[shopbar picks]

Respect that you put yourself out there/here.
I really like mizzou

[FUqer]

Saturday (2/17/18) NCAAB Plays


¤ So Illinois +2.5 (-105) 2pm
¤ George Mason +8.5 (-105) 2pm
¤ Ball St -1 (+102) 2pm
¤ Miami Ohio +3.5 (-105) 330pm
¤ Texas A&M +3.0 (-106) 4pm
¤ Notre Dame +1.0 (-102) 4pm
¤ Vanderbilt +2.0 (-105) 4pm

____________________

¤ North Dakota St -4 (-102) 3pm
¤ Saint Louis +3.5 (-106) 6pm

¤ Charleston -3 (-101) 7pm
¤ Delaware -1 (-105) 7pm

[FUqer]

Respect that you put yourself out there/here.
I really like mizzou

I like Missouri too, but those type of plays rarely work out for me, I'll have to wait and see just how popular of a pick they are. Washington is in same boat for me as Missouri.

[FUqer]

¤ Missouri ML (+108) 2pm

[FUqer]

¤ Louisiana Tech +3 (-109) 7pm
¤ Baylor -1 (-102) 730pm
¤ Louisville -1.5 (-101) 815pm
¤ Bradley +2.5 (-102) 9pm

[FUqer]

Would be 21-7 so far today if I played every game according to my numbers, but of course I'm only 8-4, still managed to find 3 of the 7 losers so far, lol.

[FUqer]

Saturday (2/17/18) NCAAB Results

9-7 for +1.77

LOSS - ¤ Missouri ML (+108) 2pm
WIN - ¤ So Illinois@ +2.5 (-105) 2pm
WIN - ¤ George Mason@ +8.5 (-105) 2pm
WIN - ¤ Ball St -1 (+102) 2pm
LOSS - ¤ North Dakota St -4 (-102) 3pm
LOSS - ¤ Miami Ohio@ +3.5 (-105) 330pm
LOSS - ¤ Texas A&M@ +3.0 (-106) 4pm
WIN - ¤ Notre Dame@ +1.0 (-102) 4pm
WIN - ¤ Vanderbilt +2.0 (-105) 4pm
WIN - ¤ Saint Louis@ +3.5 (-106) 6pm
WIN - ¤ Charleston@ -3 (-101) 7pm
WIN - ¤ Delaware -1 (-105) 7pm
LOSS - ¤ Louisiana Tech +3 (-109) 7pm
WIN - ¤ Baylor -1 (-102) 730pm
LOSS - ¤ Louisville -1.5 (-101) 815pm
LOSS - ¤ Bradley +2.5 (-102) 9pm
____________________
Season = 156-171 for -27.37
____________________

ATS = 118-119 for -10.48

(Dogs = 88-89 for -9.03)
(Favs = 30-30 for -1.45)


ML = 6-21 for -15.58

OU = 27-21 for +3.92

(Overs = 3-5 for -2.50)
(Unders = 24-16 for +6.42)


Parlays = 1-10 for -8.90

Teasers = 4-0 for +3.67


_____________________

Past Results

2/17 = 9-7 for +1.77
2/16 = 0-5 for -5.17
2/15 = 5-4 for +0.93
2/14 = 5-6 for -0.75
2/13 = 5-5 for -0.15
2/12 = 3-4 for -1.16

2/11 = 1-2 for -1.10
2/10 = 11-18 for -8.80
2/9 = 4-3 for +0.70
2/8 = 3-6 for -3.50
2/7 = 8-3 for +4.80
2/6 = 3-3 for -0.30
2/5 = 2-0 for +2.00

2/3 = 3-6 for -3.20
2/1 = 2-5 for -3.50
1/31 = 4-6 for -2.60
1/30 = 6-3 for +2.70
1/28 = 1-1 for -0.10

1/27 = 9-13 for -5.23
1/26 = 0-1 for -1.00
1/25 = 7-4 for +2.60
1/23 = 3-3 for -0.15

1/21 = 1-4 for -3.40
1/20 = 5-3 for +1.70
1/18 = 1-1 for -0.10
1/17 = 6-7 for -1.70
1/16 = 4-4 for -0.40

1/15 = 1-1 for -0.10
1/14 = 3-3 for -0.30
1/13 = 3-1 for +1.90
1/12 = 1-3 for -2.30
1/11 = 9-1 for +7.90
1/10 = 3-4 for -1.40
1/9 = 4-5 for -1.30
1/8 = 0-0 for +0.00

1/7 = 1-4 for -3.10
1/6 = 2-3 for -0.95
1/5 = 3-3 for -0.30
1/4 = 4-0 for +4.00
1/3 = 0-5 for -5.33
1/2 = 4-3 for +0.70
1/1 = 0-0 for +0.00

12/6 = 1-5 for -4.25
12/5 = 4-1 for +2.57
12/4 = 1-1 for +0.00
11/10 = 1-1 for +0.00
_____________________

A positive day but I'm disappointed it wasn't better, my model numbers I posted Thursday night went 32-16, and I start out great again and then my last 5 additions were all losers, including another freaking ML loss, when I could of win if I would of just took the +1.5 available at the time. I can't seem to avoid at least one game like Bradley where they are winning the whole game and then somehow let the other team go on a 15-0 run at the end of the game and lose. Sometimes I can be very good at diagnosing my mistakes, but pretty stubborn when it comes to changing them. I'm at least confident in my model for the first time all season, so hopefully I can put together a string of winning days, something that I haven't done all season.

[FUqer]

Model numbers for Sunday games.


Number in () on far left, is what my projection was.
Number in () in the middle, is the difference between my projection and posted line. (Value)
Number in () on far right, is actual posted lines as of 8 pm Friday.


Cincinnati (-12.8) (6.8) (-6) vs Wichita St

Pittsburgh (+17.5) (4.5) (+22) at Florida St

Siena (-1.3) (4.3) (+3) vs Monmouth

Manhattan (-6.7) (4.2) (-2.5) vs Niagara

Clemson (-2.2) (4.2) (+2) vs Duke

Purdue (-11.0) (4.0) (-7) vs Penn St

Missouri St (-9.2) (2.2) (-7) vs Drake

Michigan (-4.5) (1.5) (-3) vs Ohio St

Stanford (-8.0) (1.5) (-6.5) at California

Tulsa (-14.7) (1.2) (-13.5) vs South Florida

Nebraska (-2.5) (1.0) (-1.5) at Illinois

Canisius (+2.6) (0.9) (+3.5) at Rider

Temple (+0.7) (0.8) (+1.5) vs Houston

Loyola Chicago (-6.3) (0.8) (-5.5) at Evansville

Oral Roberts (+4.7) (0.8) (+5.5) at Denver

East Carolina (+5.6) (0.4) (+6) vs Connecticut

Seton Hall (-10.8) (0.3) (-10.5) vs Depaul

[FUqer]

Sunday (2/18/18) NCAAB Plays


¤ Clemson +2.5 (-105)
¤ Nebraska -2 (-102)
____________________

Monmouth's leading scorer Seaborn is probable with a hamstring injury.
Sienna's team leader in assist, steals, and minutes has missed the last 3 games and is out for the season, 2 of those games they got blown out in.

Duke's leading scorer and re-bounder, Bagley is questionable with a knee injury.
Clemson's assist leader, Mitchell is doubtful with a neck injury.

E.Carolina, G Barkley out, avg almost 12.5 pts 7 Rebs, leads team in steals


Temple been playing good, Houston questionable on the road.

Illinois has two role players questionable who play significant time.

Evansville's assist and steal leader in questionable with a foot injury.

Stanford has struggled on the Road.

Michigan's only home loss was by 1 pt to Purdue. I worry the Buckeye's dud last game might carry over.

Penn St hasn't won in Purdue since 2006 and 1999, lost last 3 by double digits, but they are rolling and Purdue has lost 3 in a row.

Seton Hall's Center and leading re-bounder in questionable with knee soreness.

Niagara's 2nd leading scorer and steals leader is questionable with an ankle injury.

Oral Roberts has yet to win at Denver.

[A.M.S.]

Did u set up ur model urself ?

[FUqer]

Did u set up ur model urself ?

yes, I like to do everything myself, best way to learn in the long run.

[FUqer]

small sample but for what it's worth, edge has been with value greater than 5 and less than 1. I think it's also best to go by the early lines, rather than adjust for when/if the money moves them. I just wish it didn't take me all season to get it where I want. I will make sure I save the algo this time.

value 0.0-0.9 = 21-10

value 1.0-1.9 = 29-28

value 2.0-2.9 = 17-19

value 3.0-3.9 = 13-12

value 4.0-4.9 = 3-3

value 5+ = 8-1

[FUqer]

Monday's Numbers


Oakland (-5.0) at IUPUI

Miami Florida (+7.0) at Notre Dame

Maryland (+1.9) at Northwestern

Youngstown St (+21.0) at Northern Kentucky

Cleveland St (+15.1) at Wright St

Detroit (+11.8) at Illinois Chicago

Minnesota (+8.7) at Wisconsin

Oklahoma (+11.1) at Kansas

[FUqer]

Sunday (2/18/18) NCAAB Plays


¤ Clemson +2.5 (-105)
¤ Nebraska -2 (-102)
____________________

¤ Teaser (Connecticut -1)(Cincinnati -1.5)

[A.M.S.]

Teaser looks good.. prob tail that ...

[FUqer]

Sunday (2/18/18) NCAAB Plays

0-3 for -3.17

LOSS - ¤ Clemson +2.5 (-105)
LOSS - ¤ Nebraska -2 (-102)

LOSS - ¤ Teaser (Connecticut -1)(Cincinnati -1.5)
____________________
Season = 156-174 for -30.54
____________________

ATS = 118-121 for -12.55

(Dogs = 88-90 for -10.08)
(Favs = 30-31 for -2.47)


ML = 6-21 for -15.58

OU = 27-21 for +3.92

(Overs = 3-5 for -2.50)
(Unders = 24-16 for +6.42)


Parlays = 1-10 for -8.90

Teasers = 4-1 for +2.57

_____________________

Past Results

2/18 = 0-3 for -3.17
2/17 = 9-7 for +1.77
2/16 = 0-5 for -5.17
2/15 = 5-4 for +0.93
2/14 = 5-6 for -0.75
2/13 = 5-5 for -0.15
2/12 = 3-4 for -1.16

2/11 = 1-2 for -1.10
2/10 = 11-18 for -8.80
2/9 = 4-3 for +0.70
2/8 = 3-6 for -3.50
2/7 = 8-3 for +4.80
2/6 = 3-3 for -0.30
2/5 = 2-0 for +2.00

2/3 = 3-6 for -3.20
2/1 = 2-5 for -3.50
1/31 = 4-6 for -2.60
1/30 = 6-3 for +2.70
1/28 = 1-1 for -0.10

1/27 = 9-13 for -5.23
1/26 = 0-1 for -1.00
1/25 = 7-4 for +2.60
1/23 = 3-3 for -0.15

1/21 = 1-4 for -3.40
1/20 = 5-3 for +1.70
1/18 = 1-1 for -0.10
1/17 = 6-7 for -1.70
1/16 = 4-4 for -0.40
1/15 = 1-1 for -0.10

1/14 = 3-3 for -0.30
1/13 = 3-1 for +1.90
1/12 = 1-3 for -2.30
1/11 = 9-1 for +7.90
1/10 = 3-4 for -1.40
1/9 = 4-5 for -1.30
1/8 = 0-0 for +0.00

1/7 = 1-4 for -3.10
1/6 = 2-3 for -0.95
1/5 = 3-3 for -0.30
1/4 = 4-0 for +4.00
1/3 = 0-5 for -5.33
1/2 = 4-3 for +0.70
1/1 = 0-0 for +0.00

12/6 = 1-5 for -4.25
12/5 = 4-1 for +2.57
12/4 = 1-1 for +0.00
11/10 = 1-1 for +0.00
_____________________

I just can't have back to back winning days to save my life.

[FUqer]

Monday (2/19/18) NCAAB Plays


¤ Miami Florida/Notre Dame Over 140.5 -107
¤ Minnesota/Wisconsin Over 140 -105

____________________

Two more totals on radar for 9pm games, not really liking any sides too much, maybe Notre Dame and Kansas.

[FUqer]

Monday (2/19/18) NCAAB Results

1-1 for -0.05

WIN - ¤ Miami Florida/Notre Dame Over 140.5 -107
LOSS - ¤ Minnesota/Wisconsin Over 140 -105

____________________
Season = 157-175 for -30.59
____________________

ATS = 118-121 for -12.55

(Dogs = 88-90 for -10.08)
(Favs = 30-31 for -2.47)


ML = 6-21 for -15.58

OU = 28-22 for +3.87

(Overs = 4-6 for -2.55)
(Unders = 24-16 for +6.42)


Parlays = 1-10 for -8.90

Teasers = 4-1 for +2.57

_____________________

Past Results

2/19 = 1-1 for -0.05

2/18 = 0-3 for -3.17
2/17 = 9-7 for +1.77
2/16 = 0-5 for -5.17
2/15 = 5-4 for +0.93
2/14 = 5-6 for -0.75
2/13 = 5-5 for -0.15
2/12 = 3-4 for -1.16

2/11 = 1-2 for -1.10
2/10 = 11-18 for -8.80
2/9 = 4-3 for +0.70
2/8 = 3-6 for -3.50
2/7 = 8-3 for +4.80
2/6 = 3-3 for -0.30
2/5 = 2-0 for +2.00

2/3 = 3-6 for -3.20
2/1 = 2-5 for -3.50
1/31 = 4-6 for -2.60
1/30 = 6-3 for +2.70
1/28 = 1-1 for -0.10

1/27 = 9-13 for -5.23
1/26 = 0-1 for -1.00
1/25 = 7-4 for +2.60
1/23 = 3-3 for -0.15

1/21 = 1-4 for -3.40
1/20 = 5-3 for +1.70
1/18 = 1-1 for -0.10
1/17 = 6-7 for -1.70
1/16 = 4-4 for -0.40
1/15 = 1-1 for -0.10

1/14 = 3-3 for -0.30
1/13 = 3-1 for +1.90
1/12 = 1-3 for -2.30
1/11 = 9-1 for +7.90
1/10 = 3-4 for -1.40
1/9 = 4-5 for -1.30
1/8 = 0-0 for +0.00

1/7 = 1-4 for -3.10
1/6 = 2-3 for -0.95
1/5 = 3-3 for -0.30
1/4 = 4-0 for +4.00
1/3 = 0-5 for -5.33
1/2 = 4-3 for +0.70
1/1 = 0-0 for +0.00

12/6 = 1-5 for -4.25
12/5 = 4-1 for +2.57
12/4 = 1-1 for +0.00
11/10 = 1-1 for +0.00
_____________________

[FUqer]

Tuesday's Numbers





Edit: Baylor's value should say 2.5 at -1, not 0.5.

[FUqer]

Tuesday (2/20/18) NCAAB Plays


¤ Mississippi St +6.5 -102 (2%)
¤ Rhode Island -7 -107
¤ NC Greensboro -2 -105
¤ Kentucky +4 -105
____________________

[FUqer]

Tuesday (2/20/18) NCAAB Plays


¤ Mississippi St +6.5 -102 (2%)
¤ Rhode Island -7 -107
¤ NC Greensboro -2 -105
¤ Kentucky +4 -105
____________________

¤ VMI/Furman Under 141 -110
¤ Kent/Ohio Over 147.5 -110

[FUqer]

Tuesday (2/20/18) NCAAB Results

5-1 for +4.93

WIN - ¤ Mississippi St +6.5 -102 (2%)
LOSS - ¤ Rhode Island -7 -107
WIN - ¤ NC Greensboro -2 -105
WIN - ¤ Kentucky +4 -105

WIN - ¤ VMI/Furman Under 141 -110
WIN - ¤ Kent/Ohio Over 147.5 -110
____________________
Season = 162-176 for -25.66
____________________

ATS = 121-122 for -9.62

(Dogs = 90-90 for -7.08)
(Favs = 31-32 for -2.54)


ML = 6-21 for -15.58

OU = 30-22 for +5.87

(Overs = 5-6 for -1.55)
(Unders = 25-16 for +7.42)


Parlays = 1-10 for -8.90

Teasers = 4-1 for +2.57

_____________________

Past Results

2/20 = 5-1 for +4.93
2/19 = 1-1 for -0.05

2/18 = 0-3 for -3.17
2/17 = 9-7 for +1.77
2/16 = 0-5 for -5.17
2/15 = 5-4 for +0.93
2/14 = 5-6 for -0.75
2/13 = 5-5 for -0.15
2/12 = 3-4 for -1.16

2/11 = 1-2 for -1.10
2/10 = 11-18 for -8.80
2/9 = 4-3 for +0.70
2/8 = 3-6 for -3.50
2/7 = 8-3 for +4.80
2/6 = 3-3 for -0.30
2/5 = 2-0 for +2.00

2/3 = 3-6 for -3.20
2/1 = 2-5 for -3.50
1/31 = 4-6 for -2.60
1/30 = 6-3 for +2.70
1/28 = 1-1 for -0.10

1/27 = 9-13 for -5.23
1/26 = 0-1 for -1.00
1/25 = 7-4 for +2.60
1/23 = 3-3 for -0.15

1/21 = 1-4 for -3.40
1/20 = 5-3 for +1.70
1/18 = 1-1 for -0.10
1/17 = 6-7 for -1.70
1/16 = 4-4 for -0.40
1/15 = 1-1 for -0.10

1/14 = 3-3 for -0.30
1/13 = 3-1 for +1.90
1/12 = 1-3 for -2.30
1/11 = 9-1 for +7.90
1/10 = 3-4 for -1.40
1/9 = 4-5 for -1.30
1/8 = 0-0 for +0.00

1/7 = 1-4 for -3.10
1/6 = 2-3 for -0.95
1/5 = 3-3 for -0.30
1/4 = 4-0 for +4.00
1/3 = 0-5 for -5.33
1/2 = 4-3 for +0.70
1/1 = 0-0 for +0.00

12/6 = 1-5 for -4.25
12/5 = 4-1 for +2.57
12/4 = 1-1 for +0.00
11/10 = 1-1 for +0.00
_____________________

Model numbers posted above went 18-6.

[FUqer]

Wednesday's Numbers




HOME VALUE


Virginia (-26.2) (7.7) (-18.5) vs Georgia Tech

Syracuse (-1.8) (5.3) (+3.5) vs North Carolina

Siena (-3.2) (5.2) (+2) vs Fairfield

Pittsburgh (+5.3) (3.7) (+9) vs Wake Forest

Massachusetts (-3.5) (3.5) (PK) vs VCU

George Washington (-5.2) (2.7) (-2.5) vs Richmond

Tennessee (-7.5) (2.5) (-5) vs Florida

Nevada (-24.5) (2.5) (-22) vs San Jose St

Marquette (-6.6) (2.1) (-4.5) vs St John's

Niagara (+2.0) (2.0) (+4) vs Canisius

Davidson (-19.2) (1.7) (-17.5) vs Fordham

Minnesota (-4.5) (1.5) (-3) vs Iowa

Air Force (+7.1) (1.4) (+8.5) vs San Diego St

UC Riverside (+3.3) (1.2) (+4.5) vs CS Fullerton

Colorado (+1.8) (1.2) (+3) vs USC

Duke (-12.4) (0.9) (-11.5) vs Louisville

Colorado St (+6.6) (0.9) (+7.5) vs Boise St

Iowa St (+5.2) (0.8) (+6) vs TCU

Illinois St (-3.7) (0.7) (-3) vs Drake

Kansas St (-3.7) (0.7) (-3) vs Texas

Providence (-2.1) (0.6) (-1.5) vs Seton Hall

Missouri St (-6.2) (0.2) (-6) vs Bradley

____________________________________


ROAD VALUE


SMU (-11.8) (4.8) (-7) at East Carolina

Tulane (+17.8) (3.2) (+21) at Wichita St

Clemson (+0.6) (2.9) (+3.5) at Virginia Tech

Duquesne (+9.7) (2.8) (+12.5) at St Bonaventure

Evansville (+3.2) (1.8) (+5) at Indiana St

Georgia (+0.8) (1.7) (+2.5) at South Carolina

Texas Tech (-4.7) (1.2) (-3.5) at Oklahoma St

Central Florida (+0.6) (0.9) (+1.5) at Tulsa

Fresno St (+0.2) (0.8) (+1) at UNLV

Xavier (-6.8) (0.8) (-6) at Georgetown

Michigan (+2.2) (0.8) (+3) at Penn St

Loyola Chicago (-3.4) (0.4) (-3) at So Illinois

Alabama (+7.4) (0.1) (+7.5) at Auburn

George Mason (+8.0) (0.0) (+8) at St Joseph's

Depaul (+20.5) (0.0) (+20.5) at Villanova

[FUqer]

Wednesday (2/21/18) NCAAB Plays


¤ Virginia -18.5 -105
¤ Michigan +3 -105
¤ Loyola Chicago -3 -104
¤ Fresno St +1.5 -102
____________________

[FUqer]

Wednesday (2/21/18) NCAAB Plays


¤ Virginia -18.5 -105
¤ Michigan +3 -105
¤ Loyola Chicago -3 -104
¤ Fresno St +1.5 -102
____________________

¤ Clemson +4 -107
¤ Georgia +2.5 -105
¤ Texas Tech - 4 -101

[FUqer]

¤ George Mason/St Joseph's Over 148 -105
¤ San Diego St/Air Force Under 144 -107

[FUqer]

Thursday's Numbers



Connecticut (+22.5) at Cincinnati

Elon (+12.2) at Charleston

Green Bay (+13.3) at Oakland

Milwaukee (-3.1) at Detroit

Wisconsin (+4.7) at Northwestern

Purdue (-10.8) at Illinois

Hofstra (+1.0) at James Madison

Old Dominion (-6.8) at Marshall

Towson (+6.7) at Northeastern

Delaware (+2.8) at Drexel

NC Wilmington (+9.6) at William & Mary

Rice (+7.3) at Florida Atlantic

Coastal Carolina (+0.6) at Little Rock

Charlotte (+22.2) at Western Kentucky

Southern Miss (+3.8) at UTSA

Georgia Southern (+1.8) at Texas Arlington

UL Monroe (+4.0) at South Alabama

UL Lafayette (-5.5) at Troy

Appalachian St (+1.2) at Arkansas St

Georgia St (+0.9) at Texas St

Houston (-12.0) at Memphis

Washington (+4.7) at Stanford

UCLA (+6.5) at Utah

Arizona (-5.5) at Oregon St

Gonzaga (-15.1) at San Diego

Louisiana Tech (-6.5) at UTEP

Pepperdine (+25.4) at Saint Marys

Loyola Marymount (+4.7) at Santa Clara

San Francisco (+3.4) at Pacific

CS Northridge (+5.4) at Cal Poly SLO

Cal Santa Barbara (+2.8) at Cal Irvine

Washington St (+5.5) at California

BYU (-7.4) at Portland

Arizona St (+3.0) at Oregon

Rider (+2.2) at Monmouth

Tennessee-Martin (+3.6) at Morehead St

SE Missouri St (+2.0) at Eastern Kentucky

Austin Peay (-6.0) at SIU Edwardsville

Oral Roberts (+1.6) at Omaha

North Dakota St (-3.0) at Western Illinois

South Dakota (+2.8) at South Dakota St

Murray St (-15.3) at Eastern Illinois

Tennessee St (-1.0) at Tennessee Tech

Portland St (-2.7) at Southern Utah

Sacramento St (-1.0) at Northern Arizona

Eastern Washington (+5.0) at Weber St

Belmont (-0.9) at Jacksonville St

Idaho (-5.0) at Idaho St

[FUqer]

Wednesday (2/21/18) NCAAB Results

5-4 for +0.82

LOSS - ¤ Georgia +2.5 -105
LOSS - ¤ Clemson +4 -107
LOSS - ¤ Texas Tech -4 -101
LOSS - ¤ Virginia -18.5 -105
WIN - ¤ Michigan +3 -105
WIN - ¤ Loyola Chicago -3 -104
WIN - ¤ Fresno St +1.5 -102

WIN - ¤ George Mason/St Joseph's Over 148 -105
WIN - ¤ San Diego St/Air Force Under 144 -107
____________________
Season = 167-180 for -24.84
____________________

ATS = 124-126 for -10.80

(Dogs = 92-92 for -7.20)
(Favs = 32-34 for -3.60)


ML = 6-21 for -15.58

OU = 32-22 for +7.87

(Overs = 6-6 for -0.55)
(Unders = 26-16 for +8.42)


Parlays = 1-10 for -8.90

Teasers = 4-1 for +2.57

_____________________

Past Results

2/21 = 5-4 for +0.82
2/20 = 5-1 for +4.93
2/19 = 1-1 for -0.05

2/18 = 0-3 for -3.17
2/17 = 9-7 for +1.77
2/16 = 0-5 for -5.17
2/15 = 5-4 for +0.93
2/14 = 5-6 for -0.75
2/13 = 5-5 for -0.15
2/12 = 3-4 for -1.16

2/11 = 1-2 for -1.10
2/10 = 11-18 for -8.80
2/9 = 4-3 for +0.70
2/8 = 3-6 for -3.50
2/7 = 8-3 for +4.80
2/6 = 3-3 for -0.30
2/5 = 2-0 for +2.00

2/3 = 3-6 for -3.20
2/1 = 2-5 for -3.50
1/31 = 4-6 for -2.60
1/30 = 6-3 for +2.70
1/28 = 1-1 for -0.10

1/27 = 9-13 for -5.23
1/26 = 0-1 for -1.00
1/25 = 7-4 for +2.60
1/23 = 3-3 for -0.15

1/21 = 1-4 for -3.40
1/20 = 5-3 for +1.70
1/18 = 1-1 for -0.10
1/17 = 6-7 for -1.70
1/16 = 4-4 for -0.40
1/15 = 1-1 for -0.10

1/14 = 3-3 for -0.30
1/13 = 3-1 for +1.90
1/12 = 1-3 for -2.30
1/11 = 9-1 for +7.90
1/10 = 3-4 for -1.40
1/9 = 4-5 for -1.30
1/8 = 0-0 for +0.00

1/7 = 1-4 for -3.10
1/6 = 2-3 for -0.95
1/5 = 3-3 for -0.30
1/4 = 4-0 for +4.00
1/3 = 0-5 for -5.33
1/2 = 4-3 for +0.70
1/1 = 0-0 for +0.00

12/6 = 1-5 for -4.25
12/5 = 4-1 for +2.57
12/4 = 1-1 for +0.00
11/10 = 1-1 for +0.00
_____________________

2nd group of side plays got me again, and all 3 lost or I would of went 5-1 again. Their the ones that I'm on the fence about and initially and don't play, but then I end up talking myself into it. I'm sure people who do this for a living, have no problem holding off on those plays.

Anyway, I was at least get my first back to back winning days, lol. I think I may have found something in totals and should have and Over and a Under pick everyday. My model seems to be better than ever and I have found some good edges within it, it went 17-14 tonight, but it had a couple of pushes that would of been wins with the line changes, but I keep the numbers how they are at early release, not how the money moves them. It seems the last few days I would of been better off waiting till later in the day, instead of playing them early, I got killed on some lines today and there were some bad signs in the movement, especially with Virginia, that's what I get for taking a huge favorite for the first time. I'm feeling confident for the first time all season and hopefully I can improve my discipline and take a chunk out of my deficit.

I'm not going to update the numbers for Thursday above with the value now that the lines have been released, but almost half are under 1 pt value and those have been fire (68%), so expect most my picks to come from those. Road Favs (75%) and Road Teams (66%), with value have been very good as well. My Under pick will be the lowest lined total that I have a Under projection for, and my Over pick will be the highest lined total that I have an Over projection for. This is the last time that I will mention this.

[FUqer]

Thursday (2/22/18) NCAAB Plays


¤ Tennessee St +2 -106
¤ Cal Santa Barbara +3 -106

¤ Washington/Stanford Over 143
¤ Loyola Marymount/Santa Clara Under 140.5
____________________

All 4 plays are 2% today. Old Dominion and Wisc Milwaukee were close, followed by La. Tech, Austin Peay, and Murray St. Small leans on South Dakota, Oral Roberts, Delaware, Weber St, Oregon St, Charleston. Elon/Charleston Under just missed the cut as well. GLA!

[FUqer]

Thursday (2/22/18) NCAAB Results

2-2 for -0.24

LOSS - ¤ Tennessee St +2 -106
LOSS - ¤ Cal Santa Barbara +3 -106

WIN - ¤ Washington/Stanford Over 143
WIN - ¤ Loyola Marymount/Santa Clara Under 140.5
____________________
Season = 169-182 for -25.08
____________________

ATS = 124-128 for -15.04

(Dogs = 92-94 for -11.44)
(Favs = 32-34 for -3.60)


ML = 6-21 for -15.58

OU = 34-22 for +11.87

(Overs = 7-6 for +1.45)
(Unders = 27-16 for +10.42)


Parlays = 1-10 for -8.90

Teasers = 4-1 for +2.57

_____________________

Past Results

2/22 = 2-2 for -0.12
2/21 = 5-4 for +0.82
2/20 = 5-1 for +4.93
2/19 = 1-1 for -0.05

2/18 = 0-3 for -3.17
2/17 = 9-7 for +1.77
2/16 = 0-5 for -5.17
2/15 = 5-4 for +0.93
2/14 = 5-6 for -0.75
2/13 = 5-5 for -0.15
2/12 = 3-4 for -1.16

2/11 = 1-2 for -1.10
2/10 = 11-18 for -8.80
2/9 = 4-3 for +0.70
2/8 = 3-6 for -3.50
2/7 = 8-3 for +4.80
2/6 = 3-3 for -0.30
2/5 = 2-0 for +2.00

2/3 = 3-6 for -3.20
2/1 = 2-5 for -3.50
1/31 = 4-6 for -2.60
1/30 = 6-3 for +2.70
1/28 = 1-1 for -0.10

1/27 = 9-13 for -5.23
1/26 = 0-1 for -1.00
1/25 = 7-4 for +2.60
1/23 = 3-3 for -0.15

1/21 = 1-4 for -3.40
1/20 = 5-3 for +1.70
1/18 = 1-1 for -0.10
1/17 = 6-7 for -1.70
1/16 = 4-4 for -0.40
1/15 = 1-1 for -0.10

1/14 = 3-3 for -0.30
1/13 = 3-1 for +1.90
1/12 = 1-3 for -2.30
1/11 = 9-1 for +7.90
1/10 = 3-4 for -1.40
1/9 = 4-5 for -1.30
1/8 = 0-0 for +0.00

1/7 = 1-4 for -3.10
1/6 = 2-3 for -0.95
1/5 = 3-3 for -0.30
1/4 = 4-0 for +4.00
1/3 = 0-5 for -5.33
1/2 = 4-3 for +0.70
1/1 = 0-0 for +0.00

12/6 = 1-5 for -4.25
12/5 = 4-1 for +2.57
12/4 = 1-1 for +0.00
11/10 = 1-1 for +0.00
_____________________

This is why it is so hard for me to be conservative, I go 2-2 and used all my strength to keep my plays limited and my leans I go 9-3.

[FUqer]

Friday (2/23/18) NCAAB Plays 2%


¤ N.Kentucky -3.5 -107
¤ Ball St -5 -105

¤ Dayton/Rhode Island Under 145
¤ Western Michigan/Ball St Over 146

____________________

[FUqer]

Friday's Numbers


(Some lines have since moved for today's game.)


Wofford (+3.0) (5.0) (+8.0) at E Tennessee St

Mercer (-11.6) (3.6) (-8.0) at Citadel

Saint Peter's (+0.7) (1.3) (+2.0) at Quinnipiac

Northern Kentucky (-4.6) (1.1) (-3.5) at Illinois Chicago

Ohio St (-2.1) (0.6) (-1.5) at Indiana

Marist (+8.9) (0.6) (+9.5) at Niagara

Dayton (+12.5) (0.5) (+13.0) at Rhode Island (Under)

Manhattan (+6.7) (0.3) (+7.0) at Iona



Princeton (-3.3) (4.3) (+1.0) vs Harvard

Western Carolina (+7.7) (2.8) (+10.5) vs Furman*

Cornell (-0.1) (2.6) (+2.5) vs Yale

Columbia (-7.6) (2.1) (-5.5) vs Brown

NC Greensboro (-18.2) (1.7) (-16.5) vs Tennessee Chat

Toledo (-8.0) (1.5) (-7.5) vs Central Michigan

IUPUI (+4.1) (1.4) (+5.5) vs Wright St

VMI (+0.9) (0.6) (+1.5) vs Samford

Ball St (-5.3) (0.3) (-5.0) vs Western Michigan (Over)

Pennsylvania (-11.7) (0.2) (-11.5) vs Dartmouth


___________________________


Saturday's Numbers



Davidson (-5.5) at Duquesne

Tennessee (-5.0) at Mississippi

Notre Dame (-3.1) at Wake Forest

Charleston (-1.4) at William & Mary

Villanova (-5.8) at Creighton

Murray St (-5.3) at Austin Peay

Baylor (+4.6) at TCU

Providence (+1.7) at Georgetown

Northern Illinois (+9.2) at Eastern Michigan

Michigan (+1.6) at Maryland

Louisville (+5.5) at Virginia Tech

LSU (+5.3) at Georgia

Illinois St (+14.7) at Loyola Chicago

Georgia Tech (+14.5) at Clemson

South Carolina (+8.1) at Mississippi St

Ohio (+11.0) at Buffalo

Kansas (+5.7) at Texas Tech

Missouri (+4.0) at Kentucky

Iowa St (+13.9) at West Virginia

Massachusetts (+2.6) at George Mason

Arkansas (+5.0) at Alabama

Bowling Green (+5.3) at Kent

Cleveland St (+2.7) at Youngstown St

Wyoming (+13.6) at Fresno State

Boston College (+10.0) at Miami Florida

Oklahoma St (+8.6) at Texas

North Dakota St (+2.6) at Omaha

Missouri St (+4.1) at Northern Iowa

Green Bay (+1.6) at Detroit

USC (+4.4) at Utah

Milwaukee (+4.3) at Oakland

Valparaiso (+5.6) at Drake

James Madison (+4.8) at Delaware

NC Wilmington (+5.7) at Drexel

Indiana St (+6.8) at Bradley

Syracuse (+11.3) at Duke

Washington St (+10.5) at Stanford

Old Dominion (+2.4) at Western Kentucky

George Washington (+8.3) at Saint Louis

Kansas St (+0.2) at Oklahoma

Sacramento St (+2.1) at Southern Utah

Tulane (-2.7) at South Florida

Marquette (-1.0) at Depaul

Utah St (-2.8) at Air Force

Washington (-3.5) at California

La Salle (-0.6) at Fordham

Northeastern (-3.3) at Elon

Gonzaga (-2.7) at BYU

St Bonaventure (-1.9) at VCU

Cal Santa Barbara (-7.4) at CS Northridge

[FUqer]

Friday (2/23/18) NCAAB Results 2%

3-1 for +3.90

WIN - ¤ N.Kentucky -3.5 -107
LOSS - ¤ Ball St -5 -105

WIN - ¤ Dayton/Rhode Island Under 145
WIN - ¤ Western Michigan/Ball St Over 146
____________________
Season = 172-183 for -21.18
____________________

ATS = 125-129 for -15.14

(Dogs = 92-94 for -11.44)
(Favs = 33-35 for -3.70)


ML = 6-21 for -15.58

OU = 36-22 for +15.87

(Overs = 8-6 for +3.45)
(Unders = 28-16 for +12.42)


Parlays = 1-10 for -8.90

Teasers = 4-1 for +2.57

_____________________

Past Results

2/23 = 3-1 for +3.90
2/22 = 2-2 for -0.24

2/21 = 5-4 for +0.82
2/20 = 5-1 for +4.93
2/19 = 1-1 for -0.05

2/18 = 0-3 for -3.17
2/17 = 9-7 for +1.77
2/16 = 0-5 for -5.17
2/15 = 5-4 for +0.93
2/14 = 5-6 for -0.75
2/13 = 5-5 for -0.15
2/12 = 3-4 for -1.16

2/11 = 1-2 for -1.10
2/10 = 11-18 for -8.80
2/9 = 4-3 for +0.70
2/8 = 3-6 for -3.50
2/7 = 8-3 for +4.80
2/6 = 3-3 for -0.30
2/5 = 2-0 for +2.00

2/3 = 3-6 for -3.20
2/1 = 2-5 for -3.50
1/31 = 4-6 for -2.60
1/30 = 6-3 for +2.70
1/28 = 1-1 for -0.10

1/27 = 9-13 for -5.23
1/26 = 0-1 for -1.00
1/25 = 7-4 for +2.60
1/23 = 3-3 for -0.15

1/21 = 1-4 for -3.40
1/20 = 5-3 for +1.70
1/18 = 1-1 for -0.10
1/17 = 6-7 for -1.70
1/16 = 4-4 for -0.40
1/15 = 1-1 for -0.10

1/14 = 3-3 for -0.30
1/13 = 3-1 for +1.90
1/12 = 1-3 for -2.30
1/11 = 9-1 for +7.90
1/10 = 3-4 for -1.40
1/9 = 4-5 for -1.30
1/8 = 0-0 for +0.00

1/7 = 1-4 for -3.10
1/6 = 2-3 for -0.95
1/5 = 3-3 for -0.30
1/4 = 4-0 for +4.00
1/3 = 0-5 for -5.33
1/2 = 4-3 for +0.70
1/1 = 0-0 for +0.00

12/6 = 1-5 for -4.25
12/5 = 4-1 for +2.57
12/4 = 1-1 for +0.00
11/10 = 1-1 for +0.00
_____________________

[FUqer]

Updated my projected number above with projected value now that the lines were released. GLA!


Number in () on far left, is what my projection was.

Number in () in the middle, is the difference between my projection and posted line. (Value)

Number in () on far right, is actual posted lines



AWAY


Kansas St (+0.2) (+3.3) (+3.5) +at Oklahoma

Notre Dame (-3.1) (+3.1) (PK) +at Wake Forest

Iowa St (+13.9) (+2.6) (+16.5)?at West Virginia

Missouri (+4.0) (+2.0) (+6.0) -at Kentucky

Washington St (+10.5) (+2.0) (+12.5)-at Stanford

Arizona (+0.2) (+1.8) (+2.0) -at Oregon

Syracuse (+11.3) (+1.7) (+13.0)-at Duke

Ohio (+11.0) (+1.5) (+12.5)-at Buffalo

Sacramento St (+2.1) (+1.4) (+3.5) ?at Southern Utah

Massachusetts (+2.6) (+1.4) (+4.0) -at George Mason

Tennessee (-5.0) (+1.0) (-4.0) ?at Mississippi

Milwaukee (+4.3) (+0.7) (+5.5) ?at Oakland Oak injury

Green Bay (+1.6) (+0.4) (+2.0) +at Detroit

Cleveland St (+2.7) (+0.3) (+3.0) ?at Youngstown St

Seton Hall (+1.0) (0.0) (+1.0) at St John's

Arkansas (+5.0) (0.0) (+5.0) at Alabama





HOME



Wichita St (+0.8) (-8.3) (-7.5) at- SMU

North Dakota St (+2.6) (-5.1) (-2.5) at- Omaha

Kansas (+5.7) (-4.2) (+1.5) at? Texas Tech

Wyoming (+13.6) (-4.1) (+9.5) at+ Fresno State

Georgia Tech (+14.5) (-3.0) (+11.5) at? Clemson

La Salle (-0.6) (-2.9) (-3.5) at- Fordham

George Washington (+8.3) (-2.8) (+5.5) at- Saint Louis

NC Wilmington (+5.7) (-2.7) (+3.0) at? Drexel

Marquette (-1.0) (-2.5) (-3.5) at- Depaul

James Madison (+4.8) (-2.3) (+2.5) at- Delaware

Gonzaga (-2.7) (-2.3) (-5.0) at? BYU

Tulane (-2.7) (-2.3) (-5.0) at- South Florida

Illinois St (+14.7) (-2.2) (+12.5) at+ Loyola Chicago

Arizona St (+0.2) (-2.2) (-2.0) at? Oregon St

Oklahoma St (+8.6) (-2.1) (+6.5) at- Texas

St Joseph's (+3.0) (-2.0) (+1.0) at? Richmond St joe injury

USC (+4.4) (-1.9) (+2.5) at+ Utah

Villanova (-5.8) (-1.7) (-7.5) at- Creighton

Charleston (-1.4) (-1.6) (-3.0) at- William & Mary

Michigan (+1.6) (-1.6) (-PK) at? Maryland

Texas A&M (+0.5) (-1.5) (-1.0) at+ Vanderbilt

Louisville (+5.5) (-1.5) (+4.0) at? Virginia Tech

Northeastern (-3.3) (-1.2) (-4.5) at- Elon

Northern Illinois (+9.2) (-1.2) (+8.0) at- Eastern Michigan

Cal Santa Barbara (-7.4) (-1.1) (-8.5) at- CS Northridge

Davidson (-5.5) (-1.0) (-6.5) at- Duquesne

Old Dominion (+2.4) (-0.9) (+1.5) at+ Western Kentucky

Auburn (+2.8) (-0.8) (+2.0) at- Florida

Indiana St (+6.8) (-0.8) (+6.0) at? Bradley

LSU (+5.3) (-0.8) (+4.5) at? Georgia

Murray St (-5.3) (-0.7) (-6.0) at- Austin Peay

Valparaiso (+5.6) (-0.6) (+5.0) at- Drake

Missouri St (+4.1) (-0.6) (+3.5) at- Northern Iowa

Boston College (+10.0) (-0.5) (+9.5) at- Miami Florida

Washington (-3.5) (-0.5) (-4.0) at- California

Bowling Green (+5.3) (-0.3) (+5.0) at? Kent

Monmouth (+1.2) (-0.2) (+1.0) at- Fairfield

Providence (+1.7) (-0.2) (+1.5) at- Georgetown

Utah St (-2.8) (-0.2) (-3.0) at- Air Force

Baylor (+4.6) (-0.1) (+4.5) at? TCU

St Bonaventure (-1.9) (-0.1) (-2.0) at- VCU

South Carolina (+8.1) (-0.1) (+8.0) at+ Mississippi St



H = 96-87
A = 62-37
F = 78-65
D = 75-56
HD = 36-30
AF = 22-09
___________________________

I doubt I will be posting this much anymore, if anyone wants to know my number on a game or get a idea of what a line will be for a certain game before the lines are released, just ask, with the exception of totals, I'm keeping that info to myself.

[FUqer]

Saturday (2/24/18) NCAAB Plays


¤ Green Bay +2 -107
¤ Notre Dame -1 +102
¤ Vanderbilt +1.5 -104
¤ Kansas St +4.5 -105
¤ W.Kentucky -1.5 -107

¤ Seton Hall/St John's Over 149
¤ Texas A&M/Vanderbilt Under 143
¤ Wichita St/SMU Under 142.5
¤ USC/Utah Under 143.5
¤ St Joseph's/Richmond Over 148.5
¤ Arkansas/Alabama Over 148

¤ Teaser: (Loyola Chicago -5)(Mississippi St -½)(Fresno St -2½)

____________________