1. #36
    doubledime
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    Correction!!

    733 Houst/LSU under 153 NOT UT Arlington/TX

    Had the correct line but it posted the game listed above Hou/LSU on the schedule.

    Sometimes I am trying to do too much at once.

    Sorry

  2. #37
    HeeluvaGuy
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    Glad to see you on that Houston under. About to post that one myself. I'm a little concerned that LSU's offensive production is skewed down a bit because of playing in that weird ballroom in he Battle 4 Atlantis, but I think Houston's numbers are skewed up a little as a result of having played terrible defensive teams. Looking for a game with 70-72 possessions to kee us safely under.

  3. #38
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by HeeluvaGuy View Post
    Glad to see you on that Houston under. About to post that one myself. I'm a little concerned that LSU's offensive production is skewed down a bit because of playing in that weird ballroom in he Battle 4 Atlantis, but I think Houston's numbers are skewed up a little as a result of having played terrible defensive teams. Looking for a game with 70-72 possessions to kee us safely under.
    Just what I like to hear! Thanks HG

  4. #39
    Louisvillekid1
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    gl buddy

  5. #40
    ggp5290
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    Anyone like the duke/Michigan st. Under 145?

  6. #41
    Fred The Hammer
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    I really like Houston/LSU Under but I actually lean towards Over 155.5 with Iowa/Notre Dame. Iowa is playing at the 16th fastest pace in cbb and ND is so good offensively (8th per KPom) that they won't need to slow it down.

  7. #42
    Fred The Hammer
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    I know you guys like totals and so do I but I really wanted to recommend NC State ML +110 vs Illinois. I'm on GT +8 and ML +248 vs Penn State. I know the Big Ten pretty well and Penn State/Illinois are not going to be very good. I'll take the Wolfpack as a +110 dog when they're #21 offensively and Illinois is 112th!

  8. #43
    Louisvillekid1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fred The Hammer View Post
    I know you guys like totals and so do I but I really wanted to recommend NC State ML +110 vs Illinois. I'm on GT +8 and ML +248 vs Penn State. I know the Big Ten pretty well and Penn State/Illinois are not going to be very good. I'll take the Wolfpack as a +110 dog when they're #21 offensively and Illinois is 112th!
    On the NC ST under myself and lean ILLY

    Dont put much into NC St Offensive stats as they have played a very weak schedule, defenses:

    Ga SO 227
    ST Francis NY 298
    Montana 218
    Creighton 71
    St joes 96
    Lo la Chi 98

  9. #44
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    gl buddy

  10. #45
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by ggp5290 View Post
    Anyone like the duke/Michigan st. Under 145?
    I could make a case for under. Good luck if you play it.

  11. #46
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fred The Hammer View Post
    I really like Houston/LSU Under but I actually lean towards Over 155.5 with Iowa/Notre Dame. Iowa is playing at the 16th fastest pace in cbb and ND is so good offensively (8th per KPom) that they won't need to slow it down.
    Some good points, thanks.

  12. #47
    doubledime
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    Good morning,

    Yesterday:

    Regular Plays: 0
    Program Plays: 4-3
    YTD: 9-5

    Good luck

  13. #48
    doubledime
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    Good morning,

    The Program Plays for Wednesday:

    527 Dart/OD over 126
    531 Rut/Mia FL
    under 134
    533 VT/Mich over 133
    537 Oh/Marsh
    under 165
    545 Temp/St. Joe over 137.5
    565 Utah St./BYU
    under 162
    567 Col St./Col
    under 136
    587 IPFW/AP
    under 151.5
    597 UNLV/S. Utah
    under 158
    601 NH/Prov over 127


    Lots of plays today and I never play this many plays, but it is what it is. I will return with any Regular plays later.

    Good luck

  14. #49
    HeeluvaGuy
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    I got very close on the St. Joe's total but I'm staying away because of the rivalry aspect. Numbers suggest a strong over play though. Best of luck!

  15. #50
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by HeeluvaGuy View Post
    I got very close on the St. Joe's total but I'm staying away because of the rivalry aspect. Numbers suggest a strong over play though. Best of luck!
    Thanks

  16. #51
    Notorious_Donk
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    Looking forward to seeing these Program plays. BOL dime

  17. #52
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Notorious_Donk View Post
    Looking forward to seeing these Program plays. BOL dime
    Remember, still in the "tracking" phase.

  18. #53
    Notorious_Donk
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    Quote Originally Posted by doubledime View Post
    Remember, still in the "tracking" phase.
    The "tracking" phase looks good thus far. I enjoy testing new systems and methods so i'm interested in the turnout

  19. #54
    doubledime
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    Good afternoon,

    Still no Regular Play for Wednesday

    Good luck

  20. #55
    AceofSP2107
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    DD what do you think top 5 rotation number plays would be or what plays would be recommended more Overs or unders . Much appreciated and thank you ..

  21. #56
    Letsgovols22
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    Forgive me if you have already posted.....but can you tell me briefly how your system works? Which are stronger, program or regular?

  22. #57
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Letsgovols22 View Post
    Forgive me if you have already posted.....but can you tell me briefly how your system works? Which are stronger, program or regular?
    The "Program Plays" are a new way I am looking at totals this year and I am posting them so we can all track them. When I finally post some "Regular Plays", my hope is that they will be stronger since I will be looking at some additional factors in determining them.
    Points Awarded:

    Letsgovols22 gave doubledime 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  23. #58
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by AceofSP2107 View Post
    DD what do you think top 5 rotation number plays would be or what plays would be recommended more Overs or unders . Much appreciated and thank you ..
    To me they are all the same. At this point I have not tracked if the overs or unders are stronger. If someone wants to do that, feel free to post.

  24. #59
    Letsgovols22
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    Quote Originally Posted by doubledime View Post
    The "Program Plays" are a new way I am looking at totals this year and I am posting them so we can all track them. When I finally post some "Regular Plays", my hope is that they will be stronger since I will be looking at some additional factors in determining them.
    Do you bet these yourself? And if so, do you increase the unit size for the regular plays? Thanks for what you do. I find it interesting

  25. #60
    Fred The Hammer
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    I'm on Ohio/Marshall Under. A game I've really worked out hard is Ole Miss/Middle Tenn Over 146.5!!

    Ole Miss is 3-0 Over at home and play at the 49th fastest pace with offense/defense KenPoms (63rd/146th) that look good for Over. Their games avg a whopping 168 pts so far!! Now on the flip side MT does play at a slow pace (290th) but they've played a similar style team in Toledo twice already with totals of 143 and 150.

    Ole Miss 63rd best offense 49th pace
    Toledo 91st offense 85th pace

    Overall...I see Miss speeding up the pace and both teams shoot the 3 well. I also see a close game where we might get a bunch of free throws at the end if we need them.

  26. #61
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fred The Hammer View Post
    I'm on Ohio/Marshall Under. A game I've really worked out hard is Ole Miss/Middle Tenn Over 146.5!!

    Ole Miss is 3-0 Over at home and play at the 49th fastest pace with offense/defense KenPoms (63rd/146th) that look good for Over. Their games avg a whopping 168 pts so far!! Now on the flip side MT does play at a slow pace (290th) but they've played a similar style team in Toledo twice already with totals of 143 and 150.

    Ole Miss 63rd best offense 49th pace
    Toledo 91st offense 85th pace

    Overall...I see Miss speeding up the pace and both teams shoot the 3 well. I also see a close game where we might get a bunch of free throws at the end if we need them.
    Thanks Hammer Let's get them

  27. #62
    doubledime
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    Good morning,

    Yesterday:

    Regular Plays: 0
    Program Plays: 5-4-1
    YTD: 14-9

    Good luck

  28. #63
    doubledime
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    Points Awarded:
    Letsgovols22 gave doubledime 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


    Thanks Letsgovolls

  29. #64
    doubledime
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    Good morning,

    No Program Plays for Thursday

    May have a Regular Play later.

    Good luck

  30. #65
    HeeluvaGuy
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    We were 1-0 again last night in games where we agreed. I didn't post it, but I ended up playing the Temple over when the line dropped a point. We should make a habit of this.

  31. #66
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by HeeluvaGuy View Post
    We were 1-0 again last night in games where we agreed. I didn't post it, but I ended up playing the Temple over when the line dropped a point. We should make a habit of this.
    I believe that's 3-0.

  32. #67
    doubledime
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    Good afternoon,

    Rather short card tonight

    No Plays

    Good luck

  33. #68
    doubledime
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    Good morning,

    The Program Play for Friday:

    533 Iona/St. Pete under 140

    Good luck

  34. #69
    Capybara
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    What's good, Double D? Just saw you had this NCAAB thread so stopping in for a doff of the cap to my favorite number cruncher. Best of luck!

    BTP
    Week 10
    3-2-0 289 pts

    SBR Bash
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    Attendee 2/4/2017


  35. #70
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Capybara View Post
    What's good, Double D? Just saw you had this NCAAB thread so stopping in for a doff of the cap to my favorite number cruncher. Best of luck!
    Thanks Capy Make sure you read the first post to see how we are approaching this early on.

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