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Grading the Pepperdine/Marymount game as a loss because it closed at Under 142.5
18 February Results
Sides 1-3 (62-58 ytd)
Totals 2-3 (353-260 ytd)
Overall 3-6 (415-318 ytd)
19 February Plays:
849 Under 139.5 DePaul at Butler 863 Over 135.0 UNLV at San Diego St
19 February Results
Sides 0-0 (62-58 ytd)
Totals 1-1 (354-261 ytd)
Overall 1-1 (416-319 ytd)
20 February Plays:
713 Under 142.5 Texas at W Virginia
20 February Results
Sides 0-0 (62-58 ytd)
Totals 1-0 (355-261 ytd)
Overall 1-0 (417-319 ytd)
21 February Plays:
530 Dayton -12.0 vs Geo Mason 537 Davidson -1.5 at Richmond
541 Under 165.5 St Johns at Marquette 551 Under 152.0 Akron at Bowling Grn
Barely got the Big East winner, but it made for a winning day
21 February Results
Sides 1-1 (63-59 ytd)
Totals 2-0 (357-261 ytd)
Overall 3-1 (420-320 ytd)
22 February Plays:
705 Saint Louis +21.0 at VCU
765 Under 142.5 Furman at E Tenn St 737 Under 147.0 Providence at Creighton 747 Under 141.5 Butler at Villanova
Again marking the Villanova/Butler game as a loss even though my bet won because it closed at 139, importance of getting in early and line shopping.
22 February Results
Sides 1-0 (64-59 ytd)
Totals 1-2 (358-263 ytd)
Overall 2-2 (422-322 ytd)
23 February Plays:
526 NC-Wilmgton -10.0 vs Towson
The NC Wilmington spread dropped too much to remain a system play, but the Georgia/Alabama Over which lost was added so the result is the same.
23 February Results
Sides 0-0 (64-59 ytd)
Totals 0-1 (358-264 ytd)
Overall 0-1 (422-323 ytd)
24 February Plays:
865 Under 135.0 Princeton at Columbia
24 February Results
Sides 0-0 (64-59 ytd)
Totals 1-0 (359-264 ytd)
Overall 1-0 (423-323 ytd)
25 February Plays:
560 Villanova -11.0 vs Creighton 622 Texas +7.5 vs Kansas
559 Under 151.0 Creighton at Villanova 549 Under 148.5 Texas Tech at Oklahoma St 605 Over 119.5 Illinois St at N Iowa 663 Over 126.5 Portland at San Diego
25 February Results
Sides 1-1 (65-60 ytd)
Totals 3-1 (362-265 ytd)
Overall 4-2 (427-325 ytd)
26 February Plays:
837 Over 131.0 E Carolina at Tulsa
26 February Results
Sides 0-0 (65-60 ytd)
Totals 1-0 (363-265 ytd)
Overall 1-0 (428-325 ytd)
27 February Plays:
539 Under 137.5 VA Military at W Carolina
Heck of a record you got in here. Looks like one more thread I need to creep around.
27 February Results
Sides 0-0 (65-60 ytd)
Totals 0-1 (363-266 ytd)
Overall 0-1 (428-326 ytd)
28 February Plays:
745 Over 150.0 Vanderbilt at Kentucky 751 Over 147.5 Wyoming at Colorado St
As we normally do for conference tournaments we'll be focusing on the totals, the threshold has been lowered back to the old limit as lines tend to be less efficient when the matchups are decided just a day or two before.
28 February Results
Sides 0-0 (65-60 ytd)
Totals 1-1 (364-267 ytd)
Overall 1-1 (429-327 ytd)
1 March Plays:
587 Over 133.5 Binghamton at Stony Brook 551 Under 154.0 Marquette at Xavier 539 Over 123.5 Connecticut at E Carolina 589 Under 148.5 Maryland BC at N Hampshire 555 Under 138.5 Kansas St at TX Christian 557 Under 135.0 Texas at Texas Tech
some of those lines moved 3 points in our favor, good we got in early, forgot to add this one earlier
583 Over 133.5 Rob Morris at LIU-Brooklyn
Graded the Uconn/ECU game as a loss because we got an amazing 5 points of value and it middled. I think I have today's complete schedule, but I'll check back later today to make sure. I've already seen these lines move at least a half point, so get in early.
1 March Results
Sides 0-0 (65-60 ytd)
Totals 3-4 (367-271 ytd)
Overall 3-4 (432-331 ytd)
2 March Plays:
743 Over 130.0 UCSB at CS Fullerton 731 Over 149.5 Arkansas St at Troy 721 Over 148.0 Charlotte at TX-San Ant 715 Under 137.0 AR Lit Rock at S Alabama 713 Under 136.0 Florida Intl at Middle Tenn
2 March Results
Sides 0-0 (65-60 ytd)
Totals 3-2 (370-273 ytd)
Overall 3-2 (435-333 ytd)
3 March Plays:
885 Under 152.5 VA Military vs Samford 883 Under 165.5 Citadel vs W Carolina 881 Over 131.0 Portland vs San Diego 855 Under 149.5 Toledo at E Michigan 845 Under 146.5 Cornell at Yale
3 March Results
Sides 0-0 (65-60 ytd)
Totals 3-2 (373-275 ytd)
Overall 3-2 (438-335 ytd)
4 March Plays:
641 Over 133.5 San Diego St at New Mexico 557 Under 143.0 Seton Hall at Butler 643 Over 133.5 UC Davis at UC Irvine 701 Under 134.5 Jksnville St vs TN Martin 579 Under 136.5 Memphis at S Methodist 667 Under 123.5 Portland vs St Marys 597 Under 157.0 LSU at Miss State 657 Over 124.0 S Illinois vs Illinois St 533 Under 147.5 St Josephs at Duquesne 555 Under 161.5 Creighton at Marquette 621 Under 133.5 Harvard at U Penn 527 Under 148.0 Kentucky at Texas A&M 535 Under 144.5 Xavier at DePaul 629 Under 141.0 Florida Intl at UAB 601 Under 130.5 Dartmouth at Princeton 689 Under 146.0 Samford vs Furman 697 Under 148.0 W Illinois vs South Dakota
Wasn't the day we were hoping for, missed the first game today
4 March Results
Sides 0-0 (65-60 ytd)
Totals 7-9-1 (381-285 ytd)
Overall 7-9-1 (446-345 ytd)
5 March Plays:
869 Under 149.5 Denver vs S Dakota St 875 Under 145.0 Lehigh at Boston U
5 March Results
Sides 0-0 (65-60 ytd)
Totals 0-2 (381-287 ytd)
Overall 0-2 (446-347 ytd)
6 March Plays:
541 Under 141.5 BYU vs St Marys 551 Under 129.5 N Hampshire at Vermont 553 Over 133.5 Albany at Stony Brook
6 March Results
Sides 0-0 (65-60 ytd)
Totals 2-1 (383-288 ytd)
Overall 2-1 (448-348 ytd)
7 March Plays:
729 Over 146.5 Florida A&M vs S Car State
CGBatch, you capping all the way thru the brackets? you do any other sports?...
BOL
Originally Posted by CGBatch
Yep, I go all the way through all post-season tournaments (NCAA, NIT, CBI, CIT). Right now I don't do any other sports, but I've been thinking about looking at others, hard to find other sports where the markets aren't more efficient.
Good overtime winner yesterday.
7 March Results
Sides 0-0 (65-60 ytd)
Totals 1-0 (384-288 ytd)
Overall 1-0 (449-348 ytd)
8 March Plays:
571 Under 142.5 DePaul vs Xavier 565 Under 141.5 St Josephs vs U Mass 551 Over 129.5 UNLV vs San Diego St 577 Under 155.0 LSU vs Miss State 541 Over 134.0 LA Monroe vs Arkansas St 567 Over 130.5 Duquesne vs Saint Louis 587 Under 156.5 Central Ark vs Sam Hous St
Almost swept the board yesterday, apparently App St vs Troy dropped from Over 151 to Over 150.5 so that would have been a play as well, fortunately it lost, but I did add it to the record.
8 March Results
Sides 0-0 (65-60 ytd)
Totals 6-2 (390-290 ytd)
Overall 6-2 (455-350 ytd)
9 March Plays:
769 Over 127.0 Miss State at Alabama 743 Under 143.5 E Michigan vs Akron 731 Under 143.0 Xavier vs Butler 747 Over 148.0 Toledo vs Ohio 791 Over 135.5 Cal Poly vs UC Davis 741 Over 128.0 Saint Louis vs Geo Wshgtn 729 Under 148.5 Seton Hall vs Marquette 799 Over 131.0 E Carolina vs Temple 749 Over 150.5 Kent State vs Buffalo 821 Over 149.5 Sam Hous St vs Houston Bap 757 Over 130.5 Kansas St vs Baylor 801 Under 147.5 Tulane vs Tulsa 759 Under 128.5 TX-San Ant vs Middle Tenn
9 March Results
Sides 0-0 (65-60 ytd)
Totals 6-7 (396-297 ytd)
Overall 6-7 (461-357 ytd)
10 March Plays:
563 Under 149.5 Xavier vs Creighton 561 Under 135.5 Seton Hall vs Villanova 553 Over 147.0 Georgia vs Kentucky 541 Under 126.5 TX El Paso vs Middle Tenn 539 Over 130.0 Connecticut vs Houston 587 Over 125.0 San Diego St vs Colorado St 525 Under 144.0 Davidson vs Dayton 533 Over 127.0 E Carolina vs S Methodist 535 Over 130.0 Memphis vs Central FL
Troy/Georgia Southern Over was a late addition, good night even without that
10 March Results
Sides 0-0 (65-60 ytd)
Totals 8-2 (404-299 ytd)
Overall 8-2 (469-359 ytd)
11 March Plays:
763 Under 129.0 Albany at Vermont 745 Under 145.5 Creighton vs Villanova 765 Over 131.5 Norfolk St vs NC Central 735 Under 141.5 Richmond vs VCU 773 Under 127.5 U Penn vs Princeton
11 March Results
Sides 0-0 (65-60 ytd)
Totals 2-3 (406-302 ytd)
Overall 2-3 (471-362 ytd)
12 March Plays:
891 Under 127.0 Cincinnati vs S Methodist 887 Under 131.5 Troy vs Texas State
12 March Results
Sides 0-0 (65-60 ytd)
Totals 1-0-1 (407-302 ytd)
Overall 1-0-1 (472-362 ytd)
14 March Plays:
544 Under 148.5 Wake Forest vs Kansas St 542 Over 131.0 New Orleans vs Mt St Marys 561 Under 156.5 Boise State at Utah 551 Under 140.0 Valparaiso at Illinois 553 Over 124.5 CS Bakersfld at California
CGbatch- have you ever run your first 1H and 2H numbers to see if are leaving any money on the table?
I know you already have a ton of volume, but I was just curious to see if you knew what your wins/losses looked like if you played the 1H and 2H lines too.
BOL
Batch...curious if your model takes in the new rules implemented for the NIT. Thanks & BOL
I haven't, there probably is some value in half lines, but I don't have the past data to back it up. I'm content with what I have.
It does not. I considered it, but I don't think the rule change(s) is that dramatic (as compared to the reduced 35 to 30 second shot clock a few years back). Totals are maybe half a point lower based on the fact there's no 1+1 opportunity, overall I think it shakes out about even.
I missed the Houston Baptist/Campbell over last night, the line dropped, but I thought it was rising again, apparently it didn't so that should have been a play.
14 March Results
Sides 0-0 (65-60 ytd)
Totals 5-1 (412-303 ytd)
Overall 5-1 (477-363 ytd)
15 March Plays:
661 Under 167.5 Ball State at IPFW 635 Under 144.0 Fresno St at TX Christian 665 Under 146.5 Georgia St at TX A&M-CC 637 Over 130.5 UC Irvine at Illinois St
Not sure why so many unders today, my hunch is there is higher than normal public money on games today and we know the public loves overs. Hopefully this provides good value for us.
15 March Results
Sides 0-0 (65-60 ytd)
Totals 3-1 (415-304 ytd)
Overall 3-1 (480-364 ytd)
16 March Plays:
743 Under 129.5 VCU vs St Marys 713 Under 131.0 Mt St Marys vs Villanova 717 Under 135.5 Princeton vs Notre Dame 733 Over 135.5 Middle Tenn vs Minnesota 753 Under 151.5 NC-Asheville at TN Martin 729 Under 156.5 Nevada vs Iowa State 739 Under 130.0 Vanderbilt vs Northwestern 731 Under 135.0 Vermont vs Purdue 735 Under 145.5 Winthrop vs Butler 727 Under 142.5 Xavier vs Maryland 721 Under 133.0 NC-Wilmgton vs Virginia 751 Under 148.5 Furman at SC Upstate 723 Over 149.5 E Tenn St vs Florida 737 Under 157.5 S Dakota St vs Gonzaga 715 Under 136.0 VA Tech vs Wisconsin
16 March Results
Sides 0-0 (65-60 ytd)
Totals 6-9 (421-313 ytd)
Overall 6-9 (486-373 ytd)
17 March Plays:
827 Under 153.5 Oklahoma St vs Michigan 833 Under 134.5 N Mex State vs Baylor 835 Under 139.0 USC vs S Methodist 839 Under 125.5 Michigan St vs Miami (FL) 843 Under 141.5 Rhode Island vs Creighton 837 Under 145.0 UC Davis vs Kansas
Got killed yesterday, but I saw the books have been getting killed too so that does mean we are against public money. Hopefully we can make some back today.
17 March Results
Sides 0-0 (65-60 ytd)
Totals 1-5 (422-318 ytd)
Overall 1-5 (487-378 ytd)
18 March Plays:
519 Under 129.0 Wisconsin vs Villanova 525 Under 139.0 Middle Tenn vs Butler 527 Under 152.0 Iowa State vs Purdue 529 Under 137.5 Northwestern vs Gonzaga
Missed the early game, still looks like it could go either way
18 March Results
Sides 0-0 (65-60 ytd)
Totals 2-2 (424-320 ytd)
Overall 2-2 (489-380 ytd)
19 March Plays:
725 Under 141.5 USC vs Baylor 735 Under 154.0 TX Christian at Iowa 729 Under 143.0 Rhode Island vs Oregon 721 Under 142.0 Michigan vs Louisville 731 Under 153.5 Cincinnati vs UCLA
Looks like the Oakland/Richmond under should have been added as well, fortunately it lost, been getting killed the last few days
19 March Results
Sides 0-0 (65-60 ytd)
Totals 1-4 (425-324 ytd)
Overall 1-4 (490-384 ytd)
20 March Plays:
615 Over 128.0 Central FL at Illinois St 617 Under 153.5 Akron at TX-Arlington 621 Over 130.0 CS Bakersfld at Colorado St
20-22 March Results
Sides 0-0 (65-60 ytd)
Totals 2-3 (427-327 ytd)
Overall 2-3 (492-387 ytd)
23 March Plays:
813 Under 147.0 Michigan vs Oregon
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