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HG's 2017-18 College Basketball Thread
I considered not doing one of these this season (especiall after my awful year in football), but I am doing the work anyway, and I enjoy the discussions.
A little background, I focus mostly on totals. I have a mode that I will start using as a tool in December, and I rely very heavily on pace of play analysis. I enjoy writing up my plays, but I don't always have time for that.
I always welcome questions and discussion, so please feel free to jump in. First picks coming momentarily...
11:00 Manhattan -7 (I got -6 but still like it here)
The Jaspers are sometimes a frustrating team to watch, but they're very experienced this year and are coming off of a nice home win against Harvard. Manhattan is clearly the better team, let's just hope they can make FTs down the stretch to cover the number.
1:30 Georgia Southern/Missouri St o145.5 (I'm in at 146)
I get at least 72 possessions here, but it could go higher. Missouri St has a huge edge on the glass, and GaSo has the edge on the perimeter. If GaSo's shots are falling, this one should go over.
2:00 Prairie View A&M/Eastern Kentucky u149.5
I have this one in the low 140s. The pace could be quick, but the efficiency shouldn't be great. I don't like how much these two foul, but I think the early Vegas start could see these teams sluggish from the get go.
Good luck this year, Heel! Get 'em!
Will be here daily!
Originally Posted by HeeluvaGuy
11:00 Manhattan -7 (I got -6 but still like it here)
The Jaspers are sometimes a frustrating team to watch, but they're very experienced this year and are coming off of a nice home win against Harvard. Manhattan is clearly the better team, let's just hope they can make FTs down the stretch to cover the number.
1:30 Georgia Southern/Missouri St o145.5 (I'm in at 146)
I get at least 72 possessions here, but it could go higher. Missouri St has a huge edge on the glass, and GaSo has the edge on the perimeter. If GaSo's shots are falling, this one should go over.
2:00 Prairie View A&M/Eastern Kentucky u149.5
I have this one in the low 140s. The pace could be quick, but the efficiency shouldn't be great. I don't like how much these two foul, but I think the early Vegas start could see these teams sluggish from the get go.
Manhattan lookin like the don't want this win shootin like shit from 3...
It's almost impossible to predict 3-point shooting. Right now we have compounding deviations in the wrong direction.
Can't win if the can't knock the threes down 1-12..
Yeah, 50% shooting team goes 3-20 (two makes were in the final minute) from three while the 31% team goes 9-18. Not hard to figure out what went wrong there.
Damm dude looks like 0-3 day already bad day to tail ur plays
1-2. Lost the under with 3 seconds left on a meaningless dunk. Teams shot 49-58 from the FT line. Absurd.
Tough breaks
Those 1/2 losses are hard...it's a long season.....you will get them!.............................BOL
5:00 Richmond/UAB o145
I really like the potential for 75+ possessions in this one. Shooters are struggling in his gym today, but neither of these teams relies heavily on the three. There's also he potential for a lot of fouling here.
You guys know the drill. That stuff happens. More fun to be on he other side of it like in the Georgia Southern game.
Unless I missed something, the Richmond game is my last play today. GL!
+10 is the best play here I think win out riteUnless I missed something, the Richmond game is my last play today. GL!
Win outright??? 😂😂😂
😂😂😂😂😂
nice call
No shit. I'd like to know what you saw there. I was way off on that one.
OK. Not a good day, but we move on. I don't buy points so all of these are tracked at -110 unless otherwise noted. All plays are also one unit unless otherwise noted.
1-3 (-2.3u)
Hella is a great capper leave him alone trolls
Good luck this season HG glad to see you back
Cheers, fellas. First pick for Tuesday:
9:00 UT Arlington +10.5
I really like the Mavericks' experience here against a Bama team that starts 4 freshmen and is facing its first NCAAT level competition tonight. Arlington won on the road last season at then number 12 St Mary's by 14, so I don't expect them to be intimidated or to fold it up late. Perhaps a sign of the youth on the court, Bama is shooting just 52% fromnthe FT line - a factor that could come in handy trying to stay within the number late.
6:00 Penn St/Texas A&M o139.5
Running short on time, but I think we see 73+ possessions here.
Ty for sharing
top notch
Late add:
2:30 Wyoming -1.5
Late add:
2:30 Wyoming -1.5
The lose take Louisiana the been playin good and shooting great at tht gym... win out rite
The over where it at i believe. Wyo been playing bunch of teams that play at a snails pace all year, this gonna be a track meet! Just hope shots fall.
So much for this, wish I knew what pace was like.? Are they simply missing everything or is it much slower than I anticipated?
Missing everything and getting a bunch of o boards so limited opportunities. Shooting has been bad all around in this gym.
I think Missouri st coach is coaching both teams this game also
sheesh
GET THE BALL INSIDE
do they know what a paint touch is???
i didn't even bet this game but wtf
Yea I know the shooting has sucked but I thought it was gonna be so up and down that ultimately wouldn't matter, expected easy putbacks as well. Such a bummer cause this first team wyo has seen that plays fast.
Now wyo doing what I expected. Total that high it too late I was buried in 1st 10 minutes.
Another late add:
5:00 Georgia Southern/UMKC u149
I have this one at under 70 possessions, which I don't think is enough to get to 150.
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