All right, let's fukkin do this!
First off, the bookkeeping:
So much for the 7 straight weeks of positive units! Last weekend we went 2-2 ATS and 2-4 in plays Steelers/Tebow buried me. Oh well. So:
Every-game-ATS: 130-118-12
Best-bet plays: 71-59-5
Today:
Been tempted by several statistics to come off my strong initial lean of Saints... the whole outdoors thing, the top defense of the Niners, the road-fave leaving their comfy dome and traveling to face the hungry home dog... But I just don't think those particular stats overcome the specialness of this Saints team. AND, the fact that the Saints blew one last year as the road fave should have them ALL TOO AWARE of the possibility of that happening again if they're not fully prepared. This Payton/Brees combo should be able to undo all the good stuff that Harbaugh/Willis/J. Smith etc. have had going. Maybe not at first, but in the end. I expect a very good game but the Saints surviving it and coming out on top. So...
New Orleans -3 (2x)