1H Texas -5
"Pullen is on a mission"....K-St is in "must win" situation...."Longhorns surrender 20pt lead in 2H meltdown"..."Wildcats cruise to easy victory after halftime adjustments"...
Last 5 games...
K-St margin of victory 8.6
Texas margin of victory 9.0
errr wait that doesn't look good for us...except 3 of K-St last 5 are @ home....misleading stats.
K-ST L3 1H away games
2/23 @ Nebraska 29-27 (K-ST +1 winner)
2/12 @ Colorado 23-21 (K-St PK winner)
2/5 @ Iowa St 44-40 (K-St -2 winner)
lol this doesn't help us much either....
Tex L3 1H @ home
2/22 vs Iowa St 35-26 (Tex -9.5 loser)
2/16 vs Okla St 36-25 (Tex -8.5 winner)
2/12 vs Baylor 38-22 (Tex -6.5 winner)
wait... this don't look good for us either....
Texas just lost in Nebraska, and K-St was able to come out with a convincing victory in Nebraska. I believe everything happens for a reason, Texas' 2H meltdown in Colorado, K-St's halftime adjustments...cruise to victory.... puts us in this "perfect scenerio". looking @ "similar" oppenents seems K-St has the advantage. Not only that, but now they're getting 9.5pts, thats just a
bonus. If there is one thing that i've learned in betting sports is that if "1H K-St +5 is a lock"
FADE IT.
Look between the #s
1H away K-St is outscored by 1
1H @ home Tex outscored opp. by 11.4
1H vs Conference
K-ST outscores opp. by 3.5
Tex outscores opp. by 11.2
K-St was +2 @Neb, +1 @Colorado
Tex was -6.5 @Neb, -6.5 @colorado
Theoretically..Texas is 8.5pts better than K-St? I think so....now add in home court....
boy are we getting a bargain.
I must admit that K-St has been playing great ball, beating Kansas,Mizzou, and Neb in Nebraska....they're a bit overvalued here. Texas losing 2 of last 4, and that late meltdown has bettors jumping bandwagons. Which is great for me (and anyone else tailing). If u watched that Mizzou/K-St game, the game was alot closer than the score says...and u can't compare Mizzou's D to the Longhorn's HOME D. which #16th in the nation giving up 59.2ppg. (K-St avg 64.2ppg on the road)
If u thought K-St was having a hard time containing Mizzou's road offense, wait till u see Tex HOME off. Juggernauts averaging 79.0ppg gonna have a field day vs Wildcats road Def which allows 68.8ppg. The Wildcats offense will also "struggle" more than they already do on the road, they're not gonna hit 39.1% of their FG's...Texas HOME D allows FG % against at 35.1%.
Although both teams are good basketball teams, K-St just does not belong in the same Tier as Texas does, and anyone who thinks the Wildcats do... do urself a favor, fill up ur tank b4 u go to the sportsbook...u aint gonna have nothin left after the game! Muahaha.... no really, HOME COURT will be key in this match-up, and i believe K-St road woes are not past them, facing a OFF/DEF Juggernaut @ home isn't gonna make it any better.
1H Texas -5 to the bank! U can thank me after the game.
-vai
a lil nugget from a friend -
TEXAS is 14-3 (+10.7 Units) against the 1rst half line after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games this season.
The average score was TEXAS 36.7, OPPONENT 27