Originally Posted by
sorge6
SUNDAYS PLAYS:
SYRACUSE -7.5
Syracuse is ranked 2nd with a power rating of 93.26. Louisville is ranked 44th with a power rating of 83.24. Louisville is 0-5 SU against top-50 teams, a bad sign for the Cardinals heading into a tough environment. There is one trend indicating that Louisville could be the pick. The Cardinals are 11-4 lifetime against the Orange, including four straight victories. The last win was in last season's Big East Tournament final. I think we have to remember, though, that Louisville has been very good recently. This Louisville team, while talented, is not coming together like other recent Pitino teams. I also believe that Syracuse will be playing for revenge due to last year's Big East Tournament final. Home and away numbers play to Syracuse's favor. The Orange is 15-1 at the Carrier Dome this year. Louisville, conversely, is 1-6 on the road. Some of the losses have been close, but the last game against St. John's was a complete flop. Louisville is just not right at the moment. The Rick Pitino-New Jersey Nets story from Thursday indicates that something is brewing. Even though Pitino emphatically denied the story, notice how flat his team came out on Thursday evening. The team was not playing together at all and now I believe he may have lost his team. Pitino's rough season began with a sex scandal over the summer. I am beginning to believe it will conclude with a resignation from Louisville for another job, perhaps in the NBA. Even though Louisville is down this year, its recent success combined with "flare" of the school and Rick Pitino name is keeping the spread down.
Louisville has shown little ability this season to play in a half-court game. The Syracuse 2/3 zone is going to give Cardinals' offense big-time problems. The Orange and its athletes will be able to score against Louisville's below average defense. Expect a blowout. 78-61.
GTOWN -10.5
Chris Wright, Julian Vaughn, Austin Freeman, Greg Monroe...do i need to continue. They already learned their lesson of overlooking a less-imposing opponent before facing a more high-profile one. Before facing the second-ranked orange, the No. 7 Hoyas look to win their ninth straight over Rutgers on Sunday. Earlier this month, Georgetown was preparing to take on then-No. 2 Villanova following an impressive victory over a ranked Duke team. However, the excitement over a meeting between Top 10 teams was tempered somewhat after the Hoyas were stunned 72-64 at home by South Florida prior to taking on the Wildcats.
On Thursday, georgetown will play host to Syracuse, looking to avenge an earlier road loss to the Orange before matching up with Rutgers.
Although the Scarlet Knights are near the bottom of the Big East, they have won three of four. They are coming off a 70-62 victory over Division II Caldwell College on Tuesday. (doesnt impress me lol) The way i see it, the Scarlet Knights are 0-5 against ranked opponents this season, losing by an average of 23.0 points.
Rosario, Rutgers best player who averages 16.7 points per game, is at 13.6 against ranked teams. The Hoyas have won eight straight over the Scarlet Knights. gtown is way too talented and should be very focused in making quick work of an overmatched rutgers squad. 83-57
ADDING........
NORTHWESTERN +1
they have beat solid opponents at home in purdue, illinois, michigan and indiana and yes they had a slip up with iowa but they wont have 2 let downs in a row. at home, nw plays very relaxed controlled ball and the fact that minnesota is 6-20 ATS in the big 10 is enough for me. Home dog is where u make the $. 64-56 cats
WICHITA STATE -7
The shockers cant wait to get back on the hardwood after an embarrassing loss in evansville. They will dominate from the tip and make sure they make quick work of the bears. I know trends dont mean too much but its hard for me to ignore these:
Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Bears are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 Sunday games.
Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Wichita St.Shockers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
Shockers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Shockers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Shockers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
74-61 shockers.