, as you have said, isn't the most consistant QB in the league. Poor decisions, poor vision, hand problem. But, what bugs me the most is that he hasn't seen Dom Capers' style of D. He was injured both times last year, played once in his rook year and was a disaster. He did improve but I'm wondering how will he fare against a D schemes he isn't really used to. What's your take on this?