I say this because their defense has looked just absolutely terrible at times this year (especially last 2 games - giving up 27 points against a mediocre vikings offense starting a rookie and then nearly blowing a 21 point lead against a so so Chargers offense)
I realize they take the ball away still but their defense just doesn't play with the same ferocity as the Green Bay defense of last year. In fact, I would say there's been maybe 2 or 3 games this year where their defense has been very impressive (Atlanta, STL and maybe Chicago)
I think when it comes time for the playoffs - it wouldn't surprise me at all to see Detroit or New Orleans beat this team if they can hold Green bay below 38 points (And if they're able to advance to the superbowl, I wouldn't be surprised at all to see Baltimore beat this team)