Has anyone ever tried to tail the ESPN handicappers? I'm assuming they pick games that they feel should be pick 'em spreads. Many times there comes up games that are 3 point spreads at sportsbooks, sometimes even higher. For example the Tenn @ Miss game is up on the board for tomorrow and opened at a +3.5 Tenn spread.
So, if you were tailing ESPN and assuming they handicap down to pick 'em games, you would take Tenn +3.5.......
NCAAB plays tomorrow by taking the underdog in all Streak 4 the Cash plays. These are opening lines.
Miami +2
'Cuse +1.5 (hate this play, but i'm going to take it)
Utah +2
Ark +1.5
Georgia +1
Tenn +3.5
Iona/Niagra PK (Line swung to Iona +1 no, so Iona would be the play)
CS Northridge +3.5
I don't have any idea if this will work...probably not....but, I've been thinking about it for awhile and figure I will at least take a shot at it. Figure that whoever is picking these games for ESPN is a smart dude/dudette.
BTW, tailing streaks 4 cash underdogs would have went 5-2 friday (one of the losses being DePaul +3 in that 3OT game). BACK TESTED AND PROVEN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Last edited by edoggdriveby; 03-06-10 at 02:02 AM.
just like everywhere if you just go against the games that are being picked 1 sided at a high rate you will find decent success..not necessarily the dog and of coarse the majority right sometimes but back in the day i would have decent streaks just fading the team everyone was taking, havnt played it in quite some time though
i did something called the system 12/45 if less than 12% is on the streak, and 45% in vegas its a player, additionally, another one is if a dog is getting 5 or more points and is on the streak its a play, that hits at a very high rate
I play the game here and there. The percentages have no bearing on whether you should fade or tail. Yeah, most people on there make picks based on numbers next to the teams name, or who they've actually heard of. But it's far from reliable. I played Louisville (4%) and Baylor (72%) today and coasted. Some days the consensus hit 7 out of 10, and the next it will be 3 out 10. That's because most games they post are are toss up's and trap games. So there is no pattern to ever bank on. If anything, I wouldn't bet the games that are on there.
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ESPN's Streak 4 The Cash System.
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