Assuming tonight's game is a coinflip that comes down to a penalty or turnover like most NFL games, there were only about 4 sides in week 2 that you could have bet with a clear cut winning edge. Now before you stat geeks come in here with your 2-6% edge crap, I'm talking clear cut winning edge for the rec bettor.
So about 25% of the games were even beatable this week, and you had to be on the right side on top of that. Take into account the juice and you now see why the books bend people over year after year.
Lets look at the games that were clear cut winners:
Titans +5.5
We all noticed the line was fishy, and got buried anyways... Congrats to those who thought clearly this week and took Tenn. Match Ups are everything in football, never forget this. And it doesn't hurt that the Titans now have a better QB than the Ravens. Flacco just doesn't have what it takes to be a top tier NFL QB...
Lions -9
The Chiefs are a mess, when you get blown out by the Bills and then the Lions (no matter how good they are this year) you are far from being a competitive NFL team. Maybe they are just a little bit behind other teams as far as getting ready for the season goes... or Maybe not. The cat is out of the bag as they are 14.5 point underdogs to the Chargers this week.
Steelers -14
Many saw the Steelers covering this week and it was pretty clear they were just not in "football shape" or ready for the Ravens in week 1. Even after this convincing win you still have to wonder if the stucco is starting to crack.
Jets -9
Even with the QB I despise most, the Jets continue to prove they are one Player away from winning the Superbowl. They are the best all around team in football if you look at all phases of the game including coaching. (Except of course at QB)
So there you have it boys, these are the 4 plays this past week that were clear cut winners. (maybe Saints make 5) Keep this in mind when you make your plays this week. You should be looking for 1 or 2 Solid plays and be happy because most of these games are coin flips that come down to one of the leagues new stupid penalties or a turnover.
Who will be the sides with a clear cut winning edge this week?
For the record, I like these two...
Broncos +7
Dolphins ML
Good Luck...
P.S. I lean under 44 in the game tonight...