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Originally Posted by HeeluvaGuy
12/5
1:00 Fairfield/Niagara o126.5 (FD)
2:00 Detroit/UIC o139.5 (MGM)
2:00 Siena/St Peters o126.5 (FD)
7:30 Ohio St/Penn St o130.5 (Caesars)
Day: 2-4 -2.4uOne addition:
Thread: 18-16 +.4u
Dec: 6-11 -6.1u
Nov: 12-5 +6.5u
On a bit of a slide here. Made some tweaks to my model that I hope will help going forward. Not sure if I will have any plays today. GL!
Last edited by HeeluvaGuy; 12-09-21 at 09:02 AM. Reason: correct december record
12/6
6:00 Texas Southern/Florida o138 (BR)
GL!! I took a flyer on NM / NM State Over 150.5. They just played on Nov 30 and it was 101-94 NM State(no OTs). NM plays the 4th fastest pace in the country
Looks like you got a nice little kiss from the OT fairy. Nice
Day: 0-1 -1.1u12/6
6:00 Texas Southern/Florida o138 (BR)
Thread: 18-17 -.7u
Dec: 6-12 -7.2u
Nov: 12-5 +6.5u
Definitely a rough start to December. Hope to do better going forward.
Last edited by HeeluvaGuy; 12-09-21 at 09:02 AM. Reason: correct december record
12/7
6:30 Virginia/James Madison o123.5 (FD)
Possibly others later. Will always post at least 1 hour before tip.
Final additions:
7:00 Oakland/Bowling Green u149.5
9:00 Loyola Marymount/Tulsa o133
Very very lucky. Everybody needs a little
Great minds think alike. I don't want to hijack anyones threads, but I don't have time for my own so I just add on to somebody I like. I'm on Loyola Over 133.5 pretty big myself. They've played 2 games that really stand out against opponents with a really slow pace, Tenn Chattanooga in their first game (#353 pace) and lost 75-64. Then last week Grand Canyon (#325 pace) and lost 78-72. They beat SMU also 76-70. All 3 of those opponents are higher ranked then Tulsa. Hopefully we'll get there toniteFinal additions:
7:00 Oakland/Bowling Green u149.5
9:00 Loyola Marymount/Tulsa o133
Nobody moving without the ball in the Tulsa LM game? Cashed out at half. Ugly
12/7
Possibly others later. Will always post at least 1 hour before tip.
Day: 1-2 -1.2uFinal additions:
Thread: 19-19 -1.9u
Dec: 7-14 -8.4u
Nov: 12-5 +6.5u
December is kicking my ass. Plain and simple.
Last edited by HeeluvaGuy; 12-09-21 at 09:03 AM. Reason: correct december record
12/8
7:00 Canisius/Northern Kentucky o139.5 (BR)
7:00 Holy Cross/Fairfield o138.5 (BR)
7:00 Samford/Alabama St u154.5 (MGM)
Scrolling through threads, it looks like a lot of folks are struggling more than in other years. Definitely not sure what's causing that, but anecdotally from watching games, it looks to me like teams are hunting the three even more than in season's past. That can lead to long possessions, which means fewer possessions for the game, which can lead to higher variance.
Doesn't make losing any more fun, but I take a little comfort in knowing it's not just me.
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Lolol. Did you look at mine. Won 3 in a row. I really like today's card.
i agree with sunshinee11
more threes, more variance yeah
I'm definitely on the struggling side this year. For some reason, some of the stats that have worked for me in the past, don't seem to be working this year. Even after a loss, when I go back and relook at the game, I would not have changed why I chose it. All I can do is keep making adjustments.
DD
It'll be fine. I've put my best handicapper on the case (as soon as he's finished watching his favorite show).I'm definitely on the struggling side this year. For some reason, some of the stats that have worked for me in the past, don't seem to be working this year. Even after a loss, when I go back and relook at the game, I would not have changed why I chose it. All I can do is keep making adjustments.
DD
AwesomeIt'll be fine. I've put my best handicapper on the case (as soon as he's finished watching his favorite show).
3 Team parlay tonite, let’s get it,
Here's a perfect example of what I'm talking about with three pointers: Villanova set a Big East record last night by missing 37 three pointers. They were 13-50 from three. They only attempted 27 two-pointers. That's ludicrous.
It looks to me as if he is protecting his bone.It'll be fine. I've put my best handicapper on the case (as soon as he's finished watching his favorite show).
Let me guess, a Lab?
Think outside the BOX.. GL12/8
7:00 Canisius/Northern Kentucky o139.5 (BR)
7:00 Holy Cross/Fairfield o138.5 (BR)
7:00 Samford/Alabama St u154.5 (MGM)
Complete mutt. Here's a pic of his sister from the same litter and her DNA results:It looks to me as if he is protecting his bone.
Now that I've been told to "think outside the box" I'll incorporate her thoughts as well. So glad we have righted this ship!
Day: 1-2 -1.2u12/8
Thread: 20-21 -3.1u
Dec: 8-16 -9.6u
Nov: 12-5 +6.5u
Three points from a winning day. Despite my struggles in this thread, my model continues to do pretty well. Games where my total is 10+ points from the line are 15-9. Hope that helps someone. Back in a while with any plays for today. GL!
12/9
7:00 Long Island/Fordham u144.5 (MGM)
9:00 Merrimack/Gonzaga o136 (BR)
(These are both 10+ on my model)
Day: 1-1 -.1u12/9
(These are both 10+ on my model)
Thread: 21-22 -3.2u
Dec: 9-17 -9.7u
Nov: 12-5 +6.5u
Two points short of a winning day, so ... progress? Ugh. Especially frustrating when Merrimack and Gonzaga combined to go 11-47 (23%) from three.
Likely passing today. GL!
12/10
7:00 Brown +3.5 (Wynn)
NCAAB best under teams playing tonight
IUPUI. 0-7-0
Cal State Northridge 1-6-0
NCAAB best over teams playing tonight
Furman 7-0-1
Depaul 7-1-0
Lost this one on FTs in the last second. What's the Counting Crows song? Long December. Yeah, no shit. If things don't start turning around, I may pull the plug on this thread.12/10
Day: 0-1 -1.1u
Thread: 21-23 -4.3u
Dec: 9-18 -10.8u
Nov: 12-5 +6.5u
12/11
4:00 St. Bonaventure/UConn o133 (BR)
4:30 UIC/Central Michigan o140.5 (DK)
7:00 Florida Gulf Coast/Robert Morris u150.5 (BR)
Additions:
3:00 Lamar/UT Arlington u141 (DK)
6:00 Alabama St/Pepperdine u149.5 (MGM)
8:30 Western Kentucky/Ole Miss o135.5 (MGM)
12/11
Additions:
Day: 3-3 -.3u
Thread: 24-26 -4.6u
Dec: 12-21 -11.1u
Nov: 12-5 +6.5u
Missed a winning day by 3 points again. Probably no plays today. Real life obligations.
GL!
12/13
8:00 Indiana St/North Dakota St u141.5 (BR)
12/13
Day: 0-1 -1.1u
Thread: 24-27 -5.7u
Dec: 12-22 -12.2u
Nov: 12-5 +6.5u
The impressive losing streak continues. Hope folks are fading this.
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