1. #1
    buffettgambler
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    Join Date: 06-19-07
    Posts: 26

    NFL Week 2: Monday's Plays

    Hoping to bounce back from a disastrous Sunday.

    Sides
    Eagles @ Cowboys
    Play: Eagles +7

    Linesmakers have made it clear that they don’t put the Eagles in the upper echelon of teams in the league, as they made them only 7 point favorites at home against the Rams (power disparity of 9 compared to the Giants) and followed that up with a 9 point underdog against the Cowboys. I will continue to back them until they prove my notion of them being a top two team in the NFC wrong, or until the market adjusts to their true worth.

    The Eagles might not have as many big name players on offense compared to the Cowboys, but I expect them to be just as efficient as their counterparts this year. Their balanced attack gives them the leverage to counter the better defenses in the league like the Cowboys who can take one facet of an offense completely out of the game. Their ability to use multiple weapons in the passing game allows the Eagles to avoid the
    Cowboys strength in coverage and attack their weakness. Expect Westbrook, Booker, and Smith to continually attack the Cowboys weakness on defense, which is their secondary coverage. Westrbrook has had past success catching the ball against the Cowboys, which is a huge plus, as it allows McNaab to counter a thin receiving corps. A lot of the Cowboys success on defense comes from their blitzing and ability to put pressure on opposing quarterbacks. This does not bode well for their chances on Monday, as the Eagles line is one of the better ones in pass protection, especially when it comes to picking up blitzes. Don’t expect a repeat performance out of the Eagles offense this week, but they should have success on the ground as well as in the air to keep pace with the Cowboys and keep their offense off the field.

    Not only is the Eagles offense one of the more productive and well rounded units in all of football, but the same can be said for there defense, that simply lacks a weakness that can be picked on. It is also a defense that matches up as well as any other defense in the league against this Cowboys offense. The Cowboys offense is predicated on being able to spread the ball around the field with the depth of their receiving corps. It is also heavily dependent on giving Romo time in the pocket, to allow him to use check downs and prevent him into, and prevent him from getting into situations where he is prone to making mistakes. This does not bode well for the Cowboys, as not only do the Eagles have the deepest set of corners in the league to counter the Cowboys receiving depth, but their complex blitzing schemes and ability to put pressure on the quarterback can force Romo into situations where he has made careless errors in the past. The Cowboys running game is heavily dependent on two variables. One being a passing game that spreads out a defense and opens things up for Barber. With the expected deprecation in the Cowboys passing game this week, this variable will probably not be as beneficial to the Cowboys compared to most games. The second variable is their running game is predicated on making tacklers miss, yet another variable that can be offset by the Eagles defense being one of the best tacking units in the league as well- a unit that shutdown a very similar running back in Jackson last week. Although the Cowboys offense is dangerous any time they step out on the field, this is one game in which their strengths are counted by a defense who can counter these strengths.

    Despite the line indicating a comfortable win by the Cowboys, in my opinion, this is anyone’s ballgame. Although the Cowboys have a top ten offenses and defense, the same can be said for an Eagles team that may just be slightly better than the Cowboys in each category. This is just too many points to give to a team as good as the Eagles, especially in a division match up. This one should be decided by one possession.



    Total
    Eagles @ Cowboys
    Play: Under 46.5.

    Both offenses have solid running games, passing games, quarterbacks, and big playmakers. However, that appears to all be quantified in the line. What does not appear to be factored in, as both teams possess two of the better defenses in the league as well.

    Although the Eagles have a solid offensive attack that makes it hard for defenses to contain, don’t expect yards to come that easy for this team. Expect them to do a lot of running in order to slow down the pace of the game, prevent an onslaught of blitzes, to keep the Cowboys offense off the field, and take the crowds out of the game. Although Westrbrook is electric, he will be forced in a role where he will have to grind out yards, much like had been forced to do in the past against the Cowboys. The Eagles have also struggled in the past against 3-4 defenses; as such an alignment counters their ability to spread the ball around the field. Although they have some of the tools to counter Cowboys defensive strengths, this is not an ideal match up for them to put forth a dominant offensive showing.

    As mentioned in my Eagles write-up, there probably is not a defense in the league that matches up as well as the Eagles do against the Cowboys. Romo’s weaknesses is making decisions under pressure (which the Eagles can facilitate), while their strength in the air is being able to spread the ball around (which the Eagles can counter with their depth in their secondary). The running game should also be curtailed, as it is heavily dependent on after contact yards the Eagles are good at curtailing.

    Simply put, these two defenses are too good to set a total in the mid 40’s. With the offenses getting all the attention, and defenses going unheralded with these two teams, I will gladly take a negative correlated bet to this premise.

  2. #2
    Strong_Picks
    Strong_Picks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-14-08
    Posts: 31

    Quote Originally Posted by buffettgambler View Post
    Hoping to bounce back from a disastrous Sunday.

    Sides
    Eagles @ Cowboys
    Play: Eagles +7

    Linesmakers have made it clear that they don’t put the Eagles in the upper echelon of teams in the league, as they made them only 7 point favorites at home against the Rams (power disparity of 9 compared to the Giants) and followed that up with a 9 point underdog against the Cowboys. I will continue to back them until they prove my notion of them being a top two team in the NFC wrong, or until the market adjusts to their true worth.

    The Eagles might not have as many big name players on offense compared to the Cowboys, but I expect them to be just as efficient as their counterparts this year. Their balanced attack gives them the leverage to counter the better defenses in the league like the Cowboys who can take one facet of an offense completely out of the game. Their ability to use multiple weapons in the passing game allows the Eagles to avoid the
    Cowboys strength in coverage and attack their weakness. Expect Westbrook, Booker, and Smith to continually attack the Cowboys weakness on defense, which is their secondary coverage. Westrbrook has had past success catching the ball against the Cowboys, which is a huge plus, as it allows McNaab to counter a thin receiving corps. A lot of the Cowboys success on defense comes from their blitzing and ability to put pressure on opposing quarterbacks. This does not bode well for their chances on Monday, as the Eagles line is one of the better ones in pass protection, especially when it comes to picking up blitzes. Don’t expect a repeat performance out of the Eagles offense this week, but they should have success on the ground as well as in the air to keep pace with the Cowboys and keep their offense off the field.

    Not only is the Eagles offense one of the more productive and well rounded units in all of football, but the same can be said for there defense, that simply lacks a weakness that can be picked on. It is also a defense that matches up as well as any other defense in the league against this Cowboys offense. The Cowboys offense is predicated on being able to spread the ball around the field with the depth of their receiving corps. It is also heavily dependent on giving Romo time in the pocket, to allow him to use check downs and prevent him into, and prevent him from getting into situations where he is prone to making mistakes. This does not bode well for the Cowboys, as not only do the Eagles have the deepest set of corners in the league to counter the Cowboys receiving depth, but their complex blitzing schemes and ability to put pressure on the quarterback can force Romo into situations where he has made careless errors in the past. The Cowboys running game is heavily dependent on two variables. One being a passing game that spreads out a defense and opens things up for Barber. With the expected deprecation in the Cowboys passing game this week, this variable will probably not be as beneficial to the Cowboys compared to most games. The second variable is their running game is predicated on making tacklers miss, yet another variable that can be offset by the Eagles defense being one of the best tacking units in the league as well- a unit that shutdown a very similar running back in Jackson last week. Although the Cowboys offense is dangerous any time they step out on the field, this is one game in which their strengths are counted by a defense who can counter these strengths.

    Despite the line indicating a comfortable win by the Cowboys, in my opinion, this is anyone’s ballgame. Although the Cowboys have a top ten offenses and defense, the same can be said for an Eagles team that may just be slightly better than the Cowboys in each category. This is just too many points to give to a team as good as the Eagles, especially in a division match up. This one should be decided by one possession.



    Total
    Eagles @ Cowboys
    Play: Under 46.5.

    Both offenses have solid running games, passing games, quarterbacks, and big playmakers. However, that appears to all be quantified in the line. What does not appear to be factored in, as both teams possess two of the better defenses in the league as well.

    Although the Eagles have a solid offensive attack that makes it hard for defenses to contain, don’t expect yards to come that easy for this team. Expect them to do a lot of running in order to slow down the pace of the game, prevent an onslaught of blitzes, to keep the Cowboys offense off the field, and take the crowds out of the game. Although Westrbrook is electric, he will be forced in a role where he will have to grind out yards, much like had been forced to do in the past against the Cowboys. The Eagles have also struggled in the past against 3-4 defenses; as such an alignment counters their ability to spread the ball around the field. Although they have some of the tools to counter Cowboys defensive strengths, this is not an ideal match up for them to put forth a dominant offensive showing.

    As mentioned in my Eagles write-up, there probably is not a defense in the league that matches up as well as the Eagles do against the Cowboys. Romo’s weaknesses is making decisions under pressure (which the Eagles can facilitate), while their strength in the air is being able to spread the ball around (which the Eagles can counter with their depth in their secondary). The running game should also be curtailed, as it is heavily dependent on after contact yards the Eagles are good at curtailing.

    Simply put, these two defenses are too good to set a total in the mid 40’s. With the offenses getting all the attention, and defenses going unheralded with these two teams, I will gladly take a negative correlated bet to this premise.
    Wrong... The boys will cover... Reverse your bet & go with the boys to get your loses back from yesterday. But GL if you go with eagles.

  3. #3
    Sandro777
    Sandro777's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-14-08
    Posts: 368
    Betpoints: 18

    just went on boys -6 and under 46.5

  4. #4
    dollarbill025
    dollarbill025's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-10-08
    Posts: 4

    I'm on board with the eagles +7 as well as the under 46 1/2.

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