1. 12-14-10 09:33 AM #1
    clarkj2
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    Drexel +15 -130?

    Anyone have a model which shows this play to be +EV?
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  2. 12-14-10 11:03 AM #2
    denn333
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    don't know what model.
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  3. 12-14-10 11:12 AM #3
    zebra58
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    louisville -14 should cover easy
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  4. 12-14-10 11:56 AM #4
    stikymess
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    I played the over myself.
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  5. 12-14-10 12:16 PM #5
    ScreaminPain
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    Quote Originally Posted by clarkj2 View Post
    Anyone have a model which shows this play to be +EV?
    No help here. I run a model that seems to match Pomeroy's figures fairly closely. I ran this matchup and came up with -14 (same as WA Lines). Drexel may hold their own on the boards, but Louisville shoots better and will win the turnover battle....

    FWIW, Sagarin has a lean to Drexel +14.....

    It's a pass for me...
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  6. 12-14-10 02:25 PM #6
    teecee
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    probably not, since you're wagering more than you stand to win. unless the whole concept of +EV(?) is way over my head.
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  7. 12-14-10 08:16 PM #7
    clarkj2
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    Thanks guys
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  8. 12-15-10 09:24 AM #8
    zebra58
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    cards let me down, congrats on drexel
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