I don't usually do write ups but I want to explain my thoughts on this game and see how people think. The last time Nevada and San Jose State met it was in Nevada and they won by 29 points. The line opened at 3.5 which caught my eye before researched the teams. San Jose State is (9-3) at home losing to St Marys (22-5) 78-71, Utah State (22-6) 81-65 and on Monday 2/22 they lost to Seattle (14-14) 90-88. They are now playing a second consecutive home game and I do not see them losing two in a row at home. Nevada's awful road record (3-8) make me feel comfortable with this bet.
Yeah the 29 point win in Nevada is the reason but San Jose is (4-10) on the road. They protect home court very well and Adrian Oliver is a machine if any of you have seen him he scored 35 points at home in the loss to Seattle.
I agree on all counts with your write-up, but I think it's hard to overlook Nevada's 29 point win the first time they met up. I have not seen either play so I can't comment - but they may just match up well against SJ. I do like revenge plays in College basketball - teams looking for revenge at home seem to find it.
No play for me right now - still researching - BOL to you
Well in that game Nevada shot over 50% from FG and 41% from three. Also San Jose had 20 turnovers to Nevada's 8 the entire game so it was a disaster in the making on the road.
I'm going to pile on and say I like San Jose St. as well. Like someone mentioned earlier, Washington transfer Adrian Oliver is playing extremely well, and this team can light it up from deep and score inside. Nevada hasn't won a road game by 4+ in over a month. I'll take the points, and think the moneyline is a good play, too.
Often teams that have been blow out in the first match up of the season work harder and review game tapes to ensure they improve in the next matchup. When I looked at this game just now I see that San Jose St. is 7-2 ATS at home. College ball home court is HUGE. What makes me nervous about the San Jose play is that they are out matched in just about every aspect, but not by much. Nevada FG 47.8%, SJS 45.8%. SJS has better offensive rebounding and free throw shooting. Defensive boards will be big in this game for SJS to keep it close. Oveall I think it could be worthy of a small play to have some interest in the game.
Nevada should be a -10 favorite after that killing of San Jose. Oddmakers want everyone to jump on that -3.5 but the right play is San Jose because of their great play at home. Even if they lose it won't be a lot. I do not see a opposing team coming in and shooting over 50% from Fg and 41% from three on my home court.
I didnt really cap this game that closely but I see there is value on San Jose based on your research. I may have to add them to my nightcap along side Loyola Mary. BOL tonight........
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Nevada @ San Jose State
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