Originally Posted by
DuncHen22
Sorry, I thought I mentioned it. I've been a little stressed lately so forgive my absent-mindedness.
I use Ken Pomeroy's predictions and compare them to the given spreads. Then I only select games where the spread is less than 10 and the the difference between KP and the spread is 2 or more.
For Tier 1 plays: I only play favorites (as predicted by KP).
For Tier 2 plays: Include all tier 1 plays plus home underdogs.
For Tier 3 plays: Include all tier 1 and 2 plays plus away underdogs.
That's basically it. I'm also constantly looking for other factors to either add to or subtract from. For example, a 2pt differential between KP and actual may be too low, but I want to just follow it right now (2pt diff plays are 8-2 in tier 3 thus far though).
Although I realize now, tier 2 and 3 plays may be a bit mixed up at the moment since there are neutral court tournaments going on. I'll have to go back and double check those in a little bit to make sure I've gotten it right.