1. 02-13-11 09:37 AM #1
    ThingsFallApart
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    Xavier at Duq...whats going on here?

    From what I understand Xavier was given 5 points, over 70% of the public was on them and the line went up to 5.5?

    What in the hell does that mean?


    I have action on Xav ML and this is a little concerning
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  2. 02-13-11 09:52 AM #2
    LolsMcwinsey
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    ML for duq went from -220 to -240 in the past hour
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  3. 02-13-11 09:57 AM #3
    Tklane21
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    You have to remember that consensus numbers don't calculate the amount of money on each side, just the number of bets.

    Sure 70% may be on Xavier, but if they're all casuals betting $50 a piece while the 30% on Duq are dropping $500 a piece then the line is going to shift against the public to try and balance the big bets.
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  4. 02-13-11 10:26 AM #4
    k13
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    It means Xavier is going to lose.
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  5. 02-13-11 10:28 AM #5
    cockblocker
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    Cinci/Duq ML parlay is looking good right now.
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  6. 02-13-11 10:31 AM #6
    LolsMcwinsey
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    Quote Originally Posted by cockblocker View Post
    Cinci/Duq ML parlay is looking good right now.
    was just thinking that
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  7. 02-13-11 10:43 AM #7
    oChRoNiCo
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    fwiw I am on Duquense. Xavier lost their last confrence game on the road @ 10-14 Charlotte as a 8.5 point favorite they lost that game 62-66. Duquense lost their last game @ St Bonaventure as a 8.5 point favorite. The Bonnies had a very hot night shooting going %46 overall and %46.2 from 3 while shooting %80 from the charity stripe. I am looking for them to bounce back in this spot here today and make a statement in the A-10. Before the St Bonaventure game Duquense had won and covered the spread in their last 9 games looking for them to get back on that track today.
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  8. 02-13-11 10:50 AM #8
    swaindexter
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    X is a great play today.....................
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  9. 02-13-11 10:56 AM #9
    CMNoney
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    Quote Originally Posted by cockblocker View Post
    Cinci/Duq ML parlay is looking good right now.
    I have the exact opposite ML parlay. Took St. Johns and Xavier + money.
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  10. 02-13-11 10:58 AM #10
    CMNoney
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    Quote Originally Posted by oChRoNiCo View Post
    fwiw I am on Duquense. Xavier lost their last confrence game on the road @ 10-14 Charlotte as a 8.5 point favorite they lost that game 62-66. Duquense lost their last game @ St Bonaventure as a 8.5 point favorite. The Bonnies had a very hot night shooting going %46 overall and %46.2 from 3 while shooting %80 from the charity stripe. I am looking for them to bounce back in this spot here today and make a statement in the A-10. Before the St Bonaventure game Duquense had won and covered the spread in their last 9 games looking for them to get back on that track today.
    X lost that game because Tu Holloway had the worst game of his career. He went 3-17 from the field (0-8 from 3 point land) and had 6 turnovers. Most of those shots were good looks too. That game was the definition of a fluke.
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  11. 02-13-11 11:02 AM #11
    Serbone
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    Do not get spooked by line movement like that... handicap the goddam game.
    The other day (Thurs I think, look it up) NCAA teams that had > 60% of the bets on their side on this offshore site went 13-1.
    Does that make it a future certainty?
    Xavier is a quality club with tradition, Duq is a hot up and comer.
    Xavier understands the importance of the game, has played a much tougher non conference schedule, SOS Xavier 28 to Duq's 138. They played Seton Hall, Gonzaga, Florida, Cincinnati, Iowa, Georgia
    And Xavier has a GREAT go-to guard, Holloway.
    I lean to Xavier + 5.5.
    Last edited by Serbone; 02-13-11 at 11:07 AM.
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  12. 02-13-11 11:09 AM #12
    oChRoNiCo
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    I suppose Duquesne previous 9 before their last game were all flukes too huh LoL hey thats fine everyone jump on Xavier I will take my chances with the other guys and btw I do like seeing the RLM
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  13. 02-13-11 11:14 AM #13
    dotheopposite
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    Duquesne is a great team at home. Just coming off a tough loss on the road. They should be ready to play
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  14. 02-13-11 03:20 PM #14
    Serbone
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    Quote Originally Posted by Serbone View Post
    Do not get spooked by line movement like that... handicap the goddam game.
    The other day (Thurs I think, look it up) NCAA teams that had > 60% of the bets on their side on this offshore site went 13-1.
    Does that make it a future certainty?
    Xavier is a quality club with tradition, Duq is a hot up and comer.
    Xavier understands the importance of the game, has played a much tougher non conference schedule, SOS Xavier 28 to Duq's 138. They played Seton Hall, Gonzaga, Florida, Cincinnati, Iowa, Georgia
    And Xavier has a GREAT go-to guard, Holloway.
    I lean to Xavier + 5.5.
    Save time; ask SerbOne.
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  15. 02-13-11 03:20 PM #15
    Serbone
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    Quote Originally Posted by dotheopposite View Post
    Duquesne is a great team at home. Just coming off a tough loss on the road. They should be ready to play

    Xavier has played an NCAA Tourney ready schedule. Duquesne is a good squad, but played mostly patsies.
    Xavier was ready for this game, they have been there...
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  16. 02-13-11 03:24 PM #16
    LockPickMaster
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    Dukes had no one that could take on the X 7 footer, total size mismatch today.
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  17. 02-13-11 05:56 PM #17
    fishmonger
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    was kicking myself when I took Xavier +4.5 when it moved to +5.5 but I guess it didn't matter.
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  18. 02-13-11 11:05 PM #18
    spredzgeek
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    the x hooking me up on my parlay yea!
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