Gonzaga -4 vs St Mary's - I love this matchup the Zags dominated the season series winning 80-61 and 89-82 (it wasnt that close if you watched the game). The Zags have won 6 in a row. Its hard to not take the zags in this spot but something tells me to be careful. I think it might be time for St Mary's to pull the upset. Although Gonzaga has been playing well I have seem some lulls in their play the last couple weeks and after St Mary's got snubbed from the tourny last year in this exact same spot after losing to the zags they will be as motivated as a team can be. I'm torn right now Heart and motivation VS athleticism and Matt Bouldins leadership. Won't play this until late lets see where the line goes! I'm liking the over right now though I think 1 team will hit the 80's.
Wofford -4 vs App St - I'm a big Socon guy and am 5-0-1 so far during this tourney but this one has me thinking. I was hoping for a Wofford -1 line and I was going to jump on it but App st can play and I see this one being a battle. App beat Wofford 77-76 @ Wofford and lost to them at home 74-68. App has won 6 out of the last 7 in this matchup. Guys this is going to be a nasty game both these teams hate each other and both play with energy and passion. These teams are athletic and play off momentum in a big way. My heart says Wofford but my mind says App St. If I can get 5 i'm going with App st. They have the best player on the court and I think Wofford is getting slightly over valued because they have won 12 in a row.
North Texas vs Denver PK - NT had a huge scare last night while Denver had a blow out. N. Texas won the only matchup this year 64-59 @ Denver. NT has won the last 5 in this matchup. Denver seems to foul alot from what I have seen and N. Texas seems to get teams into some foul trouble so I lean N. Texas here and to be honest I don't see Denver winning 3 days in a row away from Denver. I think the scare last night will refocus NT and they will play well tonight. ***Here's what scares me I took Denver last night becasue of the line and felt their was some sharps on Denver. We have the same exact case here. Why is this a PK? Watch out fellas something isn't exactly right with this one.***
Old Dominion -9 vs William Mary - ODU beat them twice this year 61-42 @home and 58-55 @ W&M. ODU has won last 4 in this matchup and is clearly the more athletic team here. W&M lives by the 3 and has trouble scoring in long spurts. I love ODU to win this game BUT the 9 is a different story. I'm up in the air with this one right now.
West Kentucky -4 vs Troy - these teams are 1-1 on the year both winning on homecourt. WKU won 87-69 and Troy won 77-69. Both teams have good senior leadership. I think alot of people will like WKU in this spot but I'm leaning Troy they are playing good ball and will keep this one tight and I think they can even win it outright
@Siena -8 vs Farifield - Siena is clearly the class of this league and the most talented. Fairfield is playing the best basketball and is on a hell of a ride. Siena wins this game at home BUT do they cover. Its a tough one, Siena hasn't been playing great and Fairfield has. Siena won 69-67 @ home and 81-73 @ Fairfield this year. Siena has won the last 5 matchups and 8 out of last 10 BUT the 2 losses were at Siena. the Road team has covered 8 out of 9 ATS in this matchup. The easy pick is a good Siena to blow out a lesser Fairfield team at home but the numbers say different. I'm leaning Fairfield to cover right now!
Hope these short write-ups help, I'd love to hear people's thoughts!
Goodluck on a GREAT night of basketball