1. 03-20-08 12:47 AM #1
    awhitejackson
    Slappin troubles away with the SlapChop
    awhitejackson's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-15-07
    Posts: 2,265
    Betpoints: 7

    Mich St. line moving against public

    I really like Temples chances as a dog tommorow to cover +7.5...Problem is line started a full point under at +6.5 and even though 70% of public bets are on Temple line has moved towards publics money (sorry thread name says different and I dont know how to change it)....Now I dont know what to do.. I hate when I feel like I've got a sure thing and then points move in funky directions....Any Ideas?????
    Last edited by awhitejackson; 03-20-08 at 12:53 AM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 03-20-08 12:50 AM #2
    Quebb Diesel
    Quebb Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-08
    Posts: 3,045
    Betpoints: 82

    yeah i dunno...i was looking at this game similar to a msu iu game...i like how msu matches up to temple but i dont think i have enough balls to take msu -7...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 03-20-08 12:50 AM #3
    MrFresh
    MrFresh's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-26-08
    Posts: 269
    Betpoints: 0

    I just hope Mich St wins cuz i got ML on them.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 03-20-08 12:51 AM #4
    OLGC_Slayer
    OLGC_Slayer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-28-08
    Posts: 2,186
    Betpoints: 0

    I'm on Temple+7 in this one. I think it stays real tight and Michigan wins by 3-5. Temple is one of those sweetheart dogs this year so I'm a little concerned about that line bouncing everywhere too, but I capped Michigan-3 so I'm taking the points.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 03-20-08 12:51 AM #5
    awhitejackson
    Slappin troubles away with the SlapChop
    awhitejackson's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-15-07
    Posts: 2,265
    Betpoints: 7

    Sorry I meant moving with public money in thread name ....tooo much pregame festivities....
    Last edited by awhitejackson; 03-20-08 at 12:56 AM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 03-20-08 12:52 AM #6
    Quebb Diesel
    Quebb Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-08
    Posts: 3,045
    Betpoints: 82

    GL OLGC...i just hate going against neitzel in the big dance...izzo always seems to have him firing on all cylinders in the tourney...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 03-20-08 12:59 AM #7
    awhitejackson
    Slappin troubles away with the SlapChop
    awhitejackson's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-15-07
    Posts: 2,265
    Betpoints: 7

    Quote Originally Posted by Quebb Diesel View Post
    GL OLGC...i just hate going against neitzel in the big dance...izzo always seems to have him firing on all cylinders in the tourney...
    I think this is what the sharps are thinking...I bet they are pounding MSU. Maybe be reason for line move
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 03-20-08 01:03 AM #8
    BuddyBear
    Update your status
    BuddyBear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 7,233
    Betpoints: 4805

    Well, i've heard opinions all week on this matchup and the "sharps" and "sqaures" are on Temple alike. I am passing on this game. The only way i could play this is Temple but I can't pull the trigger against Izzo in the tournament. Plus MSU is the only team I root for in sports really....
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 03-20-08 01:07 AM #9
    Quebb Diesel
    Quebb Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-08
    Posts: 3,045
    Betpoints: 82

    im thinking morgan gives christmas problems all day long...i wish this line was around -5 to -6 and id take msu!!! 7 1/2 is bending me too much
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 03-20-08 01:10 AM #10
    OLGC_Slayer
    OLGC_Slayer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-28-08
    Posts: 2,186
    Betpoints: 0

    I still think Michigan State wins. I am just betting it stays close. If Temple is up at the half I may even play MSU cover in the 2nd half.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 03-20-08 01:14 AM #11
    Quebb Diesel
    Quebb Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-08
    Posts: 3,045
    Betpoints: 82

    yeah im backing off this game...too tough to call for me...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 03-20-08 01:33 AM #12
    andyman009
    andyman009's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-08
    Posts: 662
    Betpoints: 0

    why not bet the over?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 03-20-08 01:36 AM #13
    Quebb Diesel
    Quebb Diesel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-08
    Posts: 3,045
    Betpoints: 82

    i hate taking big 10 overs...they are few and far between!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 03-20-08 01:53 AM #14
    WestsidePete
    WestsidePete's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-19-07
    Posts: 8,049
    Betpoints: 0

    not only do I think Temple covers I think they win this game
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 03-20-08 01:55 AM #15
    diogee
    fadeable flamingo
    diogee's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-11-08
    Posts: 19,477
    Betpoints: 6

    I have Temple moving on in my bracket as well.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 03-20-08 02:27 AM #16
    BigOrangeTitans
    Go Kill Yourself, Thx Mgmt
    BigOrangeTitans's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-23-07
    Posts: 4,504
    Betpoints: 13

    Public money trends are only +50% when the public is on the favorite. When the fave is a public fade, it is not an important trend. Especially in march. Only worry about the "public" when it comes to undervalued dogs and the public pounds the fave.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 03-20-08 02:33 AM #17
    awhitejackson
    Slappin troubles away with the SlapChop
    awhitejackson's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-15-07
    Posts: 2,265
    Betpoints: 7

    Quote Originally Posted by BigOrangeTitans View Post
    Public money trends are only +50% when the public is on the favorite. When the fave is a public fade, it is not an important trend. Especially in march. Only worry about the "public" when it comes to undervalued dogs and the public pounds the fave.
    I had to read that like 3 times....Out late...Good info though Thanks
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 03-20-08 02:35 AM #18
    BigOrangeTitans
    Go Kill Yourself, Thx Mgmt
    BigOrangeTitans's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-23-07
    Posts: 4,504
    Betpoints: 13

    Quote Originally Posted by awhitejackson View Post
    I had to read that like 3 times....Out late...Good info though Thanks
    Basically, this isnt a trend to second guess your capping with. It is less than 50%. Now if the public was on mich st and the line dropped, you would avoid MSU. Only time you need to look at it...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 03-20-08 02:38 AM #19
    OLGC_Slayer
    OLGC_Slayer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-28-08
    Posts: 2,186
    Betpoints: 0

    Who do you like here BOT?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 03-20-08 02:42 AM #20
    awhitejackson
    Slappin troubles away with the SlapChop
    awhitejackson's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-15-07
    Posts: 2,265
    Betpoints: 7

    Quote Originally Posted by BigOrangeTitans View Post
    Basically, this isnt a trend to second guess your capping with. It is less than 50%. Now if the public was on mich st and the line dropped, you would avoid MSU. Only time you need to look at it...
    Thanks again...Came full circle in this Thread...I'm back on Temple....Glad to see this line movement isnt a big deal in this situation...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | NCAA Basketball Betting | Next Thread »