This game, on Tuesday, interests me. I thought I'd start a thread to get your thoughts.
St. Mary's is hot -- still undefeated -- with notable wins against Oregon, Drake, and Seton Hall. Before this last weekend, I was thinking that they had not proven themselves away from home, but on Saturday they pulled out a win on the road against a good San Diego State team [note: this was on a neutral court (thanks IMGV)]. They have not shown much weakness, and their stats reflect that.
On the other hand, Southern Illinois has been a bit disappointing. They have lost big in three in a row, to USC (at home), Indiana (at home), and Charlotte (away). Those are good teams the Salukis have lost to, but the thing is, they have not even been able to stay close in those. And, their stats are pretty mediocre.
St. Mary's is scoring 16 points more than their opponents; Southern Illinois is scoring 0.5 more than their opponents. St. Mary's is shooting better from the field than the Salukis (47.9% to 40%) and also is hitting more 3-pointers (8.6 v. 5.2 per game). In their last game, the Salukis shot a terrible 32.3% from the field and 58.8% from the free throw line. Also, St. Mary's is rebounding much better than Southern Illinois (35.7 v. 26.5 per game).
I'll wait for the line, before making my pick, but this, I think, is a game to look at pretty closely, with the Salukis struggling and the Gaels on one of their best starts ever.