Originally Posted by
No coincidences
Late Sunday night, Pinny was juicing the shit out of Kansas at -3.5 while other books had gone to 5 or 5.5. As we all know, the Wildcats won and Pinny had been correct in trapping KU backers who felt like they were getting a good line despite paying high juice.
I'm going to test these plays being juiced at -126 or higher and see how they do. Currently, Pinny is "choosing":
UL-Monroe +14.5 (-134) but not going to 14, so play North Texas -14.5
Northwestern +3 (-130) but not going to +2.5, so play Indiana -3
Gonzaga -14 (-126) but not going to -14.5, so play San Francisco +14
Santa Clara +7 (-129) but not going to +6.5, so play Portland -7
Samford +8 (-126) but not going to +7.5, so play Furman -8
Bradley -3 (-126) but not going to -3.5, so play Tennessee Martin +3
St. Louis -7 (-126) but not going to -8, so play Charlotte +7
Cal State Fullerton +2 (-133) but not going to +1 so play Idaho State -2
We'll see how this goes. I'm not a huge fan of Pinny when it comes to sides, but they really like to juice numbers like this if they're confident in a play. There isn't a drastic discrepancy in numbers like there was with the Kansas/K-State line for a while, but it may be worth tracking before these games tip. IMHO, it never hurts to side with a sharp book on a play.