Originally Posted by
infinite wisdom
the last 5 gms in this series played at MIAO have been within 6 pts of the spread either way.
MIAMI OHIO: HEAD 2 HEAD
Jan 23, 2010 BOWLING GREEN 64-52(W) -7 W(5.0) 118/U
Mar 5, 2009 BOWLING GREEN 50-45(W) -8 L(3.0) 117/U
Mar 9, 2008 BOWLING GREEN 75-59(W) -13.5 W(2.5) 123/O
Jan 17, 2007 BOWLING GREEN 66-60(W) -11 L(5.0) 115/O
Feb 1, 2006 BOWLING GREEN 77-60(W) -11.5 W(5.5) 121/O
Both teams recent play also favors their games falling close to the spread more than not.
My recommendation: dont try to pick the ATS winner. play the game to fall close.
I will be playing the following:
BET 1 : MIAO money line 2800/1000
BET 2 : BG +13 (6pt teaser) 2800/2400 tied to a later game or games.
without breaking down the math, this pays even money (by winning both the ML and the first leg of the teaser) on a MIAO win of 1-12, and still wins half that on a 13 pt win. first gm on the card and indications are that it will be close. 5-0 the last 5 @ MIAO, pays even money, here we go.