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KENT ST at BOWLING GREEN: 71.4% OVER rate is not OVERRATED
INJURY REPORT:
BOWLING GREEN:
no signifigant injuries
KENT ST:
no signifigant injuries
BOWLING GREEN, fresh off their dismantling of VALPO is hosting KENT ST GOLDEN FLASHES tonight.
These teams have only met once this year, at KENT ST- going OVER 125 with a score of 76-70 as BWL GRN pulled a shocking S/U upset as +11 dogs.
The total in this game is installed at 128, and 128.5 on pinny.
At home the FALCONS D are holding teams to 63ppg with 71st ranked defense.
On the road the FLASHES D are holding team to 63ppg with a 75th ranked defense.
Statistically speaking, BOWLING GREEN has a horrible offense ranking at 303 in the NCAA with 62 ppg average. It didn't look horrible shooting 50% from the field at KENT ST two weeks ago.
the FALCONS have been extremely unpredictable this year with their offense, failing to even put up 60 against the likes of TOLEDO and 73rd ranked defense C MICH (totals were at 116 and 122 both went UNDER).
I don't expect BOWLING GREEN to have an incredibly high scoring 1H, with the total being around 60 points.
Where I'm really looking to reel in a winner is this 2H.
the FALCONS are proven to be better offensively in the 2H, with 30 points avg in the 1H and 66ppg avg; while the FLASHES are about the same.
I don't expect to get any favorable line movement on this one.
OVER 128
The OVER in this series is 10-4 the last 13 years. (71.4%)
The OVER in this series is 3-2 the last 3 seasons.
The OVER in this series is 2-0 at BOWLING GREEN the last 3 seasons.
Other Trends:
Under is 4-1 in Golden Flashes last 5 games as a favorite.
Under is 6-1 in Golden Flashes last 7 road games.
Under is 5-1 in Golden Flashes last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 5-1 in Golden Flashes last 6 Wednesday games.
Under is 4-1 in Golden Flashes last 5 overall.
Over is 7-2 in Golden Flashes last 9 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Over is 6-2-1 in Golden Flashes last 9 games as a road favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Over is 9-3-1 in Golden Flashes last 13 games as a road favorite
Over is 8-2 in Golden Flashes last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5
Under is 7-1 in Falcons last 8 games following a ATS win.
Over is 9-1 in Falcons last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 5-1 in Falcons last 6 overall.
Over is 5-1 in Falcons last 6 games as a home underdog.
Over is 9-2 in Falcons last 11 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Over is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 games as a home underdog of 0.5-6.5.
Over is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 vs. Mid-American.
Interesting note:
Golden Flashes are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
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144 will do just fine
