1-2-5 means 1 unit on the "C" games which are just better then breaking even , 2 units aon the "B" games which are NORMALLY 60% and 5 units on the "A" games which still seem to be gold. I've noticed that most "A" games are home favorites, teams that WERE having trouble but have righted the ship against teams that have been HOT but something might be wrong.
Chicago has covered their last 5 games while Oakland 3 and 4 weeks ago lost but 33 and 21ish to the spread but have since then righted the ship.
To be honest this game worries me a little because of the injury. Normally I'll PLAY the team with the injured "star" because stars are normally overrated.
BTW - I would not tell anyone to play 5 units - I do because over the years I have won enough on those games to justify losing 5 units if that happens.
visualrealism - below -3.5 and I get a little worried - when the line moves THAT much there is a lot of smart money moving the line.
Yea - I've never really done a BIG study on what happens with the final lines - the system always takes whatever the line was on Wednesdays so basing a decision on ending lines would be sort of outside the box. Heck I got -5 and STILL like the play!
An old guy from LV once told me that a person should never try to middle anything. He says if you thought the game was good enough to bet on it don't try to get fancy. You pick a game because you feel it'll win by a LOT, not because you feel you have a 1 point edge.
SADLY - I can not count the "A" game as a victory. I had -5 on Wednesday and that is what I have to go on. I suspect 95% of you guys won so that's good.
A lot of games this week REALLY had big line moves! Houston went from -3.5 to -7. sheesh!
Last edited by Grinder12000; 11-28-11 at 09:05 PM.
Couch - if I was a gambling man I would say probably not as then tend to be in the middle part of the season. The theory of the system is that all teams collective point spreads always try to come back to the middle. Teams getting ROCKED tend to get better, HOT teams tend to cool off. By this time people know what teams can do and the linemakers know how to gauge the public. There re no real surprises.
BUT - you never know! Look at Denver, covered 6 of their last 7 games.
"A" games are typically GOOD teams, playing bad, at home as Favs. I have not looked at the schedule yet!
Yea - those "As" are gold! Overall not the best year but when a BAD year can hit 52% . . . . But even in a BAD year, betting like a monkey, flat betting and only down 0.1 units! The upside is so much greater then the down side.
Looking ahead - NOT PICKS yet
Dallas C maybe
Carolina - C maybe
Indy - C Maybe
Kansas City - anti Bridgejumper - not many plays for Home Dogs of +14 but they seem to LOSE ATS 57% of the time
Minnesota - C maybe
St. Louis - C maybe
in 20 years the system averages 1.9 games on it's last week - this is unheard of - we shall see on Wednesday.
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if i lose your system still works.. because i will jump off a bridge . 
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