UNC is playing better ball than Vegas is giving it credit for right now. The Tar Heels are 9-1 in their last 10, their only loss coming at Duke (by six points). Maryland is 3-3 in its last six games, but is 0-8 against the RPI top 50.
It would be Maryland's best win of the season (by a wide margin), and UNC's RPI is currently #11. The Terps are 3-3 on the road in ACC play, with the three wins coming against Georgia Tech, Wake Forest and Virginia (a combined 9-33 conference record).
Terps coach Gary Williams has taken four of the last five games against UNC, but that was with a completely different team (gone are the top three scorers from last year, two of which were 1,000-point scorers and one of which was a 2,000-point scorer).
Simply put, UNC should be about a 9-point favorite tonight. I'm playing UNC -6 large.