1. #1
    The-Diesel
    Sports Handicapping Expert
    The-Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,766
    Betpoints: 1453

    Diesel's CBB Public Dog Fades of 52% or Higher + RLM Plays

    Hey guys, I have a thread like this running in the other sports forum. I'm trying to devolpe a system to single out good games to bet on. I hope it's going to help along with your own capping skills. It's working nicely in college football. Still working on a few thing on the pro sport side. I will run this thread thru the entire 2010/2011 season and see what it brings us. I will use 1 unit for tracking.

    GL this season everyone!!!!!!

    Note a few things.

    1. I will be only using pregame numbers so you will see different percentages from other sites.
    2. Due to posting early the percentages and lines may change before gametime. I recommend you wait as close to gametime before betting if you like a play.
    3. Bet at your own risk because we all know no system is perfect.

  2. #2
    goallinebob
    goallinebob's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-11-10
    Posts: 2,973

    GL Diesel,, lets get this started

    went with Spiders last night,,,,

  3. #3
    The-Diesel
    Sports Handicapping Expert
    The-Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,766
    Betpoints: 1453

    Quote Originally Posted by goallinebob View Post
    GL Diesel,, lets get this started

    went with Spiders last night,,,,

  4. #4
    xyzky
    xyzky's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-23-07
    Posts: 1,577
    Betpoints: 121

    Good Luck IceMan!!

  5. #5
    AdaBarber
    Guess who's back......
    AdaBarber's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-05-08
    Posts: 4,424
    Betpoints: 137

    I use this strategy but I read into all the lines and percentages to make picks. I booked Illinois-30. And I am leaning Texas-20. Good luck!

  6. #6
    The-Diesel
    Sports Handicapping Expert
    The-Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,766
    Betpoints: 1453

    Quote Originally Posted by xyzky View Post
    Good Luck IceMan!!

  7. #7
    The-Diesel
    Sports Handicapping Expert
    The-Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,766
    Betpoints: 1453

    Wednesday, 11/10/10 Play

    Running behind games. Had to make the bet first. Hope everyone cashes tonight.

    My dog system plays
    46% Maryland -13.5

    YTD Record
    0-0
    0%
    0.00 units

  8. #8
    The-Diesel
    Sports Handicapping Expert
    The-Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,766
    Betpoints: 1453

    Friday, 11/12/10 Plays

    Hoops are back guys!! Hell I know I already missed two early winners because I had to work. Let's see what we can do tonight. GL tonight guys

    My dog system plays
    32% Princeton -7 (-105)
    30% UL Lafayette -2 (-101)
    29% UTEP -8 (-110)
    14% SMU -7.5 (-102)
    46% Oregon -11 (-105)
    28% Loyola Maryland -1 (-106)
    44% Youngstown St. -3 (-106)
    46% Richmond -13 (-105)
    24% Iowa St. -7 (-108)
    34% Minnesota -8.5 (-107)
    14% Tulsa -7.5 (-106)
    36% Portland St. -4 (-107)


    YTD Record
    0-1
    0%
    -1.05 units

  9. #9
    Teaser Sucker
    Public Fader
    Teaser Sucker's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-07-10
    Posts: 453
    Betpoints: 2017

    Already on Princeton with you. Also taking Saint Louis and Missouri State (I'll be at this game). BOL this season.

  10. #10
    The-Diesel
    Sports Handicapping Expert
    The-Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,766
    Betpoints: 1453

    Quote Originally Posted by Teaser Sucker View Post
    Already on Princeton with you. Also taking Saint Louis and Missouri State (I'll be at this game). BOL this season.
    Thanks
    GL this season

  11. #11
    The-Diesel
    Sports Handicapping Expert
    The-Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,766
    Betpoints: 1453

    Quote Originally Posted by The-Diesel View Post
    Friday, 11/12/10 Plays

    Hoops are back guys!! Hell I know I already missed two early winners because I had to work. Let's see what we can do tonight. GL tonight guys

    My dog system plays
    32% Princeton -7 (-105)
    30% UL Lafayette -2 (-101)
    29% UTEP -8 (-110)
    14% SMU -7.5 (-102)
    46% Oregon -11 (-105)
    28% Loyola Maryland -1 (-106)
    44% Youngstown St. -3 (-106)
    46% Richmond -13 (-105)
    24% Iowa St. -7 (-108)
    34% Minnesota -8.5 (-107)
    14% Tulsa -7.5 (-106)
    36% Portland St. -4 (-107)

    YTD Record
    0-1
    0%
    -1.05 units
    Friday, 11/12/10 Plays

    Well I got my ass tore up tonight. Time to start digging out I hope.

    My dog system plays
    32% Princeton -7 (-105)........................Lost
    30% UL Lafayette -2 (-101)....................Lost
    29% UTEP -8 (-110)..............................Lost
    14% SMU -7.5 (-102)............................Lost
    46% Oregon -11 (-105)..........................Lost
    28% Loyola Maryland -1 (-106)...............Lost

    44% Youngstown St. -3 (-106)...............Push
    46% Richmond -13 (-105)......................Won
    24% Iowa St. -7 (-108).........................Won
    34% Minnesota -8.5 (-107).....................Won

    14% Tulsa -7.5 (-106)............................Lost
    36% Portland St. -4 (-107).....................Lost


    YTD Record
    3-9
    25%
    -6.47 units

  12. #12
    CollegeOverUnder
    DJ COOPER
    CollegeOverUnder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-20-10
    Posts: 5,520
    Betpoints: 217

    St.Louis 2 best players are inelgible right now and one of them transfered out due to a sex crime or something

  13. #13
    The-Diesel
    Sports Handicapping Expert
    The-Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,766
    Betpoints: 1453

    Saturday, 11/13/10 Plays

    One afternoon game!!! Will have more later. GL today in college hoops.

    My Dog system Plays
    42% USC -13.5 (-102)

    YTD Record
    3-9
    25%
    -6.47 units

  14. #14
    Stevedore
    Stevedore's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-09-10
    Posts: 1,218
    Betpoints: 4435

    Better stick with RLM only, your dog system is getting killed!!

  15. #15
    The-Diesel
    Sports Handicapping Expert
    The-Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,766
    Betpoints: 1453

    Quote Originally Posted by Stevedore View Post
    Better stick with RLM only, your dog system is getting killed!!
    It will come around the lines maker are usually off the first week. If I don't have Best Bet by it, it's not a money play for me. The rest is just for tracking the system. I do play all my Pro sport picks

  16. #16
    gangeriver
    The Best Closer!
    gangeriver's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-09
    Posts: 2,138
    Betpoints: 24

    Good luck Diesel! you have a point it works well in college football.I have never tried it in college basketball. ( only yesterday )
    I think it will be %53-%53,5. Good luck! obviusly we need a reduced book.

  17. #17
    The-Diesel
    Sports Handicapping Expert
    The-Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,766
    Betpoints: 1453

    Quote Originally Posted by gangeriver View Post
    Good luck Diesel! you have a point it works well in college football.I have never tried it in college basketball. ( only yesterday )
    I think it will be %53-%53,5. Good luck! obviusly we need a reduced book.

  18. #18
    The-Diesel
    Sports Handicapping Expert
    The-Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,766
    Betpoints: 1453

    Quote Originally Posted by The-Diesel View Post
    Saturday, 11/13/10 Plays

    One afternoon game!!! Will have more later. GL today in college hoops.

    My Dog system Plays
    42% USC -13.5 (-102)

    YTD Record
    3-9
    25%
    -6.47 units
    Night games. Remember if I don't have Best Bet or My plays it's not a play for me and only for tracking.

    Dog system Plays
    42% USC -13.5 (-102)
    46% Providence -21 (-110)
    24% Wis-Milwaukee -1.5 (-105)
    32% Portland -13.5 (-110)
    31% UAB -18 (-110)

  19. #19
    The-Diesel
    Sports Handicapping Expert
    The-Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,766
    Betpoints: 1453

    Quote Originally Posted by The-Diesel View Post
    Night games. Remember if I don't have Best Bet or My plays it's not a play for me and only for tracking.

    Dog system Plays
    42% USC -13.5 (-102)
    46% Providence -21 (-110)
    24% Wis-Milwaukee -1.5 (-105)
    32% Portland -13.5 (-110)
    31% UAB -18 (-110)
    3-2 yesterday

    Dog system Plays
    42% USC -13.5 (-102)..................Lost
    46% Providence -21 (-110)...........Won
    24% Wis-Milwaukee -1.5 (-105).....Lost
    32% Portland -13.5 (-110)............Won
    31% UAB -18 (-110) ....................Won


    YTD Record
    6-11
    35%
    -5.57 units

  20. #20
    The-Diesel
    Sports Handicapping Expert
    The-Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,766
    Betpoints: 1453

    Sunday, 11/14/10

    College BBall getting into full swing. Here's some games of interest.

    My Dog system plays
    46% St. Bonaventure -6.5 (-105)
    32% Temple -29 (-105)
    38% Iona -19.5 (-105)
    35% Denver -3 (-102)
    35% Wis-Milwaukee -5.5 (-109)


    RLM Plays of Interest
    35% Denver -3 (-102)
    27% Cal-Santa Barbara +2.5 (-105)
    7% Florida +7 (-108)


    No plays for me today but one strong lean on the board.
    35% Denver -3 (-102)

  21. #21
    The-Diesel
    Sports Handicapping Expert
    The-Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,766
    Betpoints: 1453

    Monday, 11/15/10 Plays

    The system went 3-2 again yesterday. Still no actual money plays for me yet.
    Here's the system plays tonight. GL guys

    My Dog system plays
    40% USC -9 (-104)
    40% UCLA -18 (110)
    48% Rutgers -2 (-106)


    YTD Record
    9-13
    40%
    -4.64 units

  22. #22
    The-Diesel
    Sports Handicapping Expert
    The-Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,766
    Betpoints: 1453

    Quote Originally Posted by The-Diesel View Post
    Monday, 11/15/10 Plays

    The system went 3-2 again yesterday. Still no actual money plays for me yet.
    Here's the system plays tonight. GL guys

    My Dog system plays
    40% USC -9 (-104)
    40% UCLA -18 (110)
    48% Rutgers -2 (-106)

    YTD Record
    9-13
    40%
    -4.64 units
    2-1 last night

    My Dog system plays
    40% USC -9 (-104)........................Won
    40% UCLA -18 (110).......................Lost
    48% Rutgers -2 (-106)....................Won

    YTD Record
    11-14
    44%
    -3.74 units

  23. #23
    The-Diesel
    Sports Handicapping Expert
    The-Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,766
    Betpoints: 1453

    Tuesday, 11/16/10 Plays

    Here's the plays I have tonight. GL and enjoy the full night of college hoops.

    Dog system plays
    42% Florida -3 (+100)
    26% Rhode Island -17 (-108)
    42% Dayton -11 (-110)
    34% Louisville -1.5 (-105)
    46% California -15.5 (-103)
    26% Missouri St. -8 (-105)
    23% Winthrop -2 (-101)
    21% N. Colorado -6 (+100)


    YTD Record
    11-14
    44%
    -3.74 units

  24. #24
    PLAYA-PLAYA
    PLAYA-PLAYA's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-11-10
    Posts: 356

    DIESEL-----any word on college football game tonight-------MY LOCAL IS NOT PLAYING COLLEGE BASKETS YET----THANKS

  25. #25
    The-Diesel
    Sports Handicapping Expert
    The-Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,766
    Betpoints: 1453

    Quote Originally Posted by PLAYA-PLAYA View Post
    DIESEL-----any word on college football game tonight-------MY LOCAL IS NOT PLAYING COLLEGE BASKETS YET----THANKS
    Not play on the college game

  26. #26
    The-Diesel
    Sports Handicapping Expert
    The-Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,766
    Betpoints: 1453

    Quote Originally Posted by The-Diesel View Post
    Tuesday, 11/16/10 Plays

    Here's the plays I have tonight. GL and enjoy the full night of college hoops.

    Dog system plays
    42% Florida -3 (+100)
    26% Rhode Island -17 (-108)
    42% Dayton -11 (-110)
    34% Louisville -1.5 (-105)
    46% California -15.5 (-103)
    26% Missouri St. -8 (-105)
    23% Winthrop -2 (-101)
    21% N. Colorado -6 (+100)

    YTD Record
    11-14
    44%
    -3.74 units
    5-3 last night guys. Digging out from a bad opening night.

    YTD Record
    16-17
    48%
    -1.85 units

  27. #27
    The-Diesel
    Sports Handicapping Expert
    The-Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,766
    Betpoints: 1453

    Wednesday, 11/17/10 Plays

    I have 6 games on the board tonight. GL on your bets tonight.

    My dog system plays
    28% St. John's -18 (-110)
    46% Southern Miss. -12.5 (-107)
    42% Louisiana Tech -2 (-107)
    16% Bradley -5 (-103)
    44% San Jose St. -5.5 (+100)
    42% Mississippi -5 (-108)


    YTD Record
    16-17
    48%
    -1.85 units

  28. #28
    The-Diesel
    Sports Handicapping Expert
    The-Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,766
    Betpoints: 1453

    Quote Originally Posted by The-Diesel View Post
    Wednesday, 11/17/10 Plays

    I have 6 games on the board tonight. GL on your bets tonight.

    My dog system plays
    28% St. John's -18 (-110)
    46% Southern Miss. -12.5 (-107)
    42% Louisiana Tech -2 (-107)
    16% Bradley -5 (-103)
    44% San Jose St. -5.5 (+100)
    42% Mississippi -5 (-108)

    YTD Record
    16-17
    48%
    -1.85 units
    4-2 last night.

    YTD Record
    20-19
    51%
    +0.04 units

  29. #29
    The-Diesel
    Sports Handicapping Expert
    The-Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,766
    Betpoints: 1453

    Thursday, 11/18/10 Play

    One true play tonight guys!!!! Let's bring home the cash on this game.

    MY Play
    40% NC State -13 (-103) Best Bet

    YTD Record
    20-19
    51%
    +0.04 units

  30. #30
    The-Diesel
    Sports Handicapping Expert
    The-Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,766
    Betpoints: 1453

    Quote Originally Posted by The-Diesel View Post
    Thursday, 11/18/10 Play

    One true play tonight guys!!!! Let's bring home the cash on this game.

    MY Play
    40% NC State -13 (-103) Best Bet

    YTD Record
    20-19
    51%
    +0.04 units
    Final Card
    40% NC State -13 (-103) Best Bet
    43% Boston College -20 (-104)
    44% Denver -2 (-106)
    45% Minnesota -4.5 (-105)
    44% LSU -14.5 (-110)

  31. #31
    Skyliners2010
    Skyliners2010's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-10
    Posts: 9

    Thanks diesel

  32. #32
    The-Diesel
    Sports Handicapping Expert
    The-Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,766
    Betpoints: 1453

    Quote Originally Posted by Skyliners2010 View Post
    Thanks diesel

  33. #33
    The-Diesel
    Sports Handicapping Expert
    The-Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,766
    Betpoints: 1453

    Friday, 11/19/10 Plays

    Missed a couple of early winners. Went 3-2 last night and hitting the soloid play on State. GL tonight guys.

    My dog system plays
    44% Charlotte -4.5 (-102)
    47% NC State -2.5 (-107)
    43% Auburn -8.5 (-105)
    43% Louisiana Tech -6.5 (-106)
    41% Kent St. -10.5 (-105)


    YTD Record
    23-21
    52%
    +0.94 units

  34. #34
    The-Diesel
    Sports Handicapping Expert
    The-Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,766
    Betpoints: 1453

    Quote Originally Posted by The-Diesel View Post
    Friday, 11/19/10 Plays

    Missed a couple of early winners. Went 3-2 last night and hitting the soloid play on State. GL tonight guys.

    My dog system plays
    44% Charlotte -4.5 (-102)
    47% NC State -2.5 (-107)
    43% Auburn -8.5 (-105)
    43% Louisiana Tech -6.5 (-106)
    41% Kent St. -10.5 (-105)

    YTD Record
    23-21
    52%
    +0.94 units
    3-2 on the night.

    YTD Record
    26-23
    53%
    +1.84 units

  35. #35
    thejanitor
    thejanitor's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-28-10
    Posts: 202
    Betpoints: 1779

    Looking good now D. I wanted to play that NC State game but missed it due to wrong times or time change. Pissed! Really wanted to be on that one. GL this weekend.

123 Last
Top