1. #1
    doubledime
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    ******Last Year 474-385 Plus 47 units******

    Good evening,

    We will posting First Half Team Unders again this season. Below is our reasoning for handicapping these that we stated last year:

    Generally the first half team total in college hoops will be between 46% and 48% of the game team total, so yes, some can appear quite low. However, the first half totals are generally not subject to circumstances which can affect a team total under. For example:

    1 Behind teams are not intentionally fouling in the first half to regain possession of the ball.
    2. Due to the above reason, teams are shooting less free throws near the end of the first half, than they do near the end of the game.
    3. Many coaches play for the last shot at the end of the half thus using up the clock.
    4. There is no chance for overtime in the first half.

    That's just a few reasons I feel first half unders for certain teams can be valuable, however I am looking at some key factors of these teams which include, but not limited to: 1. offensive efficiency 2. defensive efficiency of the opposing team 3. average possession length 3. FTA/FGA per game 4. the opposing teams defensive FTA/FGA 4. effective FG % 5. opposing team's effective FG %. Finally I look at Ken Pom's predicted team score and multiply that by 47%. After all that, and a few other things, if I see value, it'a a play.


    A couple of things to keep in mind:

    1. There will be a lot of plays. I generally don't like playing so many plays every day, but if it qualifies, I'll post it.

    2. Many Books do not offer first half team totals on the "extra games" and most of the plays will be on the "extra games". I know Heritage does offer these games, and maybe other members can post other books that do offer these.

    3. It's a long season. Remember it's not a sprint, it's a marathon.

    4. Last year's results do not guarantee future results, so be careful.

    5 Due to other obligations, I will not be able to post every day, but I will try my best.


    Good luck to all.

    DD

  2. #2
    doubledime
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    Good afternoon,

    First Half Team Unders:

    All unders all Extra Games

    257 USC Upstate 31
    259 Kennesaw 32
    263 Presbyterian 33
    267 Texas AM Corpus 26.5
    269 Alabama AM 25


    Good luck

  3. #3
    doubledime
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  4. #4
    doubledime
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    Good afternoon,

    First Half Team Unders:

    779 Clev St. 26.5
    783 N. TX 28.5
    785 NIU 29.5
    801 Den 27


    Extra Games:

    283 N C AT 30
    289 S C St. 26
    301 MD Eastern Shore 28
    305 Howard 25.5
    309 N Alb 26.5
    323 Jax St. 29.5
    327 N O 27.5
    329 Alb St. 24.5
    331 Mt. St. Mary's 25.5


    Good luck

  5. #5
    doubledime
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  6. #6
    doubledime
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    Good morning,

    First Half Under Plays:

    607 IUPUI 28
    619 CS Bakersfield 26
    622 IL Chicago 33
    631 UMKC 30
    648 WY 30


    Extra Games:

    348 Morgan St. 34.5
    349 Binghamton 28.5
    353 Fair Dickinson 29.5
    357 McNeese St. 24.5
    361 High Point 26.5
    363 USC Upstte 24.5
    365 Boston 29.5
    367 NJIT 34.5
    369 Niagra 30.5


    Good lcuk

  7. #7
    Matthew8
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    8-5-1 Nice evening. Keep up the great work. thanks

  8. #8
    doubledime
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  9. #9
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Matthew8 View Post
    8-5-1 Nice evening. Keep up the great work. thanks

  10. #10
    Louisvillekid1
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    Nice dd

  11. #11
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    Nice dd
    Thanks Kid, always good to hear from you

  12. #12
    doubledime
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    Good morning,

    When I handicap these unders, some plays, "on paper", seem stronger than others, though all the plays, in my opinion, have a better than 55% chance of covering. Therefore, I will place a "+" sign after the plays that I feel are statistically stronger. We'll all be able to see if that in fact, is the case.

    First Half Under Plays:

    657 UL Monroe 27
    659 Towson 25
    670 Weber 32.5
    674 Idaho 30 +
    675 VMI 31.5


    Extra Games:

    386 Presbyterian 33 +
    389 S. Miss 33
    391 Southern 25 +


    Good luck
    Last edited by doubledime; 11-14-19 at 12:58 PM.

  13. #13
    Red22
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    thanks for the work and for sharing. good luck

  14. #14
    cowbama
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    Quote Originally Posted by doubledime View Post
    Good morning,

    When I handicap these unders, some plays, "on paper", seem stronger than others, though all the plays, in my opinion, have a better than 55% chance of covering. Therefore, I will place a "+" sign after the plays that I feel are statistically stronger. We'll all be able to see if that in fact, is the case.

    First Half Under Plays:

    657 UL Monroe 27
    659 Towson 36
    670 Weber 32.5
    674 Idaho 30 +
    675 VMI 31.5


    Extra Games:

    386 Presbyterian 33 +
    389 S. Miss 33
    391 Southern 25 +


    Good luck
    Is that total on Towson right. I,m getting 25. Or should it be Florida. Good luck

  15. #15
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by cowbama View Post
    Is that total on Towson right. I,m getting 25. Or should it be Florida. Good luck
    Yes, Towson is the play at 25.

  16. #16
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Red22 View Post
    thanks for the work and for sharing. good luck
    Points Awarded:

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  17. #17
    matt711
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    Good luck this year, been lurking around.

  18. #18
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by matt711 View Post
    Good luck this year, been lurking around.
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    matt711 gave doubledime 5 Betpoint(s) for this post.
    Thanks matt

  19. #19
    Fabiodog
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    Look forward to your picks every year

  20. #20
    doubledime
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  21. #21
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fabiodog View Post
    Look forward to your picks every year

  22. #22
    Matthew8
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    Thanks for a winning day

  23. #23
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Matthew8 View Post
    Thanks for a winning day
    You're welcome

  24. #24
    doubledime
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    Good afternoon,

    First Half Unders:

    682 UT Rio Grande 31.5
    695 Clev St. 25
    697 Missoui St. 27 +
    713 Young St. 37.5
    715 UMKC 31.5
    731 Cal Riverside 28
    734 UCLA 33
    741 Idaho 31 +
    824 NC Greensboro 36.5


    Extra Games:

    397 Howard 31 +
    399 Merrimack 30
    401 Radford 33.5
    408 NIU 37.5 +
    423 Sony Brook 30.5


    A lot of games......be careful

    Good luck
    Last edited by doubledime; 11-16-19 at 10:47 AM.
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  25. #25
    Matthew8
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    sorry DD, not being a pro I can only send 2 a day. will tack on daily for awhile
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  26. #26
    Matthew8
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    824 NC Greensboro is wrong I think. 5 Dimes has them 36.5

  27. #27
    Matthew8
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    LVDean thank you? dont send your points to me...send them to doubledime. He's the one making us money

  28. #28
    LVDean
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    Quote Originally Posted by Matthew8 View Post
    LVDean thank you? dont send your points to me...send them to doubledime. He's the one making us money
    Oops, sorry I hit the wrong button. I meant to give them to Doubledime.

  29. #29
    Matthew8
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    Not being a pro here I am only aloud to send 2 Bet points per day. I will send you these back in a day or 2. I would like to send Doubledime more this weekend first.

  30. #30
    doubledime
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    Good afternoon,

    Two 12:00 games

    First Half Unders:

    751 Oakland 27
    755 Ohio 25.5


    Back later with the rest of the card and updated YTD.

    Good luck
    Points Awarded:

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  31. #31
    doubledime
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    LVDean gave doubledime 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


    Thank you Matt and LV

  32. #32
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Matthew8 View Post
    824 NC Greensboro is wrong I think. 5 Dimes has them 36.5
    You were correct Matt, and it covered. (typo) As a matter of fact, both teams went under the first half total. I was traveling yesterday and could not answer.

  33. #33
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Matthew8 View Post
    sorry DD, not being a pro I can only send 2 a day. will tack on daily for awhile

  34. #34
    doubledime
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  35. #35
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by doubledime View Post
    Good afternoon,

    Two 12:00 games

    First Half Unders:

    751 Oakland 27 W
    755 Ohio 25 W


    Back later with the rest of the card and updated YTD.

    Good luck
    Adding:

    First Half Unders:

    759 N.Col 26 L
    783 Austin Peay 31.5 L
    797 Marist 25 + W
    803 St. Bonny 27 L
    805 IL Chicago 28.5 L
    810 SIU 30 L
    812 WY 25.5 L
    816 Loy Mary 30.5 L


    Extra Games:

    441 Campbell 38 + L
    448 Dart 33.5 + W
    453 Rob Morris 27 L
    455 Northwesten St. 30.5 W
    457 Alcorn St. 27 W
    460 NJIT 35 + L
    462 Binghamton 33 + P
    473 Stony Brook 33 + L
    477 McNees St. 31 L
    479 MD Eastern Shore 26 + W
    493 Jax St. 25.5 + L
    499 Ark Pine Bluff 27.5 + W


    So many games. I tried my best to limit the number of games, but these all qualify, so here they are. Be careful. Remember it's a long season.

    Good luck
    Last edited by doubledime; 11-17-19 at 10:29 AM. Reason: Win/Loss update

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