1. 08-05-11 04:59 PM #1
    on3
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    2011 NFL System - JM and Modified

    Here is a link to the thread I ran last year:

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-handic...-modified.html

    The stats from 2010 are as follows:

    JM System: 9-0 official, 10-0 unofficial (+9/+10 units depending if you played Detroit)
    Modified on3 system: 8-1 (+.3 units)

    I had also introduced a LWL .500 system that did not involve a chase and went 8-4 SU last year for 67%.

    I will be updating this thread once the season rolls around.
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  2. 08-05-11 09:42 PM #2
    playr101
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    Gl this year

    -playr101
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  3. 08-25-11 07:37 PM #3
    jphil
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    at least there will be 2 of 4 legit JM threads again this yr. Your's & El-cap's (hockey).
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  4. 08-25-11 07:52 PM #4
    xgame
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    thank you
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  5. 09-01-11 05:38 PM #5
    on3
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    first 'system' play that JM advertises is the "Fade last year's SB winner" for a 3 game chase. this is the play he will advertise:

    NEW ORLEANS (+4) @ Green Bay (A)
    Points Awarded:

    xgame gave on3 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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  6. 09-03-11 11:01 AM #6
    imotiv8
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    Last year I ran a JM College Football system thread thats similar to the NFL system, it worked pretty good but there where some losses. All in all, we still made money. Heres the link. http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/college-fo...system-p2.html
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  7. 09-03-11 11:17 PM #7
    mitchp
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    On3,

    do you by any chance have the breakdown wins and loses by chase game (A, B, C)
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  8. 09-04-11 01:57 AM #8
    mstone897
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    Look forward to playing the modification's along with you this year. Always followed JM's system but your modification makes a ton of sense.
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  9. 09-04-11 10:05 AM #9
    DustyDiamond
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    Thanks on3 for taking this on again this year!
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  10. 09-04-11 10:36 PM #10
    figue
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  11. 09-07-11 02:08 PM #11
    analyzer
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    Sweet - looking forward to it!

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  12. 09-07-11 05:50 PM #12
    Kev the Brit
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    Hi on3,
    Back with you again this year and once again looking forward to some quality stuff from you.

    A guy on the JM MLB thread asked about the JM NFL "Never lost in 89 years" bet, so I posted the pdf at http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-handic...-lost-bet.html I did initially search for this thread to put it here, but I couldn't find it.

    Anyway, lets make some cash....

    Kev
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  13. 09-07-11 05:53 PM #13
    Kev the Brit
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    Quote Originally Posted by jphil View Post
    at least there will be 2 of 4 legit JM threads again this yr. Your's & El-cap's (hockey).
    I'm thinking of starting an NBA thread with a very hard line against incomers (and we know who they are...)
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  14. 09-07-11 06:10 PM #14
    hagball52
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    Just dropping by to say hi.
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  15. 09-07-11 08:17 PM #15
    lawalahmed
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kev the Brit View Post
    I'm thinking of starting an NBA thread with a very hard line against incomers (and we know who they are...)
    Haha, yes we all know them......
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  16. 09-07-11 09:43 PM #16
    on3
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kev the Brit View Post
    Hi on3,
    Back with you again this year and once again looking forward to some quality stuff from you.

    A guy on the JM MLB thread asked about the JM NFL "Never lost in 89 years" bet, so I posted the pdf at http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-handic...-lost-bet.html I did initially search for this thread to put it here, but I couldn't find it.

    Anyway, lets make some cash....

    Kev
    Check out post #5
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  17. 09-07-11 10:09 PM #17
    dlunc3
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    gl this season
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  18. 09-07-11 10:10 PM #18
    dlunc3
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    ...
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  19. 09-08-11 12:49 AM #19
    NZT-48
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    Quote Originally Posted by on3 View Post
    first 'system' play that JM advertises is the "Fade last year's SB winner" for a 3 game chase. this is the play he will advertise:

    NEW ORLEANS (+4) @ Green Bay (A)
    careful where u place the (A) bro its the Saints that are the play not Green Bay just so no one comes in here and gets confused
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  20. 09-08-11 12:50 AM #20
    NZT-48
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kev the Brit View Post
    I'm thinking of starting an NBA thread with a very hard line against incomers (and we know who they are...)
    sounds good to me Kev
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  21. 09-08-11 05:44 AM #21
    hagball52
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    Quote Originally Posted by on3 View Post
    first 'system' play that JM advertises is the "Fade last year's SB winner" for a 3 game chase. this is the play he will advertise:

    NEW ORLEANS (+4) @ Green Bay (A)
    Keep in mind that the game opened at +5 and moved to +4. If it pushes there's a good chance JM will claim the win. We kind of had that scenario last year but the people who lost the first game won on the following week.
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  22. 09-08-11 05:52 AM #22
    bauerranch
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    Thanks for doing again this year!
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  23. 09-08-11 06:18 AM #23
    The J-Dizzle
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    The last 8 Superbowl Champions are 7-0-1 ATS in week #1 of the following season.

    Saints still a play..?
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  24. 09-08-11 07:18 AM #24
    cmdyrds
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    just checking in. what's up mitchp?
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  25. 09-08-11 07:53 AM #25
    Kev the Brit
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    Original message deleted. Please ignore, thanks
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  26. 09-08-11 10:41 AM #26
    on3
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    Quote Originally Posted by The J-Dizzle View Post
    The last 8 Superbowl Champions are 7-0-1 ATS in week #1 of the following season.

    Saints still a play..?
    Not sure if you are a system player or not, but a system automates the picking process and it is up to you whether to fade or follow. Some people play systems from play (A) for a three game chase and others start from play (B) for a two game chase. Some even only play (C) games if it hits at a high enough percentage. The point is this, a system is there to show you trends, much like the one you mentioned here. It is your job, as a capper, to see what trend is the strongest and then make your play. Today, I am leaning gb -4, but the system play is SAINTS +4.
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  27. 09-08-11 10:46 AM #27
    on3
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    Quick question for everyone in here: Who thinks they can pick 10 games STRAIGHT UP in a row? Over multiple weeks and can even be 10 games at -600 odds. Who here can do it? Anyone want to start a pool, say $100 buy-in? First to make it to 10 gets all the cash.
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  28. 09-08-11 10:59 AM #28
    Inkwell77
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    Quote Originally Posted by on3 View Post
    Quick question for everyone in here: Who thinks they can pick 10 games STRAIGHT UP in a row? Over multiple weeks and can even be 10 games at -600 odds. Who here can do it? Anyone want to start a pool, say $100 buy-in? First to make it to 10 gets all the cash.
    Is it just nfl?
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  29. 09-08-11 11:06 AM #29
    The J-Dizzle
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    Quote Originally Posted by on3 View Post
    Not sure if you are a system player or not, but a system automates the picking process and it is up to you whether to fade or follow. Some people play systems from play (A) for a three game chase and others start from play (B) for a two game chase. Some even only play (C) games if it hits at a high enough percentage. The point is this, a system is there to show you trends, much like the one you mentioned here. It is your job, as a capper, to see what trend is the strongest and then make your play. Today, I am leaning gb -4, but the system play is SAINTS +4.
    I'm not, just wanted to give valuable information to everyone reading this thread. You're talking trends so I gave you a strong one. I'm leaning GB aswell.
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  30. 09-08-11 11:30 AM #30
    on3
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    Quote Originally Posted by Inkwell77 View Post
    Is it just nfl?
    I guess it is up for debate whether or not to include NCAAF. It seems NCAAF would only be an option after all these cupcake games with 30 point spreads are out of the way.
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  31. 09-08-11 12:28 PM #31
    Kev the Brit
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    Quote Originally Posted by on3 View Post
    Check out post #5
    On it already, thanks.
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  32. 09-08-11 06:10 PM #32
    BetGrinder
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    I guess the play will be SAINTS +4.5
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  33. 09-08-11 06:56 PM #33
    bruloc
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kev the Brit View Post
    Hi on3,
    Back with you again this year and once again looking forward to some quality stuff from you.

    A guy on the JM MLB thread asked about the JM NFL "Never lost in 89 years" bet, so I posted the pdf at http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-handic...-lost-bet.html I did initially search for this thread to put it here, but I couldn't find it.

    Anyway, lets make some cash....

    Kev
    How it had never lost in 89 years if NFL have no 89 years of history?
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  34. 09-08-11 09:06 PM #34
    skjjb4
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    Great thread. I have been looking for a serious JM thread. I will follow and look for your other JM threads.
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  35. 09-08-11 09:11 PM #35
    mitchp
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    CMDYRDS,

    Hey bud, doing good - had a great preseason and looking forward to to a profitable NFL season. Have the Pack tonight, already won TT over 25.5
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