1. #1
    imotiv8
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    2016 NFL System - JM and Modified

    On3 isn't doing it this year so I figured I'd start the thread and everyone can pitch in and help

    The system kicks in week 4 at the earliest. rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).

    MODIFIED rules: if teams with a .500 or better record (AFTER they qualify) lose SU AND ATS 2 straight weeks, they become a play.
    we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. i play short faves on the ML and dogs i buy up to 1.5 points.

    Last year's thread:
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...-modified.html
    Last edited by imotiv8; 09-23-16 at 12:34 AM.
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  2. #2
    success27
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    Quote Originally Posted by imotiv8 View Post
    On3 isn't doing it this year so I figured I'd start the thread and everyone can pitch in and help

    The system kicks in week 4 at the earliest. rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).

    MODIFIED rules: if teams with a .500 or better record (AFTER they qualify) lose SU AND ATS 2 straight weeks, they become a play.
    we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. i play short faves on the ML and dogs i buy up to 1.5 points.

    Last year's thread:
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...-modified.html
    Thanks for getting this started. I'll try to pitch in when I get a chance.

    Also, I believe once a team is eliminated from playoff contention, they are no longer eligible correct?

  3. #3
    JustTheSportsTip
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    Does anyone track or post the middle?
    Last edited by JustTheSportsTip; 09-23-16 at 04:59 AM. Reason: Wrong thread

  4. #4
    success27
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    System Record: 0-0
    Mod System Record: 0-0
    Units: +0

    Week 4 Potential Plays (Lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

    Bills
    Bears
    Browns
    Colts
    Jaguars
    Redskins

    **
    the system kicks in week 4 at the earliest. rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).

    MODIFIED rules: if teams with a .500 or better record (AFTER they qualify) lose SU AND ATS 2 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. i play short faves on the ML and dogs i buy up to 1.5 points.**
    Points Awarded:

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  5. #5
    ScorpionSnow
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    Checking in

  6. #6
    imotiv8
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    thank you Success27

  7. #7
    TechnicalTrader
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    Quote Originally Posted by success27 View Post
    System Record: 0-0
    Mod System Record: 0-0
    Units: +0

    Week 4 Potential Plays (Lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

    Bills
    Bears
    Browns
    Colts
    Jaguars
    Redskins

    **
    the system kicks in week 4 at the earliest. rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).

    MODIFIED rules: if teams with a .500 or better record (AFTER they qualify) lose SU AND ATS 2 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. i play short faves on the ML and dogs i buy up to 1.5 points.**
    5 for 6 so far with the Indy game looking like a winner. Great way to start the season! I'll do my best to help you guys out in here. Thanks for getting this up!

  8. #8
    success27
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    Quote Originally Posted by TechnicalTrader View Post
    5 for 6 so far with the Indy game looking like a winner. Great way to start the season! I'll do my best to help you guys out in here. Thanks for getting this up!
    You don't bet on the teams till Week 4 but it sounds like you played them in week 3 and won so who cares!

  9. #9
    success27
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    System Record: 0-0
    Units: +0

    Week 4 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):
    Bears +3 -125 (5Dimes)

    Week 5 Potential Plays (Lost 2 SU and 2 ATS)

    • Bengals
    • Lions
    • Buccaneers
    • 49ers


    Week 6 Potential Plays (Lost 1 SU and 1 ATS)

    • Jets
    • Steelers
    • Texans
    • Titans
    • Chargers
    • Panthers
    • Saints
    • Cardinals



    **
    the system kicks in week 4 at the earliest. rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).**


    PS I personally don't have time to track the modified version so if someone else wants to track that please feel free to do so!
    Last edited by success27; 09-27-16 at 09:07 PM.
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  10. #10
    oe473034
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    Quote Originally Posted by success27 View Post
    System Record: 0-0
    Units: +0

    Week 4 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):
    Bears +3 -125 (5Dimes)

    Week 5 Potential Plays (Lost 2 SU and 2 ATS)

    • Bengals
    • Lions
    • Buccaneers
    • 49ers


    Week 6 Potential Plays (Lost 1 SU and 1 ATS)

    • Jets
    • Steelers
    • Texans
    • Titans
    • Chargers
    • Panthers
    • Saints
    • Cardinals



    **
    the system kicks in week 4 at the earliest. rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).**


    PS I personally don't have time to track the modified version so if someone else wants to track that please feel free to do so!

    Week 4
    Bengals
    Colts
    Panthers
    Ravens
    Bears
    Texans
    Patriots
    Seahawks
    Redskins
    Broncos
    Rams
    Cowboys
    Steelers
    Vikings

    You can thank me later.

  11. #11
    oe473034
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    Oh Chargers!

  12. #12
    boycali01
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    what is dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14). thks.

  13. #13
    thekoreanmang
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    Quote Originally Posted by oe473034 View Post
    Week 4
    Bengals
    Colts
    Panthers
    Ravens
    Bears
    Texans
    Patriots
    Seahawks
    Redskins
    Broncos
    Rams
    Cowboys
    Steelers
    Vikings

    You can thank me later.
    Can you clarify what these are? Is it for the modified?

  14. #14
    House
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    Quote Originally Posted by boycali01 View Post
    what is dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14). thks.
    It means whatever team is getting points make sure you buy up to those key numbers .... if the team, is getting +2 buy a point up to +3 , if they're getting 6 buy a point up to 7 ext ext .....hope nobody minded me answering that one lol no disrespect meant .

  15. #15
    oe473034
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    Quote Originally Posted by thekoreanmang View Post
    Can you clarify what these are? Is it for the modified?
    Teams to bet for Week 4.

  16. #16
    TechnicalTrader
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    Quote Originally Posted by oe473034 View Post
    Teams to bet for Week 4.
    I'm sorta lost here... The Bears are the only team which has lost 3 ATS and SU. What am I looking at incorrectly??

  17. #17
    success27
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    Quote Originally Posted by TechnicalTrader View Post
    I'm sorta lost here... The Bears are the only team which has lost 3 ATS and SU. What am I looking at incorrectly??
    I think one of the posters is tryna be funny and mess up the thread or something. Not sure.

    The only play I'm betting on is Bears +3. I have money on the ML as well. Good luck

  18. #18
    imotiv8
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    Remember on 3,7, 10 you but half a point so today should be +3.5

  19. #19
    House
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    Quote Originally Posted by imotiv8 View Post
    Remember on 3,7, 10 you but half a point so today should be +3.5
    How do you get Colts +3.5 ?

  20. #20
    oe473034
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    Quote Originally Posted by oe473034 View Post
    Week 4
    Bengals - WON
    Colts - LOSS
    Panthers - LOSS
    Ravens - LOSS
    Bears - WON
    Texans - WON
    Patriots - LOSS
    Seahawks - WON
    Redskins - WON
    Broncos - WON
    Rams - WON
    Cowboys - WON
    Steelers - WON
    Vikings - IN PROGRESS

    You can thank me later.

    You guys should have listened.

    9-4, almost 10-4. Vikings game in progress.

  21. #21
    success27
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    Quote Originally Posted by oe473034 View Post
    You guys should have listened.

    9-4, almost 10-4. Vikings game in progress.
    Hey bud, you mind creating your own thread?

    Thanks.

  22. #22
    success27
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    System Record: 1-0
    Units: +1

    Week 4 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):
    Bears +3 -125 (5Dimes) - Won

    Week 5 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS)


    • Lions
    • Buccaneers
    • 49ers


    Week 6 Potential Plays (Lost 2 SU and 2 ATS)

    • Jets
    • Titans
    • Chargers
    • Panthers
    • Cardinals
    • Giants


    Week 7 Potential Plays (Lost 1 SU and 1 ATS)

    • Patriots
    • Browns
    • Colts
    • Chiefs


    -- Let me know if I've made a mistake --


    **
    rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).**


    PS I personally don't have time to track the modified version so if someone else wants to track that please feel free to do so!
    Last edited by success27; 10-04-16 at 01:05 AM.
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  23. #23
    Andy3568
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    Modified System

    System Record

    A: 0 - 0
    B: 0 - 0
    C: 0 - 0

    Units Won (Lost): 0


    Week 5 Plays

    New York Giants (Record: 0.500) "A"

    Rules: If a team loses SU AND ATS two (2) straight weeks, AND the team's record is 0.500 or better, we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. Betting rules the same as non-modified.

    Special Circumstances:

    (1) If two teams playing against each other both qualify, I will track it as placing both bets. Since you're betting M/L on the favorite and spread on the dog, you can win both bets. How you personally choose to play it is up to you.

    (2) If a bet pushes on the "A" bet, I will treat it as a no-play for the series. If it pushes on the "B" or "C" bet, the team's next game will count as a repeat of the push bet. For instance, if you push on the "B" bet, the next bet will be a "B" and the following will be a "C."

    Note: I use VegasInsider to track odds.

    Last edited by Andy3568; 10-04-16 at 08:34 AM.

  24. #24
    boycali01
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    sf +4 ?

  25. #25
    oe473034
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    Quote Originally Posted by boycali01 View Post
    sf +4 ?
    49ERS +3 (High Confidence) and total OVER 43.5 (Medium Confidence)

  26. #26

  27. #27
    boycali01
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    week 5

    lion 3
    buc 4.5

    on modify system, how do u track team record .500 base on ?
    Last edited by boycali01; 10-08-16 at 07:49 AM.

  28. #28
    Andy3568
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    Quote Originally Posted by boycali01 View Post
    lion 3
    buc 4.5

    on modify system, how do u track team record .500 base on ?
    Total wins divided by total games.

  29. #29
    Andy3568
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    Modified System

    System Record

    A: 0 - 0
    B: 0 - 0
    C: 0 - 0

    Units Won (Lost): 0


    Week 5 Results

    (1) New York Giants (Record: 0.500) "A": Push


    Week 6 Plays

    (2) Baltimore Ravens (Record: 0.600) "A"

    Rules: If a team loses SU AND ATS two (2) straight weeks, AND the team's record is 0.500 or better, we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. Betting rules the same as non-modified.

    Special Circumstances:

    (1) If two teams playing against each other both qualify, I will track it as placing both bets. Since you're betting M/L on the favorite and spread on the dog, you can win both bets. How you personally choose to play it is up to you.

    (2) If a bet pushes on the "A" bet, I will treat it as a no-play for the series. If it pushes on the "B" or "C" bet, the team's next game will count as a repeat of the push bet. For instance, if you push on the "B" bet, the next bet will be a "B" and the following will be a "C."

    Note: I use VegasInsider to track odds.

  30. #30
    betwithdaniel
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    JM System Record: 3-0

    Bet A: (3-1)
    Bet B: (0-0)
    Bet C: (0-0)

    Week 5 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):


    Lions +3.5 Bet A - Won
    Buccaneers +5.5 Bet A - Won
    49ers +3.5 Bet A - Lost

    The odds above are closing odds.

    Week 6 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS)

    • 49ers Bet B
    • Jets Bet A
    • Panthers Bet A


    Week 7 Potential Plays (Lost 2 SU and 2 ATS)


    • Dolphins
    • Ravens
    • Browns



    -- Let me know if I've made a mistake, just trying to help out! --


    **
    rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).**


    PS I'm not following the modified version so if someone else wants to track that please feel free to do so!
    Last edited by betwithdaniel; 10-11-16 at 01:20 PM. Reason: Added Closing Odds
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  31. #31
    Andy3568
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    Modified System

    System Record

    A: 1 - 0
    B: 0 - 0
    C: 0 - 0

    Units Won (Lost): 1


    Week 6 Results

    (2) Baltimore Ravens "A": Loss


    Week 7 Plays

    (2) Baltimore Ravens "B"
    (3) Philadelphia Eagles (Record: 0.600) "A"
    (4) Denver Broncos (Record: 0.667) "A"

    Rules: If a team loses SU AND ATS two (2) straight weeks, AND the team's record is 0.500 or better, we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. Betting rules the same as non-modified.

    Special Circumstances:

    (1) If two teams playing against each other both qualify, I will track it as placing both bets. Since you're betting M/L on the favorite and spread on the dog, you can win both bets. How you personally choose to play it is up to you.

    (2) If a bet pushes on the "A" bet, I will treat it as a no-play for the series. If it pushes on the "B" or "C" bet, the team's next game will count as a repeat of the push bet. For instance, if you push on the "B" bet, the next bet will be a "B" and the following will be a "C."

    Note: I use VegasInsider to track odds.
    Last edited by Andy3568; 10-19-16 at 07:58 AM.

  32. #32
    betwithdaniel
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    JM System Record: 3-0

    Bet A: (3-3)
    Bet B: (0-1)
    Bet C: (0-0)

    Week 6 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):

    49ers +7.5 Bet B - Lost
    Jets +7 Bet A - Lost
    Panthers ML Bet A - Lost


    The odds above were closing odds.

    Week 7 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS)


    • 49ers Bet C
    • Jets Bet B or Ravens Bet A




    • Panthers Bet B (BYE Week, pick for Week 8)


    Week 8 Potential Plays (Lost 2 SU and 2 ATS)


    • Panthers Bet B
    • Bears
    • Rams
    • Bengals
    • Eagles
    • Broncos


    -- Let me know if I've made a mistake --


    **
    rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).**

    It was a tough week 6 for us. This week we have 9ers vs Bucs...it opened at a pick, but as of this post, I'm seeing Buccaneers -2. Jets is the Bet B play, who are facing the Ravens which is a Bet A play. Right now, Jets are -1, so I think we are supposed to bet Jets ML and not bet the Ravens?!?, I'm not exactly sure. Panthers are on BYE, so we will save them for next week. Good luck!

  33. #33
    betwithdaniel
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    Quote Originally Posted by Andy3568 View Post

    Week 6 Results

    (2) Baltimore Ravens "A": Win

    Doesn't VegasInsider show that the line closed at Ravens +3.5? The Giants beat the Ravens 27-23.

  34. #34
    Andy3568
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    Quote Originally Posted by betwithdaniel View Post
    Doesn't VegasInsider show that the line closed at Ravens +3.5? The Giants beat the Ravens 27-23.
    Good catch. I got the scores transposed. I will correct the post.

  35. #35
    betwithdaniel
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    No worries...we have a Jets Bet B on the JM system, and a Ravens Bet B on the modified system. Might have to just skip on betting this game until next week.
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