[TheKnuckleballer]

Many of you may have followed my posts over the last couple of seasons, but for those of you that have no clue what I'm talking about I have provided some background info. In summary, my passion for sports has led me to create a mathematical system designed to extrapolate value in Vegas’ lines. The system enables me to eliminate the lines that have little to any value and exploit the lines with a high probability of winning. Also, the system allows me to have an objective opinion and it mitigates the human element of handicapping. You must remember that this is a marathon not a sprint. My system gets stronger and stronger as the season wears on, because there is more and more relevant data to utilize.

Last year was tough. We finished the College Football season down 4.3 Units and the NFL season down 1.4 Units. Don't let this turn you away from following this thread. My system is designed to win over the long haul. The 2009-2010 College Football season ended up 38.4 Units, while the 2009-2010 NFL season added another 1.3 Units. Meaning that over the last two years we are up a total of 34 Units in College Football and NFL combined. This is not a magic formula, but it is consistent. Plus, unlike other handicappers that come and go, I am here to stay and I won't hide after a bad week, month, or year. I hope you enjoy the picks, and I look forward to hearing your comments. Good luck!!

[ClimbSomeRocks]

Sounds great. Best of luck to you, I'll be watching this thread.

[TheKnuckleballer]

What could be better than the start of the NFL season? We have the defending Super Bowl Champion Packers squaring off against the Saints. Per my calculations, this game figures to be close throughout with less scoring than the experts predict. odds makers have the total for this game at 47.5, but my system has the total at 41. Thus, you should take the under and watch two of the top 5 defenses from last season slug it out. In the end, I have the Packers edging out the Saints by the score of 21-19. Good luck and enjoy the pick!

**2 Unit Pick**
Packers/Saints Under 47.5

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (0-1-0) -2.2 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (0-0) 0 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (0-1) -2.2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (0-0) 0 Units

Total Unit Based Record (0-2.2-0) -2.2 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (0.00%)

Week 1 in the NFL is always fun. I have three 2 Unit Picks and four 1 Unit Picks. The public is pounding the Browns tomorrow, but my system has this game capped at pickem with a total of 41, meaning that neither team has a significant advantage. Thus, you should take the Bengals at +7 and the Over at 35. Look for Andy Dalton to shock oddsmakers and fans alike tomorrow with a strong performance. In my opinion, the key stat at the end of this game will be 3rd down conversion %. If the Bengals can conver 40%+ on 3rd down, they will cover and likely win this game. Good luck and enjoy tomorrow's action!

**2 Unit Picks**
Bengals +7
Titans/Jaguars Over 37
Seahawks/49ers Over 38

*1 Unit Picks*
Bengals/Browns Over 35
Vikings +8.5
Seahawks +5
Cowboys/Jets Over 40.5

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (5-3-0) 1.5 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (0-0) 0 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (2-2) -.4 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (3-1) 1.9 Units

Total Unit Based Record (7-5.5-0) 1.5 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (56.00%)

Great start to the NFL season yesterday! Tonight, I have the Raiders pulling off the "upset" over the Broncos. My system has the Raiders winning this game by the score of 27-23 and outgaining the Broncos by about 40 yards. Despite the predicted score and yardage advantage this is still just a 2 Unit pick due to nature of the line movement, early season uncertainties, etc... Good luck and enjoy the games!!

**2 Unit Pick**
Raiders +3

*1 Unit Pick*
Raiders/Broncos Over 41.5

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (7-3-0) 4.5 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (0-0) 0 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (3-2) 1.6 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (4-1) 2.9 Units

Total Unit Based Record (10-5.5-0) 1.5 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (64.52%)

Great start to the NFL season. Hopefully we can get back on track in College Football and keep the momentum going in the NFL. Remember this is a Marathon not a sprint. Don't get too excited about a good week and don't fret over a bad week. We are looking for long term success. Good luck and have a great week!

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (7-3-0) 4.5 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (0-0) 0 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (3-2) 1.6 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (4-1) 2.9 Units

Total Unit Based Record (10-5.5-0) 1.5 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (64.52%)

My system got off to a hot start last week, and I am looking for more of the same in Week 2. Also, we had a strong Week 3 in College Football (check it out in the College Football forum). This week, we will be cheering for several traveling underdogs. In fact, I have the Raiders and Bengals both winning outright. Vegas has the Raiders at +4, but my system has the Raiders at -5.5. Similarly, Vegas has the Bengals at +3.5, while my system has the Bengals at -1.5. This is definitely a strong Week 2 card filled with value. Good luck and enjoy the football!

***3 Unit Picks***
Jaguars +9
Bears +7
Packers/Panthers Under 44.5
Bengals +3.5

**2 Unit Picks**
Seahawks +15
Raiders +4
Bears/Saints Under 47
Chiefs +9

*1 Unit Picks*
Jaguars/Jets Over 39
Bengals/Broncos Over 40

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (11-9-0) -2.9 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (1-3) -6.9 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (5-4) 1.2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (5-2) 2.8 Units

Total Unit Based Record (18-20.9-0) -2.9 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (46.27%)

Yesterday, was rough, but my system has a 2 Unit Pick for tonight's game. I have this game capped at Rams +2.5 with a total of 42.5. By waiting we were able to see the line move to Rams +7. Statistically speaking the key to this game will likely be the Rams ability to slow down the Giants rushing attack. Last season, the Giants averaged 4.58 yards per rush. This is a big question mark, but what better stage to find out the answer than on Monday Night Football. Look for a great game that is decided by less than a field goal. Good luck and enjoy the action!

**2 Unit Pick**
Rams +7

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (11-10-0) -5.1 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (1-3) -6.9 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (5-5) -1 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (5-2) 2.8 Units

Total Unit Based Record (18-23.1-0) -5.1 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (43.80%)

We stumbled a little last week in the NFL, but we are ready to bounce back with a strong Week 3 performance. I have four 3 Unit Picks on tap today. The lines may not be pretty, but they are full of value. The Panthers are overvalued due to "Cam Newton Effect" that has swept through the NFL. The Jags running game and the Panthers lack of a running defense will be the key to the Jags covering and winning this game. The Jags are averaging 3.72 yards per rush, while the Panthers are allowing 4.85 yards per rush. My system has this game capped at Jags -4. Good luck and enjoy today's action!

***3 Unit Picks***
Jaguars +3
Giants +8.5
Chiefs +14
Colts +10.5

**2 Unit Picks**
Texans/Saints Under 52
Packers/Bears Under 45

*1 Unit Picks*
Jets/Raiders Over 41
Colts/Steelers Over 39.5

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (17-12-0) 2.4 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (4-4) -1.2 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (6-6) -1.2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (7-2) Units

Total Unit Based Record (31-28.6-0) 2.4 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (52.01%)

My system doesn’t have any picks for tonight. There is no value in the spread or total of this game. Fortunately, we had a great Sunday, which makes sitting on the sidelines seem a little more enjoyable. We went 6-2 picking up 7.5 Units. Now it’s time to start preparing for another big weekend. Good luck and enjoy tonight’s action!

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (17-12-0) 2.4 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (4-4) -1.2 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (6-6) -1.2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (7-2) Units

Total Unit Based Record (31-28.6-0) 2.4 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (52.01%)

After another great Saturday of College Football, my system is hitting on all cylinders. There is limited value on today's card, so we must pick our spots. In fact, my system has produced just one 3 Unit Pick today. According to my system, the fair value line for the Broncos game is at +8, so you should take the Broncos at +12. Contrary to public assumption, the Broncos are a better defensive team than the Packers on 3rd down, allowing opponents to convert just 35% of their 3rd down chances. They must continue this trend in order to keep Aaron Rodgers sitting on the bench. Good luck and enjoy the action!

***3 Unit Pick***
Broncos +12

**2 Unit Picks**
Bengals +3
Chiefs +3

*1 Unit Picks*
Lions +2.5
49ers +9.5
Steelers +3.5
Falcons/Seahawks Over 38.5
Giants -1

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (23-14-0) 6 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (4-5) -4.5 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (8-6) 2.8 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (11-3) 7.7 Units

Total Unit Based Record (39-33-0) 6 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (54.17%)

Yesterday was fun. We lost our 3 Unit Pick, but going 6-2 overall is never a bad thing. Tonight, I have two 1 Unit Picks. Will the Colts pick up their first win of the season? Maybe, but it is definitely likely that they will cover the 10 point spread. My system has this game capped at Bucs -1 with a total of 45.5. Definitely some value in both the spread and the total, but the consensus is preventing either of these plays from being anything more than a 1 Unit Pick. Good luck and enjoy the action!

*1 Unit Picks*
Colts +10
Colts/Bucs Over 40

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (25-14-0) 8 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (4-5) -4.5 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (8-6) 2.8 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (13-3) 9.7 Units

Total Unit Based Record (41-33-0) 8 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (55.41%)

Today's card does not contain much value. I have four picks, two of which are 2 Unit Picks. My system has the Bills winning by 4-5 points and the Cardinals winning by 2-3 points. Take advantage of these bad lines and enjoy the games!!

**2 Unit Picks**
Bills +3
Cardinals +3.5

*1 Unit Picks*
Bengals -2.5
Titans +3.5

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (27-16-0) 7.7 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (4-5) -4.5 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (9-7) 2.6 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (14-4) 9.6 Units

Total Unit Based Record (44-36.3-0) 7.7 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (54.79%)

Sorry for not posting sooner. No picks earlier today due to a lack of time to run all of the numbers. Either way, I have the Vikings winning tonight's game by a field goal. Enjoy the game and take the points!

***3 Unit Pick***
Vikings +2

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (27-17-0) 4.4 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (4-6) -7.8 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (9-7) 2.6 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (14-4) 9.6 Units

Total Unit Based Record (44-39.6-0) 4.4 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (52.63%)

Are you ready for some football? I have just three picks today. Today's card is tight and contains very little value. In fact, I have just one 3 Unit Pick. My system has the fair value line of the Sunday Night game at Saints -7.5 with a total of 49.5. Take the points and watch for the Colts ground game to keep it "close." The Saints are giving up an average of 5.12 yards per rush this season. Meanwhile, fantasy owners should look to put Brees in their lineup if they haven't already. The Colts have allowed opposing quarterbacks an average QB rating of 102.58. Should be a good game, but I would strongly encourage taking the points. Best wishes!

***3 Unit Pick***
Colts +13.5

**2 Unit Pick**
Rams +14

*1 Unit Pick*
Raiders -3.5

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (27-20-0) -2.2 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (4-7) -11.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (9-8) .4 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (14-5) 8.5 Units

Total Unit Based Record (44-46.2-0) -2.2 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (48.78%)

My system is cold as ice, but I will continue to plug and chug until it comes out of this funk. It is only a matter of time until we get back on track with a string of winning weeks. The public loves the Giants today, because they are playing the woeful Dolphins. Fade the public on this pick and take the Dolphins at +9.5. My system has this game capped at Giants -5.5. Good luck and enjoy today's games!

***3 Unit Pick***
Dolphins +9.5

**2 Unit Pick**
Patriots/Steelers Under 52.5

*1 Unit Picks*
Cowboys +3
Lions/Broncos Over 42.5

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (30-21-0) 2.7 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (5-7) -8.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (10-8) 2.4 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (15-6) 8.4 Units

Total Unit Based Record (50-47.3-0) 2.7 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (51.39%)

Last week, we went 3-1 and put ourselves back in the black this season. Today, my system has six picks on tap. Look for Seattle to keep it close against Dallas today. My system has this game capped at Dallas -3.5 with a total of 42. Take the Seahawks at +11 and watch for them to keep it within a touchdown. The Cowboys inability to stop teams on 3rd down will hurt them today and allow the Seahawks to win the all important 3rd down battle. The Cowboys will likely walk away with a "W", but 11 points is too much in this matchup. Good luck and enjoy today's action!

***3 Unit Pick***
Seahawks +11

**2 Unit Picks**
Browns +10.5
Ravens +3.5

*1 Unit Picks*
Bengals +2.5
Broncos/Raiders Over 42.5
Giants +9.5

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (35-22-0) 8.5 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (6-7) -5.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (11-9) 2.2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (18-6) 11.4 Units

Total Unit Based Record (58-49.5-0) 8.5 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (53.95%)

After a 5-1 Sunday, I have one small pick tonight. My system has tonight's game capped at Eagles -1 with a total of 46.5. Several factors are preventing this from becoming a multi-unit pick, but I would encourage you to take the Bears at +8. Then, sit back and enjoy some hard hitting Monday Night Football. Will it compare to last nights game? Doubtful, but it should be fun. Good luck!

*1 Unit Pick*
Bears +8

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (36-22-0) 9.5 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (6-7) -5.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (11-9) 2.2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (19-6) 12.4 Units

Total Unit Based Record (59-49.5-0) 9.5 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (54.38%)

Last weekend was a lot of fun. We went 6-1 in the NFL and 13-5 in College Football. Tonight, my system has the Raiders v. Chargers game capped at Chargers -1.5 with a total of 50.5. Take the Raiders at +7 and enjoy the game. Good luck!

**2 Unit Pick**
Raiders +7

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (37-22-0) 11.5 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (6-7) -5.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (12-9) 4.2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (19-6) 12.4 Units

Total Unit Based Record (61-49.5-0) 11.5 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (55.20%)

Sunday's card is providing very little value. Thus, I have just one 2 Unit Pick and four 1 Unit Picks. Can we get a clean sweep in the NFL this week? Hopefully. My system has the Steelers v. Bengals game capped at Bengals -1.5. Take the points and look for the Bengals to pull off the upset. The Steelers are coming off of an emotional Week 9 loss against the Ravens, and will be traveling into a hostile environment to play against an undervalued Bengals team. In fact, my Power Rankings have the Bengals ranked 6th and the Steelers ranked 20th. Good luck!

**2 Unit Pick**
Bengals +4

*1 Unit Picks*
Broncos +3
Bills +5.5
Cardinals +15
Lions +2.5

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (39-25-0) 9.1 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (6-7) -5.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (12-10) 2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (21-8) 12.2 Units

Total Unit Based Record (63-53.9-0) 9.1 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (53.89%)

Tonight, I have my largest NFL pick of the season. My system has tonight's game capped at Packers -7.5 with a total of 51.5. The underdog is 18-7 in the last 25 matchups between these teams. Also, only 2 of the last 10 games between these teams was decided by 13 or more points. Plus, the Vikings have had an extra week to prepare for this Division rivalry game. Look for the Vikings to keep this game within 10 points and come up with a nice cover for us tonight. Good luck and enjoy the MNF!

*****5 Unit Pick*****
Vikings +13

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (39-26-0) 3.6 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (6-7) -5.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (12-10) 2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (21-8) 12.2 Units

Total Unit Based Record (63-59.4-0) 3.6 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (51.47%)

Well, my system was way off on on Monday. Time to bounce back with a strong slate of Week 11 picks. This week's lines are pretty tight. I have nothing stronger than some 2 Unit Picks on tap. Good luck and enjoy the action!

**2 Unit Picks**
Seahawks +3
Titans +7
Eagles +5.5

*1 Unit Picks*
Bills +3
Raiders +1.5
Bengals +6.5

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (43-28-0) 8.4 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (6-7) -5.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (15-10) 8 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (22-10) 11 Units

Total Unit Based Record (70-61.6-0) 8.4 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (53.19%)

My system was 4-2 yesterday, and it has a 2 Unit Pick on tap tonight. Should the Patriots be 16.5 point favorites? No! My system has this game capped at Patriots -8 with a total of 45.5. Take the Chiefs and look for them to keep it closer than the "experts" think. Good luck!

**2 Unit Pick**
Chiefs +16.5

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (43-29-0) 6.2 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (6-7) -5.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (15-11) 5.8 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (22-10) 11 Units

Total Unit Based Record (70-63.8-0) 6.2 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (52.32%)

I have two small picks on tap for Turkey Day. First, my system has the Dolphins v. Cowboys game capped at Cowboys -2 with a total of 41.5. Second, my system has the 49ers v. Ravens game capped at 49ers -1.5 with a total of 41.5. Thus, you should look to take the underdogs in each game. Good luck and have a great Thanksgiving!

*1 Unit Picks*
Dolphins +7
49ers +3.5

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (44-30-0) 6.1 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (6-7) -5.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (15-11) 5.8 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (23-11) 10.9 Units

Total Unit Based Record (71-64.9-0) 6.2 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (52.24%)

Sunday's card offers very little value. I have just one 2 Unit Pick on tap. My system has the Vikings v. Falcons game capped at Falcons -4.5 with a total of 46. Take the underdog and have a wonderful Sunday!

**2 Unit Pick**
Vikings +9.5

*1 Unit Picks*
Cardinals +2.5
Bills +9.5
Bears +3
Broncos +5.5

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (47-32-0) 5.8 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (6-7) -5.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (15-12) 3.6 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (26-12) 12.8 Units

Total Unit Based Record (74-68.2-0) 5.8 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (52.04%)

The lines are tight this week, but my system has five picks on tap. The Broncos defense has looked impressive the last few weeks, while their offense has struggled to put up a lot of points. The public loves the Under in this game at 37, but my system has the total for the Broncos v. Vikings game capped at 45. Take the Over and enjoy watching Tebow put up some points. Good luck!

**2 Unit Picks**
Texans +1
Broncos/Vikings Over 37
Colts +22

*1 Unit Picks*
Bengals +7
Lions +8.5

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (50-34-0) 9.6 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (6-7) -5.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (18-12) 9.6 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (26-14) 10.6 Units

Total Unit Based Record (80-70.4-0) 9.6 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (53.19%)

Week 14 is upon us, and I have one pick on tap for Thursday Night Football. The Steelers are favored by 14 points against the Browns, but my system has the Steelers winning by just 6 points. Per my rankings, both offenses are relatively inefficient, while both defenses are relatively effective. Expect a hard hitting defensive battle that favors the underdog. Take the points and enjoy the game. Good luck!

**2 Unit Pick**
Browns +14

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (51-34-0) 11.6 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (6-7) -5.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (19-12) 11.6 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (26-14) 10.6 Units

Total Unit Based Record (82-70.4-0) 11.6 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (53.81%)

My system is heating up, and I have four picks on tap for Sunday. Can Tebow keep winning? My system has the Bears v. Broncos game capped at Bears -3.5 with a total of 45.5. Take the Bears and the Over. Good luck and enjoy the games!

***3 Unit Pick***
Bears +3

**2 Unit Picks**
Bears/Broncos Over 35.5
Bills +8

*1 Unit Pick*
Texans +2.5

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (52-36-1) 7.9 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (6-7-1) -5.4 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (19-14) 7.2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (27-14) 11.6 Units

Total Unit Based Record (83-74.8-.3) 7.9 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (52.50%)

Today, I have a plethora of picks. The Giants picked up a much needed victory last week against the Cowboys, but I expect a mild hangover as they face the Redskins today. Helu has reinvigorated this Redskins team. My system has the Giants winning by less than a field goal. Take the Redskins at +6 and enjoy the game. Good luck!

***3 Unit Pick***
Redskins +6

**2 Unit Picks**
Dolphins +2
Seahawks/Bears Over 35
Browns +6.5

*1 Unit Picks*
Lions -1
Jets +3

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (56-37-2) 15.7 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (7-7-1) -2.4 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (22-14) 13.2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (27-15-1) 10.4 Units

Total Unit Based Record (92-75.9-.4) 15.7 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (54.66%)

Week 15 was a lot of fun. My system has tonight's game capped at Texans -10.5 with a total of 42.5. Take the Texans at -7 and enjoy the game!

*1 Unit Pick*
Texans -7

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (56-38-2) 14.6 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (7-7-1) -2.4 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (22-14) 13.2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (27-16-1) 9.3 Units

Total Unit Based Record (92-77-.4) 14.6 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (54.31%)

Merry Christmas! I have four Christmas Eve picks on tap. My system has the Browns v. Ravens game capped at Ravens -6.5 with a total of 37. Take the Browns at +12 and enjoy the games. Good luck!

***3 Unit Pick***
Browns +12

*1 Unit Picks*
Dolphins +9
Vikings +7
Jaguars +7.5

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (60-38-2) 20.6 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (8-7-1) .6 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (22-14) 13.2 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (30-16-1) 12.3 Units

Total Unit Based Record (98-77-.4) 20.6 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (55.87%)

I hope everyone had a wonderful Christmas! Saturday was full of winners, and I hope to continue that trend tonight with a 2 Unit Pick. My system has the Saints at -3. Take the points and watch the Falcons keep this game closer than the "experts" think. Good luck!

**2 Unit Pick**
Falcons +7

[DOMINATER]

knuckles I don't get it I hope you have a day job. If I am correct your a little over half and half. I don't want to give you the bad news , picking out of a hat will pretty much give you the same response. I havebeen around this all my life it goes back 3 generations in my family. They were books and bankers for the old crews on the east coast. They created what today is the vig or juice .Istudied these men just like you study in school, I learnedenough to write several books. The first and simpliest rule of any kind of wagering is where there are no patterns there can be no system . Gambling is a form of trigonometry and calculus.These systems only account probability which will never give us what we want. I am sure your efforts are notible, but it is impossible to be constant thus you will never score higher than a game of chance which interesting a little over 50 percent. .I will be your biggest fan when your hitting over 85 percent . I was a student a long time ago and math was my minor best of luck.

[TheKnuckleballer]

Overall Record (60-39-2) 18.4 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (8-7-1) .6 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (22-15) 11 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (30-16-1) 12.3 Units

Total Unit Based Record (98-79.2-.4) 18.4 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (55.18%)

Thanks for the kind words following a 4-2 week in the NFL. This week, I have a plethora of 1 Unit Picks. No time for write ups. Good luck!

***3 Unit Picks***
Bucs +13
Cowboys +3

*1 Unit Picks*
Redskins +9.5
Lions/Packers Over 45
Packers +3
Bills +11.5
Texans +3
Bears/Vikings Over 41
Chargers +3

[BoutDemCowboys]

Eagles Blowout in my opinion! NE I think will handle Bills... Like the rest