1. #1
    JMon
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    Yes, BYE, no BYE angle.. read here.

    This is historical data of how teams play AFTER their bye week. If you want to know how teams do BEFORE their bye week chime in, I will do another segment. Nonetheless, I see nothing but inaccurate info regarding the infamous "bye week" more often how teams think they should perform AFTER their bye week. Further...regarding any trend, system or whatever, streaks happen. Yes, it is good to be on them when they happen, ride, ride, ride, but the key is to know that everything will regress. That is anything will eventually come to an end. That is the problem. One does not know how a streak performs before the streak!

    How do teams perform after their bye week....? (closing lines may differ)

    Since 1990.......................

    Overall: 355-334-13 ATS (51.5%) and 370-331-1 SU (1.3)
    (2011- 8-9-1 ATS)

    Home teams: 189-184-6 ATS (50.6%) and 225-153-1 SU (3.3)
    (2011- 4-4 ATS)

    Road team: 166-150-7 ATS (52.5%) and 145-178 (-1.2)
    (2011- 4-5-1 ATS)

    Dogs: 157-157-7 ATS (50%) and 107-213-1 SU (-4.9)
    (2011- 2-6-1 ATS)

    Favorites: 199-166-1 ATS (53.5%) and 256-107 SU (6.9)
    (2011- 6-3 ATS)

    Division play: 80-89-1 ATS (47.3%) and 118-52 SU (6.3)
    (2011- 1-1 ATS)

    Non-Division play: 111-77-5 ATS (59%) and 138-55 SU (7.3)
    (2011- 5-2 ATS)

    Conference play: (NFC) 88-82-1 ATS (51.8%)
    (2011- 2-1 ATS)

    Conference play: (AFC) 103-84-5 ATS (55%)
    (2011- 4-2 ATS)

    NFC v AFC: 20-23-1 ATS (46.5%)
    (2011- 1-1 ATS)

    AFC v NFC (1991): 25-12-1 ATS (67.5%) (Road team hits 11-4 ATS since 1991..Cincy!)
    (2011- 2-0 ATS)

    ------------------------------------------------------------------


    MIX.....

    Home Favorite: 122-123-4 ATS (49.7%)

    Home Dog: 64-55-2 ATS (53.7%)

    Road Favorites: 69-43-2 ATS (61.6%)

    Road Dogs: 93-102-5 ATS (47.7%)

    -------------------------------------------------------------------

    You have the info.. as you can see "the infamous bye-week" is BS overall. However there are particular situations one can play. Noted above...play on a AFC team after their bye vs. a NFC team or a road favorite after their bye.


    Put this in your back pocket...

    Cheers

  2. #2
    JMon
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    Current streak: Play on undefeated team after their bye are: 18-1 ATS since 2002. But is only 15-13-1 ATS from 2001 to 1990. Hot streak will regress!

  3. #3
    austintx05
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMon View Post
    Current streak: Play on undefeated team after their bye are: 18-1 ATS since 2002. But is only 15-13-1 ATS from 2001 to 1990. Hot streak will regress!
    good information and thanks for the post. Based on this info you would play GB -5.5?

  4. #4
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by austintx05 View Post
    good information and thanks for the post. Based on this info you would play GB -5.5?

    Yes, but treading lightly. Flat bet..... system bet based systematically on road favs and/or undefeated road favs off a bye.

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