Ohio State has nothing without Wesson. I understand there might be motivation factors for Wisconsin here, but I'm not sure that rationalizes a play on the Buckeyes. Yeah it's must win, yeah it's at home. But not just the recent games, any time Wesson comes out of the game for any length of time with foul trouble, OSU has serious issues scoring with any sort of consistency. Add to that Wisky is playing some of their best defensive ball of the year lately and I'll take it.
I think the spread covers, but going ML in case it's close.
Im sure almost everyone would agree with you. But when it seems this easy and logical the opposite happens. The under 1H seems like a good play as well.