1. #1
    mahncpa
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    I think I have found value

    3 picks this morning:

    Northeastern -2 at Cornell, pick NE

    JMU at Charlotte -5, pick Charlotte

    UNC-W -6 at W. Michigan, pick UNCW

    I bought 1/2 point on each.

    Any thoughts?

  2. #2
    TheeArchBishop
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    On Northeastern. Let's get em.

  3. #3
    mahncpa
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheeArchBishop View Post
    On Northeastern. Let's get em.
    Do you have any other picks you are looking at?

  4. #4
    TheeArchBishop
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    Lots lol but haven't finalized any yet. Looking at Rutgers +15, Arkansas State, and Santa Clara.

  5. #5
    mahncpa
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    I like the Ark. State pick a lot. Will be following. GLTY!

  6. #6
    TPowell
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    Play Arky State in the 1H. They are 1st half monsters if you go back and look

  7. #7
    mahncpa
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    Quote Originally Posted by TPowell View Post
    Play Arky State in the 1H. They are 1st half monsters if you go back and look
    I just looked at Pomeroy rankings and you are spot on. Arky State has scored well in the first half. Thanks
    for the tip.

  8. #8
    HeeluvaGuy
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    Quote Originally Posted by mahncpa View Post
    I just looked at Pomeroy rankings and you are spot on. Arky State has scored well in the first half. Thanks
    for the tip.
    What kenpom ranking are you looking at for halftime numbers? Thanks

  9. #9
    mahncpa
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    Quote Originally Posted by HeeluvaGuy View Post
    What kenpom ranking are you looking at for halftime numbers? Thanks
    I went to Arkansas State page and looked at any of the "results/scores" of games. The boxscore gives the score
    by quarters. In the Lehigh game, Arky St. was up 53-32. I have not figured out a way to compare the halftime
    score to the halftime spread however. That would be helpful. I just saw that they do get out of the gate well.
    BTW, Go Heels!! Lifelong Tar Heel fan here!!

  10. #10
    mahncpa
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    BTW, again looking at Pomeroy, Arky State's opponent tongiht, Cleavland State, gets out of the gate slow. Even
    in the game that they won this year, they were behind by 5 at the half. Looks like 1st half is the pick on this game.

  11. #11
    HeeluvaGuy
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    Quote Originally Posted by mahncpa View Post
    I went to Arkansas State page and looked at any of the "results/scores" of games. The boxscore gives the score
    by quarters. In the Lehigh game, Arky St. was up 53-32. I have not figured out a way to compare the halftime
    score to the halftime spread however. That would be helpful. I just saw that they do get out of the gate well.
    BTW, Go Heels!! Lifelong Tar Heel fan here!!
    Gotcha. I thought maybe you had found halftime stats along the lines of what he does for full games. That would be amazing.

    Big test tonight for the Heels. They're playing well, but Assembly Hall is a tough environment. It'll be interesting to see how we play as a road favorite in this spot.

    Best of luck tonight!

  12. #12
    mahncpa
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    [QUOTE=HeeluvaGuy;26592867]Gotcha. I thought maybe you had found halftime stats along the lines of what he does for full games. That would be amazing.

    Big test tonight for the Heels. They're playing well, but Assembly Hall is a tough environment. It'll be interesting to see how we play as a road favorite in this spot.

    Yes, it would be great if Pomeroy had half time details! I have been hunting for something like that for a while.

    I hear you about the Heels. Tough game. I never bet on/against the Heels, just try to enjoy the game.
    But if I had to bet it, I would take the points with IU. I think it is a fairly even matchup, but the home
    team gets the edge to cover in this game. Best of luck to you.

  13. #13
    TPowell
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    Easy money on Arky State all the way.

  14. #14
    TheeArchBishop
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    Good job fellas

  15. #15
    mahncpa
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    Quote Originally Posted by TPowell View Post
    Easy money on Arky State all the way.
    Thanks for the Arky State tip. I took -3.5 first half. With my 3 picks, I only
    went 2-2. UNC-W led by double digits most of the game and I had them at
    -5.5. Won by 5. So that was a tough beat. How did you identify Arky St.
    as a good first half team??? Thanks in advance!!

  16. #16
    TPowell
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    Quote Originally Posted by mahncpa View Post
    Thanks for the Arky State tip. I took -3.5 first half. With my 3 picks, I only
    went 2-2. UNC-W led by double digits most of the game and I had them at
    -5.5. Won by 5. So that was a tough beat. How did you identify Arky St.
    as a good first half team??? Thanks in advance!!

    Just have to pick through Ken Pom box scores. Breaks it down in quarters but you can still get a good picture

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