[C-Gold]

Idaho 12-7
LT 9-12

Idaho 6-3 on the road
LT 5-3 at home

They score the same PPG, but Idaho has a better FG % and a better FT %
Idaho gives up 5 less per game, and 40% rather than 43% opp fg%

Friendly competition
Idaho already beat LT by 30

Idaho beats Nevada by 5, LT loses by 6
Idaho beats Fresno by 10, LT loses by 7
Idaho lost to boise by 3, LT lost by 11

Pick: Idaho Vandals

[Rookie-Capper]

I m on it what do think about ball st.

[C-Gold]

That looks like a decent play.
Better team
Better defense
at home
Off a loss to get a good number.

Might just take the ML

[zanman822]

All that gold looks nice not the fiat stuff we think is money. I like your Idaho play

[C-Gold]

I jumped on Ball State with you.

I was 3-1 yesterday
NC Tar Heels
Texas
Louisville 2nd half
Lost with Villanova
unposted of course so it doesn't count.

[C-Gold]

All that gold looks nice not the fiat stuff we think is money. I like your Idaho play

Banana Ben is working the printing press like mad.

[oakas]

Idaho looks good here.

Also like New Mexico State.

Good luck, C-G.

[C-Gold]

That game looks pretty evenly matched on paper, if anything maybe a slight lean to Boise State? I generally like having the team with the better defense.

Hence
Idaho & Ball state. My first two posted plays here.

[saints1856]

I'm a Louisiana Tech alum and I will be at the game tonight - our offense hasnt shown much lately, and the fact that we are 0-7 in conference is pathetic. Our team revolves around Asholu and D Brown - other than that we dont have much.

We lost by 30 to Idaho a month ago, and I honestly dont see us winning tonight. I cant believe the spread is -1

[Wiggums5]

I don't understand the spread either, Idaho looks like a lock on paper.

[saints1856]

I'm running into the age old bettor's predicament: Bet against your team (which you think is the right side to be on) or not? If I wasnt a Tech fan/alum I would already have a few hundred on Idaho...

[kernssca]

Like Idaho as well, only advice is to stay away from the big east

[C-Gold]

I'm a Louisiana Tech alum and I will be at the game tonight - our offense hasnt shown much lately, and the fact that we are 0-7 in conference is pathetic. Our team revolves around Asholu and D Brown - other than that we dont have much.

We lost by 30 to Idaho a month ago, and I honestly dont see us winning tonight. I cant believe the spread is -1

That's the thing. I've never watched these teams play and I probably never will, but on paper this looks fantastic. It doesn't always work out that way but maybe since these two teams are under the radar you can get a bet in? I love betting on off the road teams.

[zephyr]

Only 14% of bets on LaTech, and their line drops from +2 to +1. I don't like it. Certainly looks good on paper, though, and square bets do win sometimes. Good luck to you guys.

[spargament]

Only 14% of bets on LaTech, and their line drops from +2 to +1. I don't like it. Certainly looks good on paper, though, and square bets do win sometimes. Good luck to you guys.

Dunno if it's gonna be the whole board tonight, just the pros or college, but we're gonna be seeing a LOT of public success today imho.

[zephyr]

Dunno if it's gonna be the whole board tonight, just the pros or college, but we're gonna be seeing a LOT of public success today imho.

Could be. I've noticed a few of these myself. Illinois only -4 or -4.5 at Indiana. Something like 91% on that, and it seems like it can't lose.

[saints1856]

Zephyr, the line has been -1 the whole time on my site. Do you think Vegas assumes that we are due for a Conference win and thats why its not higher? Or do they just not repsect Idaho because they are 12-7? Seems like I only see you post about when a line looks 'suspicious'

[zephyr]

Hey Saints. I use thespread.com alot to monitor lines. Seems pretty dependable, and I like their piecharts. Says the line opened at +2. In fact, SBROdds also says it opened at +2.

I don't know what Vegas thinks. All I know is that Vegas doesn't like to lose money. I personally tend to believe that this line movement means that the bigger bets are coming in on La Tech (of course, the numbers we see are the numbers of bets, not the amount of money; that's the key). What the bigger players are doing is something I am interested in knowing. But lots of people seem to have their own different views about what to make of line movement. I'm an amateur. I just like to be aware of reverse line movement. I sometimes make a play despite it. Often I lay off, or keep my play smaller, because of RLM.

Haven't really decided what to do with this game yet. La Tech blows. And Idaho is pretty good this year. Win on the road at Oregon. Wins over Nevada and Boise State. If they keep it up, they stand to get a good position in the conference tournament. I'll be very tempted to bet on Idaho today. I'll be amazed if La Tech wins this game.

[Mr Handicapable]

Idaho looks good here.

Also like New Mexico State.

Good luck, C-G.

I like NM State tonite as well....5-1 ATS at home!!

[BathingApe]

I took idaho ml -115 they beat my alum hawaii at home handily (i know we suck but that's when they got better on the road) la tech is horrible idk why this line is like this.

[survive]

idaho -1 seems like a square bet but its just too tempting especially after they crushed la tech by 30 earlier this year

[C-Gold]

I'll be amazed if La Tech wins this game.

That's why you bet on Idaho. Not all in or anything, it just looks like a solid bet.

You want to talk about line movement and how most people bet Idaho? How much action do you think these two teams really command? Yeah, a bunch of people bet 20, 50, 100, 200 bucks on Idaho. Maybe some shrimp boat captain from the Bayau bet 5,000 on L-Tech.

People, this is not Uconn vs Syracuse. It's two teams that nobody cares about.

[saints1856]

I've looked this game over and over, and in my opinion the line should be 7 or so. But how can the oddsmakers justify a line of -7 if they made Idaho a 3.5 point favorite at home on December 31st?

I'm on Idaho and Illinois tonight gents

[C-Gold]

Able to separate who he wants to win from who he thinks is going to win. You're a good man Charlie Brown.

[slimpickins]

definitely looks like Idaho should beat them quite easily.

[saints1856]

C-Gold, it's gonna be tough for me to watch the game tonight in person, while having $ on the visiting team. I'm gonna need a shower after the game to get the smell of hundred dolla bills off me

[LockPickMaster]

Like LTech tonight.

[C-Gold]

Anybody like Elon tonight at 8PM too?

They are losing to teams like Duke, NC State.

Samford is playing teams like Asbury college????

Elon is on the road and only laying 2.5

[qbsafety8]

Like LTech tonight.

why??? what in the world would sway you that direction????

[powerhouse]

The Idaho / Louisiana Tech game sure seems IFFy on which side to take ??

[LockPickMaster]

why??? what in the world would sway you that direction????

For Idaho, their only two conference losses have come against teams who like to get out and run, and Louisiana Tech would fit that description. LTech for ten units.

[C-Gold]

Hofstra +8.5 small

[Tomasitas]

Idaho droped from -1,5 to +1,5 wtf ?

[C-Gold]

ADD

Elon -1 (-120)

VCU looks really good. Hofstra is toast.

[C-Gold]

Idaho droped from -1,5 to +1,5 wtf ?

I saw that. Must be big money on LT.