[pinchylarue]

thinking of betting nebraska +5.5

any thoughts?

[PRiiMO]

i think the line is low on that one. i have it at baylor -9 or even -10. im betting baylor here i think

[pinchylarue]

its +6.5 where I am but im thinking of adjusting it to +5.5

teams are pretty equal

[Dukebluejms]

Like Nebraska here. Not a flashy team, but they usually play solid defense. A lot of people will be on Baylor after their performance this past weekend, but they are still a mediocre team.

[PRiiMO]

sorry. i meant the line i made. i have it lower. baylor is 5-4 in conf play they are 12-1 at home. nebraska is 3-5 conf play 0-4 away and have lost 2 in a row

[PRiiMO]

nebraska avgs 63.2ppg on road while giving up 70.2ppg. baylor at home avgs 75.3 at home while giving up 58.8ppg
thats a 23.5 ppg diff so i think the spread is pretty generous

[pinchylarue]

good reasoning here.
Im expecting a baylor win between 4-8 points so if I adjust to NEBRASKA +5.5 I can get +210, great value

[pinchylarue]

nebraskas overall average is 67.9 points per game and 58.4 against - baylor averages 72.2 points per game and 62.5 against...
with that said, averages say game should be nebraska 65.5 to baylor 66-67 points

I see a nail biter tonight

[PRiiMO]

well i gave the road and home stats since thats the case but i know games vary

[pinchylarue]

very true,
however nebraska has 9th best defense overall.
can't overlook that,plus last time they played eachother nebraska beat baylor at home 66-62

[PRiiMO]

i think it will be close down to the last min and then baylor pulls away with foul shots