1. 01-17-18 02:43 PM #456
    HeeluvaGuy
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    8:00 S Illinois/Loyola u136
    I get 64/65 possessions here and a total of 128. Last year both games only had 61 possessions, but one game did finish at 142.


    ETA: they also played in th conference tourney. Score was 55-50 on 70 possessions.
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  2. 01-17-18 04:52 PM #457
    HeeluvaGuy
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    Running low on time. Two more:

    7:00 Fordham/La Salle o127
    I have this one at 133 on 66 possessions.

    7:00 Auburn/Alabama u154.5
    Scary play, but I get 147.
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  3. 01-17-18 04:57 PM #458
    Lucky1g
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    Nice job in here. Lots of time to get hot and go on run. Goodluck!
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  4. 01-17-18 05:08 PM #459
    sagorjanski
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    Let's get it.

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  5. 01-17-18 05:20 PM #460
    HeeluvaGuy
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    Thanks gents. Wish I had more time today. Very surprised that I came up with this volume on this card. Hope that’s a good thing...
    Points Awarded:

    sagorjanski gave HeeluvaGuy 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

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  6. 01-17-18 09:05 PM #461
    HeeluvaGuy
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    3-2. Thought we were going to get the later game at half, but after scoring just 58 in the first they put up 86 in the second.

    Thread: 77-73 (+1.49u)
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  7. 01-17-18 10:24 PM #462
    HeeluvaGuy
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    For Thursday:

    8:00 Wright St/Green Bay o142 2 Units
    I get 74+ possessions for this one, and it could get higher.
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  8. 01-18-18 10:33 AM #463
    HeeluvaGuy
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    Just a quick heads up ... I am not going to have a ton of time for today’s slate or for Saturday. I’ll do what I can and will post what I find, but volume will likely be low because I will not get to every game.
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  9. 01-18-18 03:19 PM #464
    HeeluvaGuy
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    7:00 Marist/Siena u145
    I get 135 on 67 possessions. They played to a 121 point total already this year.
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  10. 01-18-18 05:24 PM #465
    HeeluvaGuy
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    Looks like just the two tonight unless I get some time to work through the 9:00 games. BOL!
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  11. 01-18-18 08:50 PM #466
    HeeluvaGuy
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    2-0 night with a 2u winner. Looked bleak at halftime of each, but things averaged out in the second.

    Thread: 79-73 (+4.49u)
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  12. 01-19-18 10:31 AM #467
    HeeluvaGuy
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    Friday:

    7:00 St Bonaventure/Davidson u145
    I get 66 possessions and 139 points for this one.

    7:00 Indiana/Michigan St u144
    For this one I have 68 possessions and 138 total points.
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  13. 01-19-18 10:50 AM #468
    HeeluvaGuy
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    One more:

    9:00 Canisius/Manhattan o137.5
    I get 69 possessions and 144 points here.
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  14. 01-19-18 12:06 PM #469
    sagorjanski
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    Back on track. Best of luck today!
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  15. 01-20-18 06:53 AM #470
    HeeluvaGuy
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    1-2 last night. The shooting in the Davidson game kept us from a winning night.

    Thread: 80-75 (+3.29u)
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  16. 01-20-18 08:30 AM #471
    HeeluvaGuy
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    As I mentioned, I don't have time to get through the whole slate today, but I'll post what I find:

    12:00 St John's/Georgetown o145.5
    My low estimate on this one is 151 with 72 possessions.
    Last edited by HeeluvaGuy; 01-20-18 at 09:35 AM. Reason: Fixed start time
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  17. 01-20-18 09:37 AM #472
    HeeluvaGuy
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    EDIT:

    I AM DELETING THIS PLAY. I MADE SOME ERRORS IN THIS ONE. NOT A PLAY.

    1:00 Niagara/Fairfield u159
    I have a pretty wide range on this one. My high is 151, and my low is 140. My possession range is 72-77, so there's definitely some uncertainty as to how this one plays out, but even my most conservative estimate has this one well below the number.
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  18. 01-20-18 09:43 AM #473
    DOM_Toretto
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    Thoughts on Miss St @ Bama o/u?

    I could see both teams in the 70s in this one, looks like an over to me.
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  19. 01-20-18 09:43 AM #474
    HeeluvaGuy
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    Sorry about the confusion on the Niagara game. I wanted to edit the post as quickly as possible to prevent anyone from playing based on that post. I just fixed the error and this is still not a bad play, but I am not going to count it for thread purposes. As it turns out, by range is 150-161. Again, my play is locked in, but that game will not count towards my thread tracking.

    Sorry about all that.
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  20. 01-20-18 09:46 AM #475
    HeeluvaGuy
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    Quote Originally Posted by DOM_Toretto View Post
    Thoughts on Miss St @ Bama o/u?

    I could see both teams in the 70s in this one, looks like an over to me.
    I’ll do that one next and let you know.
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  21. 01-20-18 09:54 AM #476
    HeeluvaGuy
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    Quote Originally Posted by DOM_Toretto View Post
    Thoughts on Miss St @ Bama o/u?

    I could see both teams in the 70s in this one, looks like an over to me.
    My range on that one is 137-145, so it's a pass for me at 139.5.
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  22. 01-20-18 10:28 AM #477
    HeeluvaGuy
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    Don't think I'll have time for much more:

    2:00 St Louis/UMass o129.5
    My best estimate on this one is 139 on 67 possessions. With that efficiency, we could survive with a few less possessions as well.
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  23. 01-21-18 08:22 PM #478
    HeeluvaGuy
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    1-1 on Saturday and no plays on Sunday.

    Thread: 81-76 (+3.19u)
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  24. 01-21-18 08:23 PM #479
    HeeluvaGuy
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    For Monday:

    7:00 Iowa St/Texas o137
    I get 145 on 67/68 possessions.
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  25. 01-21-18 08:52 PM #480
    HeeluvaGuy
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    8:15 Appalachian St/Troy u153.5
    I get 141 on 69 possessions, so there is some cushion if someone gets hot from three. In six meetings these two have never gone over this number.
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  26. 01-22-18 04:58 PM #481
    Louisvillekid1
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    Get ‘em! HG!
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  27. 01-24-18 04:50 PM #482
    HeeluvaGuy
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    Hey guys. I’m still here. Things have just been a little hectic. And I’m trying to figure out a way to avoid some of the variance we’ve seen in several plays. I’ll update the record and all as soon as I get a chance. I tweaked my focus a little bit and am testing something out. Not a wholesale change in how I do things, just a shift in focus. I won’t track these because I think they are stale lines, but for tonight I’m playing:

    Evansville/Valpo u133.5
    Riverside/Irvine o131

    I have others that didn’t make the cut but that I’m tracking. Hope to be back posting very soon.
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  28. 01-24-18 05:08 PM #483
    Brutus84
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    Just post winners and you will be fine. Niagara ml, Georgetown ml, Duquesne ml, Rutgers ov 128
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  29. 02-15-18 04:09 PM #484
    HeeluvaGuy
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    Hey guys. Sorry for flaking. I didn’t want to post losers, so I dropped off but didn’t stop grinding. Not that it matters, but February has been pretty good (21-13). Keeping up a thread can be a little stressful, but I think I’m ready to dip my toe back in. Tonight I have:

    MTSU/Southern Miss u141.5
    Marist/Fairfield o151.5
    Southern Utah/North Dakota o160
    Points Awarded:

    sagorjanski gave HeeluvaGuy 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

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  30. 02-15-18 04:11 PM #485
    HeeluvaGuy
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    Updated record:

    Thread: 81-78 (+.99u)
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  31. 02-15-18 09:57 PM #486
    HeeluvaGuy
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    2-1 night

    Thread: 83-79 (+1.89u)
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  32. 02-17-18 09:01 AM #487
    HeeluvaGuy
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    Gonna roll out plays as I get to them working by tip time. No plays up through the 1 p.m. starts.

    2:00 FIU/FAU u133.5
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  33. 02-17-18 09:12 AM #488
    HeeluvaGuy
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    2:00 Alabama/Kentucky o139.5
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  34. 02-17-18 09:37 AM #489
    HeeluvaGuy
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    3:00 IPFW/NDSU o149
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  35. 02-17-18 09:49 AM #490
    HeeluvaGuy
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    3:30 Troy/Appalachian St o151
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