Old dominion is averaging 65.75 pts in february games excluding the highest and lowest score. THEY HAVE ALLOWED 60.25 pts in february, again excluding the highest and lowest scores to normalize the average. looking at similar opponents as of late, james madison and townson st come to mind. James madison score was 64-44. James madison, however scored only 8% of their 3-pters!!!! so its kinda no wonder that game was so low scoring. they also shot 32.7 from the field, and 55 FT. it was james madison's sorriest performance since facing murray st november 20th. When they faced TOWNSON ST on 2/16, a team whos record is worse than Georgia st, old dominion allowed them to score 67 pts, and scored 78 pts on them. In conclusion, this line is TOO LOW, about 8 to 10 pts too low.
Georgia St. is averaging 63.25 pts on offense the last 6 in february excluding the highest and lowest. they are allowing 62.5 pts in the last six also, however, since Old Dominion is the strongest opponent they are facing so far i expect them to allow them to score more than average. I dont see old Dominion scoring less than 70 -72 pts in this match up, and Georgia st will certainly stay in the 60's, giving us a comfortable 10 to 12 pt cover...
so the question is, is GA st. home D, strong enough to hold old dominion under 65 pts? I dont think so. Old D hits at LEAST 68 pts comfortably, leaving us waiting for GA st. to comfortably hit 49 pts to cover the 117. I actually cap the game to be 74-62. A correlated parlay might be a good idea also...COMMENTS and discussion welcome and encouraged