I was on the wrong side of the Kansas – Texas Tech game because I capped it without considering the “intangibles”.
I have a strong feeling this game will play out just like that game did. I’m a little hesitant to pull the trigger though because I don’t have a good sense of these two teams motivation.
I would stay away from this one. In a normal situation on a neutral court, UK should be a 15 point favorite imo. Calipari's lack of motivation to win the SEC, however, scares me. There's no way to predict this line.
I kind of think they will want to bring their A game today...I fully believe Calipari will mail it in before they have a chance to win this tournament...but I still think they want to win at least 1 game in this tourny, likely 2.
That being said, I still think Bama has a good chance to cover...I think the spread is perfect though...I think Vegas will be REALLLLY close to hitting it on the head. If you add them in a teaser or something, good idea, but I think this will really close to the number. 9 or 10 point win for KU.