Originally Posted by
tab
This is probably the best underdog to bet on tommorrow. The oddsmakers have South Alabama favored heavily in this conference game. I do not believe in laying lot of points in especially in this weak conference. Troy beat South Alabama on the road last season when they were 11.5 point dogs. Troy plays South Alabama tough on their home court. I believe this spread is inflated because South Alabama has a 6-1 ATS record this season while Troy is 1-2 ATS record. If I was an oddsmaker, I would have set the spread at South ALabama -9. The oddsmakers set the spread so high that South ALabama will be unlikely to cover. Don't expect South ALabama to have a huge lead (more than 16 points) at any time in this game. I expect Troy to being covering this spread from the 1st minute to the last minute of this game.
Troy will keep it close and may make a game of it. Don't be surprised if Troy wins this game outright like they did last season. Lets make some money on this underdog and beat the oddsmakers for setting the spread too high.