Obviously the odds makers are saying White is out or at least ineffective with the short line (although I think it's where it should have been with White).
Either way I think Sampson brings that ridiculous soft zone and Purdue will torch it with all the solid mid range to 3 point shooters they have. They'll get open looks early in the shot clock and each of 'em (minus Johnson) have the green light to let it fly. Those open looks early in possessions will speed the pace up.
On the other end Indiana will have no problem picking the pace up especially if White sits. If Kramer can't keep the ball away from Gordon he'll give Purdue a ton of trouble driving the basketball. Use MSU's Lucas's performance against Purdue as an example of a mismatch for their D. Kramer will drive him nuts but he'll (Kramer) also likely foul out mid way through the 2nd half.
You can count on Indiana bringing absolutely everything they got in attempts to send Sampson out with a W. Their will be some ugliness but I think the energy in the building gives the pace a boost. More than likely you'll also see a pile of FTs for the Hoosiers (like 40+) with Purdue's physical D along with the home court edge for IU.
Purdue's games at Illinois/Wisky show Painter's more than willing to let this team take those early open looks on the road. They put up 80+ in Champagne, 70+ in Wisky & NW, 67 in NW, 75 in East Lansing, and 64 in Happy Valley where they took the foot off the gas with about 15 minutes left. Every one of those #'s likely put the game over but I think both teams reach the low 70s at a minimum. Painter just seems to have the tendency to let them go on the road as a way to get the youngsters playing loose. I think they're road #'s vs home prove that and the trend continues tomorrow.
Purdue 73
Indiana 73
Then we'll see what happens in overtime.