1. #1
    doubledime
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    ***** College Totals *****

    As I have mentioned in other threads, I have handicapping for over 40 years using "traditional" methods mixed in with updated technology. This year I will be releasing my "Regular" plays, but today I will share with something I have been tracking this season with good success. We'll call it our "Program" plays.

    Though the Program plays have been showing a small profit, they do not have a long history so I am only releasing them for all of us to track, not necessarily to play. Until they establish a longer winning record, I suggest you may want to consider them only as something to bounce your own handicapping off of. Those of you that followed my baseball thread know I did some thing similar with the "Reliever Plays" that wound up hitting over 58% over hundreds of plays. I cannot make any guarantee these "Program" plays will be profitable, but at least we'll all be able to track them. If they fall totally on their ass, I will stop releasing them and go back to the drawing board.

    No Regular Plays for Sunday

    The Program Plays for Sunday:

    CSB/USC under 141
    Miami/FL under 129
    Sta/SH under 145
    Den/Sac St. under 148
    N.D.St./Missouri St. under 135
    Port/Pep under 151


    Good luck
    Last edited by doubledime; 11-27-16 at 02:36 PM.

  2. #2
    Jerm3085
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    The Miami/FL total is 129 at Bovada, is that an error or did you see it at 139? Thanks DD good luck!

  3. #3
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jerm3085 View Post
    The Miami/FL total is 129 at Bovada, is that an error or did you see it at 139? Thanks DD good luck!
    typo 129 is correct

  4. #4
    Jerm3085
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    Thank you sir! Cheers!

  5. #5
    freeVICK
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  6. #6
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jerm3085 View Post
    Thank you sir! Cheers!

  7. #7
    HeeluvaGuy
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    Glad to see you on basketball. I've played almost exclusively totals the past week or two. I'm not using a model yet, but believe that I have a fair amount to contribute here. 351 teams and about that many games per week. We can do good things here.
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  8. #8
    trillz
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    HG do you have a thread going for ncaaab yet?

  9. #9
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by HeeluvaGuy View Post
    Glad to see you on basketball. I've played almost exclusively totals the past week or two. I'm not using a model yet, but believe that I have a fair amount to contribute here. 351 teams and about that many games per week. We can do good things here.
    HG Absolutely! So many games is a double edge sword. It's good because the line makers can't be sharp on everyone all the time, but with so many games I don't always have the time to look at them all. Join in anytime or PM me.

  10. #10
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by trillz View Post
    HG do you have a thread going for ncaaab yet?
    This is it

  11. #11
    doubledime
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    Good morning,

    Yesterday:

    Regular Plays: 0
    Program Plays: 4-2


    Good luck

  12. #12
    HeeluvaGuy
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    Quote Originally Posted by trillz View Post
    HG do you have a thread going for ncaaab yet?
    I just bumped it here: http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...l#post26557181

    Off to a slow start and haven't posted in a bit. For now I'll keep my plays separately in that thread, but will contribute here as well.
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  13. #13
    HeeluvaGuy
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    Quote Originally Posted by doubledime View Post
    HG Absolutely! So many games is a double edge sword. It's good because the line makers can't be sharp on everyone all the time, but with so many games I don't always have the time to look at them all. Join in anytime or PM me.
    Definitely want to collaborate where we can. I'm not terribly organized for CBB yet, but using a combination of pace, points per possession, and free throw rates I've had some pretty good success with totals the last 10 days or so. (The UCSB/USC game was my strongest over yesterday.)

    Looking forward to a successful season!
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  14. #14
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by HeeluvaGuy View Post
    I just bumped it here: http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...l#post26557181

    Off to a slow start and haven't posted in a bit. For now I'll keep my plays separately in that thread, but will contribute here as well.
    My bad. I did not notice trillz was asking where your thread was, I thought he was asking about this one.

  15. #15
    HeeluvaGuy
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    Quote Originally Posted by doubledime View Post
    My bad. I did not notice trillz was asking where your thread was, I thought he was asking about this one.
    Haha. No worries. I waffle back and forth about keeping a season long thread going. I prefer offering information instead of picks, but that's not how sites like this tend to operate. Also, the amount of time I have to participate varies from day to day, which can make it hard to get into a good posting flow. But I'm going to give it a shot because I'm doing the research/analysis anyway.

    if I told you the run I had last week you probabaly wouldn't believe me.
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  16. #16
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by HeeluvaGuy View Post
    Haha. No worries. I waffle back and forth about keeping a season long thread going. I prefer offering information instead of picks, but that's not how sites like this tend to operate. Also, the amount of time I have to participate varies from day to day, which can make it hard to get into a good posting flow. But I'm going to give it a shot because I'm doing the research/analysis anyway.

    if I told you the run I had last week you probabaly wouldn't believe me.
    Was your run mostly sides or totals?

  17. #17
    HeeluvaGuy
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    All totals. Sent you a PM.
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  18. #18
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by HeeluvaGuy View Post
    All totals. Sent you a PM.
    thanks just sent you one back.

  19. #19
    HeeluvaGuy
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    Possessions per game can be found here: https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-ba...sions-per-game

    Note that the last column is last year's number. Can be helpful assuming the coach hasn't changed.
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  20. #20
    doubledime
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    Good afternoon,

    The Program Play for Monday:

    NW St./Miss St. under 149.5

    No Regular Play

    This would have also been a Regular Play but it opened at 154 and has lost some of it's value but still qualifies as a Program Play

    Good luck
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  21. #21
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by HeeluvaGuy View Post
    Possessions per game can be found here: https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-ba...sions-per-game

    Note that the last column is last year's number. Can be helpful assuming the coach hasn't changed.
    Thanks HG. TR along with Ken Pom is a pretty good combination.

  22. #22
    doubledime
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    Points Awarded:
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    Flea Hotel gave doubledime 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    Thanks for the points guys!!!

  23. #23
    HeeluvaGuy
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    Nice winner my man!
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  24. #24
    Cordoba25
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    Good start to your posted program plays so far DoubleDime.

    I understand these are experimental but are you wagering on these? Or you just track em only for now?

    And your regular plays... do you originate these from the same system as your program plays only that you perhaps have more confidence in them? Or are they from something different all together?

  25. #25
    Fred The Hammer
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    Had the Miss State/Northwest St Under as well as an easy winner with WV/Manhattan Over 145.5! KenPom's pace or average # of possessions is so key with the totals. WVs pace just eats up these weak teams and even if they want to slow it down and eat clock they can't. This might be a great thread!!

  26. #26
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by HeeluvaGuy View Post
    Nice winner my man!
    Thanks HG

  27. #27
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cordoba25 View Post
    Good start to your posted program plays so far DoubleDime.

    I understand these are experimental but are you wagering on these? Or you just track em only for now?

    And your regular plays... do you originate these from the same system as your program plays only that you perhaps have more confidence in them? Or are they from something different all together?
    My Regular Plays include the info from the Program Plays so at times they will overlap. Playing them is up to each individual.

  28. #28
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fred The Hammer View Post
    Had the Miss State/Northwest St Under as well as an easy winner with WV/Manhattan Over 145.5! KenPom's pace or average # of possessions is so key with the totals. WVs pace just eats up these weak teams and even if they want to slow it down and eat clock they can't. This might be a great thread!!
    Nice night for you Fred. Feel free to contribute if you see something that really sticks out. It is impossible for me, due to time, to evaluate every game when there is a large card.

  29. #29
    doubledime
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    Good morning,

    Yesterday:

    Regular Plays: 0
    Program Plays: 1-0
    YTD: 5-2

    Good luck

  30. #30
    doubledime
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    Good morning,

    I want to post the Program Plays early before any line movement like yesterday.

    The Program Plays for Tuesday:

    725 Princ/VA Com over 139
    733 Hou/LSU
    under 153
    741 Iowa/ND
    under 158
    747 ND St./XAV
    under 133
    749 Dav/Merc over 133
    765 GW/Harv over 138
    767 Del St./St. John
    under 143.5

    Please look at the first post for an explanation of Program Plays.

    Good luck
    Last edited by doubledime; 11-29-16 at 11:39 AM.

  31. #31
    JayRow
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    Double dime,
    Thanks for posting all your plays at once. It's the only way to ensure everyone gets the same results and a rule I follow in my thread.

  32. #32
    HeeluvaGuy
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    DD -

    Check that Texas total please. I'm showing 138.5 on 5D.
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  33. #33
    JayRow
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    DD,
    Do you mind posting rotational #s with your picks as you do in cfb?

  34. #34
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by JayRow View Post
    DD,
    Do you mind posting rotational #s with your picks as you do in cfb?
    Done

  35. #35
    JayRow
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    Thanks! I don't normally tail anyone but I'll throw a few bucks on your plays. Best of luck!

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