1. 08-10-11 07:40 AM #1
    LT Profits
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    1 EARLY NFLX Play for Friday

    Falcons -2.5 -103 (Heritage)

    NFLX 2010: 14-13, +1.61

    Last year was my worst preseason since 1999, and I still made a tiny profit.
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  2. 08-10-11 07:46 AM #2
    caseyking2
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    Also liking the Falcons. I'm leaning toward the Seahawks and the Eagles for Thursday night whats your thought on those 2
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  3. 08-10-11 08:00 AM #3
    LT Profits
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    I definitely lean Ravens over Eagles.

    No opinion yet on Seahawks game.
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  4. 08-10-11 01:06 PM #4
    befus
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Falcons -2.5 -103 (Heritage)

    NFLX 2010: 14-13, +1.61

    Last year was my worst preseason since 1999, and I still made a tiny profit.
    GL bro.
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  5. 08-10-11 07:46 PM #5
    bigugly
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    I'm on this and will definitely be checking for your preaseason input. Thanks!
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  6. 08-10-11 08:00 PM #6
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by caseyking2 View Post
    Also liking the Falcons. I'm leaning toward the Seahawks and the Eagles for Thursday night whats your thought on those 2
    OK, yes I like the Seahawks.
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  7. 08-10-11 08:34 PM #7
    Mike Huntertz
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    Thanxs LT, gonna tail both Birds
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  8. 08-11-11 12:25 AM #8
    DeluxeLiner
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    LT can you tell us the reason you like these teams. How you calculated the value? That would be most helpful.
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  9. 08-11-11 12:46 AM #9
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by DeluxeLiner View Post
    LT can you tell us the reason you like these teams. How you calculated the value? That would be most helpful.
    This isn't the regular season. so you can't use the normal approach of setting a line and comparing it to the actual line. Preseason is all about motivation and coach's tendencies and finding games where one team cares more about winning that the other team. You will notice that 95% of my preseason plays are underdogs, the Falcons are a unique favorite play because of this...

    http://www.miamiherald.com/2011/08/0...-dolphins.html
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  10. 08-11-11 02:51 AM #10
    Broken-Ear Glen
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post

    This isn't the regular season. so you can't use the normal approach of setting a line and comparing it to the actual line. Preseason is all about motivation and coach's tendencies and finding games where one team cares more about winning that the other team. You will notice that 95% of my preseason plays are underdogs, the Falcons are a unique favorite play because of this...

    http://www.miamiherald.com/2011/08/0...-dolphins.html
    Wow nice find. Do you just use 1unit on all bets?
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  11. 08-11-11 05:02 AM #11
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Broken-Ear Glen View Post
    Wow nice find. Do you just use 1unit on all bets?
    If 1 unit = 2.5% of bankroll, then yes.....99% of the time.

    Once in a great while I may step up to between 3-4%, but a lot of stuff needs to line up for that.
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  12. 08-11-11 08:26 AM #12
    kcburg
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    down to -2 now at Heritage...
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  13. 08-11-11 10:32 AM #13
    Reload
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    Thanks, LT!

    Guys - be sure to follow LT's preseason selections. Money every year
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  14. 08-11-11 11:36 AM #14
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by kcburg View Post
    down to -2 now at Heritage...
    VERY surprising.

    Hopefully the people betting Miami are doing so because of Spirano's great preseason record and not because of inside info on Atlanta tanking also
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  15. 08-11-11 12:26 PM #15
    Romanov
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    Lt,

    Are you on anything tonight?
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  16. 08-11-11 12:35 PM #16
    TTA_President
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    Interesting info
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  17. 08-11-11 12:37 PM #17
    onlooker
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    Quote Originally Posted by TTA_President View Post
    Interesting info
    This got buried.

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-handic...ay-friday.html
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  18. 08-11-11 02:35 PM #18
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Romanov View Post
    Lt,

    Are you on anything tonight?
    THURSDAY
    Seahawks +3.5 -113 (Hetitage)
    Broncos +142 ML (5 Dimes)

    FRIDAY
    Falcons -2.5 -103 (Heritage)
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  19. 08-11-11 04:12 PM #19
    kcburg
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    VERY surprising.

    Hopefully the people betting Miami are doing so because of Spirano's great preseason record and not because of inside info on Atlanta tanking also

    my bad is didn't move off 2.5..damn Chrome.
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