All comes down to St. Johns for me. They've beaten Duke, Pitt, W. VA, Notre Dame, 'Nova & UConn!!!!!! Who has Gonzaga beaten, CSU Bakersfield? Bulldogs are not strong this year, and played a much weaker schedule. Red Storm have proven that they can beat anyone. Public and all the talk regarding this game is mostly on and about Gonzaga, similar to how the lean was for Old Dominion. How are they doing now?
The line movement clearly has the wad on Gonzaga, as I took StJ SU last night at -130, and you can get them now at -110 or better.
Though one of the most conservative books, the infamous bodog, still has StJ -1 and @ -105. Why do they want to give you Gonzaga and a point to boot @ -105?
If you're on the fence, you're tempted to just take that point. bodog is by far the worst toprated online sportsbook on the planet, but that doesn't mean they're stupid. They're begging you to take Gonzaga. No one else still has StJ favored that I can see. How come?
Forget the
odds, I like StJ as the better team here, who has had a great season. That's why the line opened with them -1.5 to -2. Now take all the hype on Gonzaga, StJ flying under the radar, the line movement and you got StJ all wrapped up like a nice March Madness gift here.
My 3-Team Parlay as follows:
Parlay (03-17-2011 01:15)
---------------------------
West Virginia ( -1 -130)
(FG)
St Johns ( -½ -130)
(FG)
Connecticut ( -10 -110)
(FG)
The odds pay better than 5:1
Saint Johns