1. 01-30-11 09:35 AM #1
    asian.executive
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    1/30 False Favorites (11-17 YTD)

    4-3 Saturday
    11-17 YTD

    2:00 PM Detroit @ Wisc GB -3
    * Detroit should be favored by -6.
    * Wisc GB is a False Favorite!
    * Detroit +3 is the Lock!

    2:00 PM Providence @ Seton Hall -4.5
    * Providence should be favored by -11.
    * Seton Hall is a False Favorite!
    * Providence +4.5 is the Lock!

    3:05 PM Drake @ Illinois St -6
    * Drake should be favored by -4.
    * Illinois St is a False Favorite!
    * Drake +6 is the Lock!

    4:00 PM Iowa @ Michigan -7.5
    * Iowa should be favored by -5.
    * Michigan is a False Favorite!
    * Iowa +7.5 is the Lock!
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  2. 01-30-11 11:40 AM #2
    Tower
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    So GB, SH, Ill St, and Mich are the bets?
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  3. 01-30-11 11:43 AM #3
    PP
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    ? same question as Tower
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  4. 01-30-11 12:35 PM #4
    chiliv5
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    iowa favored by 5 at michigan? how do you come up with that?????????????????/
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  5. 01-30-11 12:40 PM #5
    asian.executive
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tower View Post
    So GB, SH, Ill St, and Mich are the bets?
    I can't tell you what to do. I post what the Excel says and I posted update records.
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  6. 01-30-11 02:08 PM #6
    esulima
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    any NBA today?
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  7. 01-30-11 02:13 PM #7
    NinjaShoes
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tower View Post
    So GB, SH, Ill St, and Mich are the bets?
    lol that is exactly what this means. im def taking michigan and i already took seton hall
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  8. 01-30-11 02:28 PM #8
    RiverBoatGambler
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    Yes you fade his excel bets. His formula works backwards from what he wanted, but hell it works if u fade it
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  9. 01-30-11 03:22 PM #9
    asian.executive
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    Quote Originally Posted by esulima View Post
    any NBA today?
    I stopped checking NBA. The new semester started and I have bullshit busy work papers due every week. Such bullshit syllabuses this semester. What does it show if I can type 2-3 papers each week if I want to enter the finance field one day? Nothing.
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  10. 01-30-11 04:15 PM #10
    PP
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    What inputs do you use for the formula?
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  11. 01-30-11 04:29 PM #11
    asian.executive
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    Quote Originally Posted by PP View Post
    What inputs do you use for the formula?
    1. Average PF
    2. Average PA
    3. The O/U total for the game.

    a. Visitor PF squared.
    b. Visitor PA squared.
    c. a minus b.
    d. O/U total times a.
    e. O/U total times b.
    f. d minus e.
    g. Do the same calculations above for the Home team.
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  12. 01-30-11 05:40 PM #12
    asian.executive
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    It amazes me how you this system evolved. You would think a math major could take variables you provide and be able to do something with it. I was hoping to have this great program to take Las Vegas down and then maybe sell the rights to it for millions to a corporation. I admit I was mad when we started to backtest it. But I know how to check my ego. If the inverse occurs then a smart person would fade it. It is just disheartening to watch this be faded but money is money. Right mami?
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  13. 01-30-11 05:47 PM #13
    Tower
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    Quote Originally Posted by asian.executive View Post
    It amazes me how you this system evolved. You would think a math major could take variables you provide and be able to do something with it. I was hoping to have this great program to take Las Vegas down and then maybe sell the rights to it for millions to a corporation. I admit I was mad when we started to backtest it. But I know how to check my ego. If the inverse occurs then a smart person would fade it. It is just disheartening to watch this be faded but money is money. Right mami?

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  14. 01-30-11 06:35 PM #14
    primetime27
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    it may not be working like you wanted it to, but if it stays like this you have built a great fade system. Keep posting and tracking
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  15. 01-30-11 07:30 PM #15
    PP
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    Nice you went 1-3, or shall I say 3-1 for those that fade it. Keep on posting...
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  16. 01-30-11 07:33 PM #16
    asian.executive
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    1-3 Sunday

    12-20     YTD
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  17. 01-30-11 11:13 PM #17
    PP
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    What is PF and PA for you, as in abbreviation?
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  18. 01-30-11 11:54 PM #18
    Kustac
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    I'd be curious to know what were the results when you back tested it? how "bad" were they
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  19. 01-31-11 12:07 AM #19
    Fang-Banger
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    Frupta Juice!!
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  20. 01-31-11 01:51 PM #20
    asian.executive
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    pts for
    pts against

    How bad? 25%-40% winners.
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  21. 01-31-11 01:56 PM #21
    spargament
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    Quote Originally Posted by asian.executive View Post
    pts for
    pts against

    How bad? 25%-40% winners.
    Or 60-75% winners....
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  22. 01-31-11 01:57 PM #22
    ccat1133
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    you got anything today A.E.
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  23. 01-31-11 05:23 PM #23
    primetime27
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    where are you at
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  24. 01-31-11 05:37 PM #24
    jarvol
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    False favorite fade winners where are you?
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  25. 01-31-11 05:40 PM #25
    peteymal
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    where is my boy?

    Quote Originally Posted by jarvol View Post
    False favorite fade winners where are you?


    i love you man!you got the hottest system year to date. Bless us with your fades sir
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  26. 01-31-11 07:24 PM #26
    asian.executive
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    Sorry friends! I had class and if vegas doesn't release total early enough I cannot crunk the numbers.

    I am checking right now for me and my friends who like to fade.
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