1. #1
    TheSportsAnalyst
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    The Sports Analyst's 2011 NFL Season Long Thread

    This is my season long thread.

    As usual I'll post my BIG, Regular and small plays.
    European odds and european way of betting (same amount of money on every play, even if is a -money bet).


    After a 3-4 (+$140 / 20.00% ROI) NCAAF Saturday, I'm ready to NFL Sunday.


    See you later!

  2. #2
    TheSportsAnalyst
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    Ok, here we are.

    This is the early games card.


    BIG PLAYS (x3)




    REGULAR PLAYS (x2)

    ML / Jacksonville Jaguars vs Pittsburgh Steelers
    ML / Indianapolis Colts vs Cincinnati Bengals


    SMALL PLAYS (x1)

    ATS / Jacksonville Jaguars (+12.5) vs Pittsburgh Steelers
    ATS / Indianapolis Colts (+6.5) vs Cincinnati Bengals
    ATS / Buffalo Bills (+3) vs New York Giants
    OU / Buffalo Bills/New York Giants (O 50)


    Plus 2 Special Plays that I like very very much. I put 4 Units on them.

    ATS / San Francisco 49ers (+4) vs Detroit Lions
    ATS / Carolina Panthers (+4) vs Atlanta Falcons



    *NOTICE:* Yes, I'm on different sides in ML and ATS in Cincy game. It's my way of playing so no mistakes in the card.

  3. #3
    TheSportsAnalyst
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    Added (in red) another special play.


    BIG PLAYS (x3)




    REGULAR PLAYS (x2)

    ML / Jacksonville Jaguars vs Pittsburgh Steelers
    ML / Indianapolis Colts vs Cincinnati Bengals


    SMALL PLAYS (x1)

    ATS / Jacksonville Jaguars (+12.5) vs Pittsburgh Steelers
    ATS / Indianapolis Colts (+6.5) vs Cincinnati Bengals
    ATS / Buffalo Bills (+3) vs New York Giants
    OU / Buffalo Bills/New York Giants (O 50)


    Plus 2 Special Plays that I like very very much. I put 4 Units on them.

    ATS / San Francisco 49ers (+4) vs Detroit Lions
    ATS / Carolina Panthers (+4) vs Atlanta Falcons
    ATS / Philadelphia Eagles (-3) vs Washington Redskins


    See you for late games.

  4. #4
    TheSportsAnalyst
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    Added (in red) late games.


    BIG PLAYS (x3)

    ATS / New Orleans Saints (-6) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers


    REGULAR PLAYS (x2)

    ML / Jacksonville Jaguars vs Pittsburgh Steelers
    ML / Indianapolis Colts vs Cincinnati Bengals
    ML / Cleveland Browns vs Oakland Raiders


    SMALL PLAYS (x1)

    ATS / Jacksonville Jaguars (+12.5) vs Pittsburgh Steelers
    ATS / Indianapolis Colts (+6.5) vs Cincinnati Bengals
    ATS / Buffalo Bills (+3) vs New York Giants
    OU / Buffalo Bills/New York Giants (O 50)
    ATS / Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens (-7)
    ATS / Cleveland Browns vs Oakland Raiders (-6.5)
    ATS / Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots (-6)
    OU / Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots (O 55.5)


    Plus 2 Special Plays that I like very very much. I put 4 Units on them.

    ATS / San Francisco 49ers (+4) vs Detroit Lions
    ATS / Carolina Panthers (+4) vs Atlanta Falcons
    ATS / Philadelphia Eagles (-3) vs Washington Redskins


    See you for late games.

  5. #5
    TheSportsAnalyst
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    SPECIAL PLAYS (x4)
    2 Wins - 1 Loss

    ATS / San Francisco 49ers (+4)
    vs Detroit Lions WIN
    ATS / Carolina Panthers (+4) vs Atlanta Falcons LOSS
    ATS / Philadelphia Eagles (-3) vs Washington Redskins WIN


    BIG PLAYS (x3)
    0 Wins - 1 Loss


    ATS / New Orleans Saints (-6) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers LOSS


    REGULAR PLAYS (x2)
    2 Wins - 1 Loss
    ML / Jacksonville Jaguars vs Pittsburgh Steelers LOSS
    ML / Indianapolis Colts vs Cincinnati Bengals WIN
    ML / Cleveland Browns vs Oakland Raiders WIN


    SMALL PLAYS (x1)
    4 Wins - 3 Loss
    ATS / Jacksonville Jaguars (+12.5) vs Pittsburgh Steelers WIN
    ATS / Indianapolis Colts (+6.5) vs Cincinnati Bengals LOSS
    ATS / Buffalo Bills (+3) vs New York Giants PUSH
    OU / Buffalo Bills/New York Giants (O 50) WIN
    ATS / Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens (-7)WIN
    ATS / Cleveland Browns vs Oakland Raiders (-6.5) WIN
    ATS / Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots (-6) LOSS
    OU / Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots (O 55.5) LOSS



    Week 6 Balance:
    +3.50 Units / 28.00 Staked (+ 12.50% ROI)



    10 Minutes to Sunday Night Football Pick.

  6. #6
    TheSportsAnalyst
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    Here are my picks for SNF. Final picks for today.


    BIG PLAYS (x3)

    ATS / Minnesota Vikings (+1) vs Chicago Bears


    SMALL PLAYS (x1)

    ML / Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears



    See you tomorrow and BOL all!

  7. #7
    TheSportsAnalyst
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    After a rough Sunday Night this is my pick for MNF.



    SMALL PLAYS (x1)

    ML / Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets



    See you tomorrow with updated and final week 6 balance.

  8. #8
    TheSportsAnalyst
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    Week 6 Balance (FINAL):
    -0.22 Units / 33.00 Staked (-0.67% ROI)


    Not a good week in NFL but at least I've not given too much money to the book.

    Anyway NCAAF made my week profitable, so I'm pretty satisfied of my first full week of picks on SBRForum.


    A quick summary of upcoming key dates:

    Wednesday 10/19 MLB World Series Special Picks (YTD Not Started Yet)
    Thursday 10/20 NCAAF Week 8 Picks (YTD +1.40) [Probably no picks on this evening Arkansas State game]
    Sunday 10/23 NFL Week 7 Picks (YTD -0.22)


    I'm also working on NHL but I've not enough data to start with my season picks. I'll open a new thread in NHL section when it's all ready.

  9. #9
    TheSportsAnalyst
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    After a beautiful Saturday Night on College Football I'm ready to rock in NFL!

    Here are my today picks.
    (Updates in red).


    BIG PLAYS (x3)

    ATS / Atlanta Falcons vs Detroit Lions (-3.5)

    REGULAR PLAYS (x2)

    ATS /Chicago Bears (-1) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    ATS / Washington Redskins vs Carolina Panthers (-1)


    SMALL PLAYS (x1)

  10. #10
    TheSportsAnalyst
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    Here are my today picks.
    (Updates in red).


    BIG PLAYS (x3)

    ATS / Atlanta Falcons vs Detroit Lions (-3.5)


    REGULAR PLAYS (x2)

    ATS /Chicago Bears (-1) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    ATS / Washington Redskins vs Carolina Panthers (-1)

    ATS / Kansas City Chiefs (+3.5) vs Oakland Raiders


    SMALL PLAYS (x1)

    ATS / Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals (+3.5)
    OU / Pittsburgh Steelers/Arizona Cardinals (U 44.5)

  11. #11
    TheSportsAnalyst
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    Here are my today picks.
    (Updates in red).


    BIG PLAYS (x3)

    ATS / Atlanta Falcons vs Detroit Lions (-3.5)
    ATS / Green Bay Packers (-9.5) vs Minnesota Vikings


    REGULAR PLAYS (x2)

    ATS /Chicago Bears (-1) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    ATS / Washington Redskins vs Carolina Panthers (-1)

    ATS / Kansas City Chiefs (+3.5) vs Oakland Raiders


    SMALL PLAYS (x1)

    ATS / Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals (+3.5)
    OU / Pittsburgh Steelers/Arizona Cardinals (U 44.5)

  12. #12
    TheSportsAnalyst
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    Here are my today picks.
    (Updates in red).


    BIG PLAYS (x3)

    ATS / Atlanta Falcons vs Detroit Lions (-3.5)
    ATS / Green Bay Packers (-9.5) vs Minnesota Vikings


    REGULAR PLAYS (x2)

    ATS /Chicago Bears (-1) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    ATS / Washington Redskins vs Carolina Panthers (-1)

    ATS / Kansas City Chiefs (+3.5) vs Oakland Raiders


    SMALL PLAYS (x1)

    ATS / Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals (+3.5)
    OU / Pittsburgh Steelers/Arizona Cardinals (U 44.5)
    OU /
    Indianapolis Colts/New Orleans Saints (O 47.5)


    Good night.

  13. #13
    TheSportsAnalyst
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    Here is my pick for tonight MNF.


    SMALL PLAYS (x1)

    ATS / Baltimore Ravens vs Jacksonville Jaguars (+10)


    GL all!

  14. #14
    TheSportsAnalyst
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    BIG PLAYS (x3)

    ATS / Atlanta Falcons vs Detroit Lions (-3.5) LOSS
    ATS / Green Bay Packers (-9.5) vs Minnesota Vikings LOSS


    REGULAR PLAYS (x2)

    ATS /Chicago Bears (-1) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers WIN
    ATS / Washington Redskins vs Carolina Panthers (-1)
    WIN
    ATS / Kansas City Chiefs (+3.5) vs Oakland Raiders WIN


    SMALL PLAYS (x1)

    ATS / Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals (+3.5) LOSS
    OU / Pittsburgh Steelers/Arizona Cardinals (U 44.5) LOSS
    OU /
    Indianapolis Colts/New Orleans Saints (O 47.5) WIN
    ATS /
    Baltimore Ravens vs Jacksonville Jaguars (+10) WIN


    Week 7 Balance (FINAL):
    -1.25 Units / 16.00 Staked (-7.81% ROI)


    Year-to-Date Balance:
    -1.47 Units / 49.00 Staked (-3.00% ROI)



    Waiting week 8 to stop these (not so much) negative trends and to start making money as in NCAA Football.

    See you on Sunday for next NFL Picks.

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