1. #1
    Evolution
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    Appalachian State tonight

    Lots of posts about Elon at home, so I want to visit the other side. Appalachian State has played some good ball in the Southern conference this year. They have won 5 of there last 6. They lost 2 games ago to Charleston on the road who leads the division.

    Elon has played some close games and is on a 2 game winning streak. They have lost closely to some good teams in there conference (Charleston by 3). But, they have also been blown out by some teams as well (App State and Wofford).

    On paper, a lot of people might consider the home team and the points. Here is why I say no. App. State can still win the North. They lead Western Carolina by a game and a half. If they lose here and W. Carolina wins there next game, we essentially have a tie. The race in the north is by no means over. They want seeding for there conference tournament and a chance to go to the big dance. Elon is pretty much done for the year.

    Additionally, App State beat Elon 89-65 at home earlier in the year. I understand this was a month ago at App State, but that is solid win. I see the spread at 4.5 points and I am taking App. State and am thinking an 8 point win in a close game up until the last 5-7 minutes. For those that think a team becomes "due" for a lose (still not sure if I agree or disagree with this theory), App State lost 2 games ago to Charleston, so that is out of the way.

    Additional Trend Stats (for those that like this)

    Key stats I take away are how good App State has played against the spread lately and in the division. Elon has faired well, but in the underdog category, they have not faired well.

    Appalachian St.
    • Mountaineers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
    • Mountaineers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
    • Mountaineers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
    • Mountaineers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
    • Mountaineers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
    • Mountaineers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Southern.
    • Mountaineers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.

    Elon University
    • Phoenix are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
    • Phoenix are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
    • Phoenix are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
    • Phoenix are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Southern.
    • Phoenix are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
    • Phoenix are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
    • Phoenix are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.

  2. #2
    2daBank
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    not sure how Elon season is any more done than App st? they both in the same boat as every year, gotta win conf tourney to make the dance.....honestly you lose me with every thread you start when you start shooting out those meaningless trends....small play on Elon for me....gl tonight

  3. #3
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
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    I wouldn't play this game with your money, let alone mine.

  4. #4
    hanco21
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    Watch out Mr. Lang is on App.

  5. #5
    jimmyg2727
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    You can go get AppST at 3.5 now. haha goodluck I'll stick with my Elon +5..for 1 unit

  6. #6
    Wilforth
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    Quote Originally Posted by jimmyg2727 View Post
    You can go get AppST at 3.5 now. haha goodluck I'll stick with my Elon +5..for 1 unit
    Elon ML is a good play!

  7. #7
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wilforth View Post
    Elon ML is a good play!
    Elon's 8-19 and App State ran them over by 24 the first time around.

    They might cover and I suppose could even win, but I'm not sure I'd call it a "good play."



    Anyway, BOL.

  8. #8
    Evolution
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    Money in da bank. I don't rip on your threads. I give you my rationale, then I include the trends. A lot of people like them. I don't necessarily use them myself, I just include them. I'm not ripping on your thoughts. I'd appreciate it if you didn't hop around and rip on mine.

    Just like you see an easy ELON cover, I see App state getting a good win to keep the lead in the North. That was all. Good luck tonight.

  9. #9
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Elon's 8-19 and App State ran them over by 24 the first time around.

    They might cover and I suppose could even win, but I'm not sure I'd call it a "good play."



    Anyway, BOL.

    its always a good play when you get a team that was ran over the 1st meeting and now every1 is on the teams jock that did the running over the 1st time

  10. #10
    Evolution
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    Oh, and of course no one is right all the time. So, take what I post for what it is worth.

  11. #11
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    its always a good play when you get a team that was ran over the 1st meeting and now every1 is on the teams jock that did the running over the 1st time
    I'd say there are plenty of peeps on Elon, judging by the comments here and the line movement.

    I know there's a revenge factor and all, but Elon is simply not very good. I'd feel like an idiot if I played them and lost. Again, BOL, Bank.

  12. #12
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by Evolution View Post
    Money in da bank. I don't rip on your threads. I give you my rationale, then I include the trends. A lot of people like them. I don't necessarily use them myself, I just include them. I'm not ripping on your thoughts. I'd appreciate it if you didn't hop around and rip on mine.

    Just like you see an easy ELON cover, I see App state getting a good win to keep the lead in the North. That was all. Good luck tonight.
    1st off i never see anything as "easy" and i wasnt ripping on your thread...im just saying that you seem to like to throw out trends that mean little to nothing to support your argument...those are not thoughts, not once did i rip anything you said so dont start nothing wont be nothing......gl

  13. #13
    ojs69
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    GL Tonight Evolution

  14. #14
    Evolution
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    Cool. No problem then. My arguement was winning the north title for a better seed in the conference tournament and that App State is the better team at this time. Again, I put the trends in because some people seem to want to see how they faired against the trends. Its not for everyone.

  15. #15
    2daBank
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    sure they are absolutely the better team but elon has played a lot of teams in this conf tough and wouldnt surprise me if the same happened tonight ...glad i got it earlier as it still falling...gl tonight

  16. #16
    jimmyg2727
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    Elon played another close game like we said... good call guys. hopefully we all got in at the right number and won. I had Elon +5 but I know alot got App St at -3.5 and won too.

  17. #17
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by jimmyg2727 View Post
    Elon played another close game like we said... good call guys. hopefully we all got in at the right number and won. I had Elon +5 but I know alot got App St at -3.5 and won too.
    what was the final? cbs is stuck with 17 seconds left.....i got +4.5 am i good?

  18. #18
    jimmyg2727
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    58-54 App st

  19. #19
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by jimmyg2727 View Post
    58-54 app st

    nice

  20. #20
    sportsfan2009
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    nice call

  21. #21
    tylerguy02
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    Wow....glad I got the -3.5

  22. #22
    Evolution
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    Yup. I waited and ended up at - 3.5 as well. Worked great for everyone. Wish I would not have gotten talked out of UConn by a friend. I stayed away from the game. They looked good.

  23. #23
    Power Play
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    mr brandon lang was on chicago and ap state...................

  24. #24
    Ace333
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    I took App -4. Push. Wont complain. It was last minute take, and at least was not a loss. Hit my Uconn bet though!

  25. #25
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by Evolution View Post
    Yup. I waited and ended up at - 3.5 as well. Worked great for everyone. Wish I would not have gotten talked out of UConn by a friend. I stayed away from the game. They looked good.

    glad it worked out for everybody...you know books hate games like that

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