1. 10-07-16 04:33 PM #71
    TPowell
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    Play 26: Daniel Omielanczuk/Stefan Struve OVER 1.5 rounds (-150) $450 to win $300


    2 versions of why behind this pick

    1. Fatties gonna fatty
    2. Okay a little more in depth here, Omiel is a grinding type of HW who isn't a real finisher and has a decent chin. He has a little bit of power in his hands but usually the only way he wins is grinding guys out until they tire which works well at HW normally. Struve is a freakishly long Dutch style kickboxer who doesn't use his range well at all normally, but started working with the Blackzillians a few fights ago and has looked better keeping guys at range. Struve isn't a real powerhouse for a HW but he def has some power. I think he'll find it pretty easy to keep the fight at range and pick Omiel apart with body kicks. Omiel will probably find a way inside at some point and they'll clinch against the cage in really boring fashion to kill some time. I think there's a decent chance this fight goes the whole 3 rounds and I may add a little bit on that later but for now, this is the play.
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  2. 10-07-16 04:44 PM #72
    TPowell
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    Play 27: Leg 1 of Parlay- Michael Bisping/Dan Henderson DOESN'T start round 5 (-289)
    Leg 2 of Parlay- Danny Roberts/Mike Perry DOESN'T start round 3 (-215)
    $400 to win $390



    Was unsure how I wanted to play some of these unders that I liked on the board. All you really need to know is Mike Perry hits really hard but has zero technique and gets hit very easily as well. Roberts has some solid power himself and is more technical but is also sloppy on the feet. Perry's ground game is a huge question mark and Roberts is a fantastic finisher on the ground with slick subs, especially for a Brit. This fight likely doesn't reach the second round but I def like it not getting to the 3rd round because even if these guys are a LITTLE gassed, their defense is so bad that it likely won't matter. If it makes it 3 rounds, they'll probably do nothing and it'll go to a decision anyway
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  3. 10-07-16 04:50 PM #73
    TPowell
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    Play 28: Gegard Mousasi/Vitor Belfort UNDER 1.5 rounds (-137) $350 to win $255


    Vitor's body looked awful at weigh-ins and he's just flat out done. I expect him to retire very soon. He's one of the best fighters in UFC history IMO if you overlook the fact that he QUITS when adversity strikes. Most of the time I'd call a Mousasi under 1.5 play dumb, but he should be able to pick Belfort apart and win this fight easily. There's an off chance that Belfort could come out very aggressive and land something crazy, but it HAS to be very early in the 1st round and we're covered there as well.
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  4. 10-07-16 06:14 PM #74
    TPowell
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    Haven't had a good read on ODU and UMass this year but I think +11 has some value. Going to just let it play out though. May come in on a live bet if I like what I see early on
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  5. 10-07-16 06:57 PM #75
    TPowell
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    Clemson not sleepwalking early on. Dominating the game up 7-3. Probably a bad play here boys
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  6. 10-07-16 07:10 PM #76
    TPowell
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    Play 29: Stefan Struve ML (-165) $577 to win $350
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  7. 10-07-16 07:19 PM #77
    TPowell
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    Play 30: Brad Pickett by decision (+217) $200 to win $434
    Play 31: Brad Pickett ML (+140) $350 to win $490



    Two guys very far from their prime here. One guy is a very smart fighter with very solid technical boxing skills and the other is a wild, enigmatic old guy with a terrible fight IQ. Pickett is at a disadvantage as far as power goes on the feet, but he should be able to fight smart and avoid the crazy rushes from Alcantara. If he survives the 1st round, Alcantara should gas and allow him to mix in his wrestling to win some points on the cards. It shouldn't take much from Pickett to win a decision in the UK. Even if only clearly wins 1 round, he'll probably get the benefit of the doubt in another to win a close decision.
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  8. 10-07-16 07:25 PM #78
    TPowell
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    Play 32: Davey Grant ML (-185) Leg 1 of Parlay
    Vitor Belfort/Gegard Mousasi DON'T go the distance (-485) Leg 2 of Parlay
    $400 to win $345
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  9. 10-07-16 07:28 PM #79
    TPowell
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    Play 33: Michael Bisping wins inside the distance (-121) $484 to win $400
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  10. 10-07-16 07:31 PM #80
    TPowell
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    That should do it for a little while MMA wise. May see me investing in some high value props or a few other plays here and there before fights start but basis of the card is finished. NFL wise, I've done my injury reports but haven't fully capped these games yet but I'll def have some on Houston this week. Thought about pulling trigger now on +7 (-125) but didn't
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  11. 10-07-16 10:14 PM #81
    jeffchitown
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    Honestly your bc pick has been the only one i was like i dont know about. Bc proved they really suck. Also you underestimated louisville. But i do think overall buddy you are fn hot on these picks! Following you on many
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  12. 10-07-16 10:18 PM #82
    jeffchitown
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    Powell.. I took a teaser tonight smu/tulsa over 62, boise state -13, purdue +16.5, iowa +7.5 $100 to win $300.. Im feeling good
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  13. 10-07-16 10:30 PM #83
    TPowell
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    yeah unreal how BC quit at half. Hopefully SMU holds on
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  14. 10-07-16 11:33 PM #84
    TPowell
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    3-1 $25,800 (+$800)
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  15. 10-07-16 11:36 PM #85
    TPowell
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    Clemson game was rough but I kind of think BC could have kept it a game if they would have cashed in on some of the chances they had in the first half like not scoring inside the 20 twice and fumbling at the 1 yard line. Probably should have put more on SMU because that was never in doubt but it happens. Huge day tomorrow. BOL
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  16. 10-07-16 11:49 PM #86
    Codyodom
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    Quote Originally Posted by TPowell View Post
    Play 9: North Carolina -2.5 (-110) $440 to win $400
    Nc state correct? Not N. Carolina
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  17. 10-07-16 11:57 PM #87
    TPowell
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    Quote Originally Posted by Codyodom View Post
    Nc state correct? Not N. Carolina

    No, I hit North Carolina too early and got a bad line
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  18. 10-08-16 02:01 AM #88
    jeffchitown
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    Look at Syracuse and Georgia
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  19. 10-08-16 10:21 AM #89
    MikeyPicks1
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    Some pretty nice looking write-ups in here.
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  20. 10-08-16 12:31 PM #90
    TPowell
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    Iowa just not finishing drives. Should be up by more than 3 at half. Penn State has looked really good outside of the one big TD play (60+ yards) they gave up early. UTSA game looks good but they've essentially hit the total before half. Luckily we'll have a 30+ point cushion going into the second half. Texas surviving but I'll be buying out at half if I can get Oklahoma -4.5 or so for the game
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  21. 10-08-16 12:36 PM #91
    TPowell
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    Play 34: Oklahoma -3.5 LIVE (-130) $390 to win $300
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  22. 10-08-16 12:37 PM #92
    TPowell
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    sweet, quick score from OU and we're covering both plays
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  23. 10-08-16 12:52 PM #93
    Jayvegas420
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    Sooners may comeback and cover the opener.
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  24. 10-08-16 12:53 PM #94
    TPowell
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    possibly but will still just lose juice
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  25. 10-08-16 12:56 PM #95
    TPowell
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    Should have put more on OU -3.5 (-130) but I thought the halftime line would be better than OU -6.5. That sucks
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  26. 10-08-16 01:19 PM #96
    TPowell
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    Unreal how bad my timing was this week. Iowa closed like +2 and I'm laying -1.5. That will probably be the difference in winning and losing. Took 1 with PSU and that got up to +3 before kick. I could have waited and got 3 with UNC right now instead of laying -2.5. Crazy stuff
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  27. 10-08-16 01:24 PM #97
    TPowell
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    Play 35: Virginia Tech/North Carolina UNDER 52 (-110) $220 to win $200
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  28. 10-08-16 01:41 PM #98
    TPowell
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    Play 36: North Carolina Central/Florida A&M UNDER 43.5 (-120) $180 to win $150
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  29. 10-08-16 02:16 PM #99
    TPowell
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    Looking very good right now. Here's a couple good prop plays

    Play 37: Brad Pickett wins by TKO (+950) $40 to win $380
    Play 38: Mirsad Bektic wins fastest SUB of night (+1000) $40 to win $400


    Bektic fight should take place on the ground. I just don't see many subs tonight. I think the total on subs for the night is 2.5 and heavy juice on the under so I think you'll see 1 or 2 subs max. I'm a little worried that Mousasi could finish Vitor early with a sub or Roberts finishing Perry with one but at +1000, I'll take the most likely sub of the night
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  30. 10-08-16 02:23 PM #100
    TPowell
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    3-0 start in NCAAF today. We currently have the middle in the OU/TEX game that would put us 5-0. Hopefully that hangs on for the last 10 minutes or so.
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  31. 10-08-16 02:46 PM #101
    TPowell
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    OU up 45-34 late with TEX driving and we have OU -3.5 and TEX +12.5. Will be OU 45-40 shortly and then our middle will be tested by the 2 point conversation. HOPEFULLY, they fail
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  32. 10-08-16 02:48 PM #102
    ATLIEN6
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    Quote Originally Posted by TPowell View Post
    Play 11: Buffalo +1.5 (-110) $550 to win $500
    Play 12: Tennessee +7 (-110) $660 to win $600
    Play 13: Texas State +10.5 (-110) $330 to win $300
    Play 14: USC -4 (-120) $480 to win $400
    Play 15: San Jose State -3 (-110) $440 to win $400
    Play 16: Arkansas +14 (-110) $330 to win $300
    Play 17: Oregon State +13 (-110) $330 to win $300
    Play 18: San Diego State -14 (-110) $440 to win $400
    Play 19: Stanford -7 (-115) $345 to win $300
    Play 20: Arizona State +10 (-110) $550 to win $500
    Im assuming your 2 favorite plays are ASU and Tenny??
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  33. 10-08-16 02:52 PM #103
    TPowell
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    Quote Originally Posted by ATLIEN6 View Post
    Im assuming your 2 favorite plays are ASU and Tenny??
    that would be correct but I'm more of a volume guy
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  34. 10-08-16 03:03 PM #104
    TPowell
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    After first wave of games

    8-1 $27,800 (+$2,800)
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  35. 10-08-16 03:04 PM #105
    ATLIEN6
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    Very nice
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