1. #1
    QuantumLeap
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    Too Good To Be True (TGTBT) Thursday night

    Just wanted to start the thread to put up a game I wanted to watch but won't be playing. Yesterday I took Southern Illinois as the team that had an opponent's line that was TGTBT, even though SIU had a really good record. The reason I thought their opponent was TGTBT was because SIU's recent performance sucked. SIU lost miserably.

    We have a similar team with Providence today. They have a 19-8 record but have only won 2 out of their last 7 and are on the road at Seton Hall who has a 19-7 record and has won 6 out of their last 7. The line is -4 for Seton Hall which seems to be TGTBT given the recent performances by these 2 teams.

    I won't be playing this game. Just putting it up here to show how similar it was to last night's SIU game to see if these types of picks should be eliminated.

    Picks will come later.

  2. #2
    QuantumLeap
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    I am NOT picking these teams just yet. Just putting these out there as teams I'm looking at. Looking at DePaul, ASU, UCLA, Stanford.

    I love the Pac 12 for this system as you can see.

  3. #3
    JAKEPEAVY21
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    checking in

    liking ucla at first glance

  4. #4
    sleeper
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    Nice hit on Colorado last night!

  5. #5
    QuantumLeap
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    Quote Originally Posted by JAKEPEAVY21 View Post
    checking in

    liking ucla at first glance
    Roger that Ghost Rider, the pattern is open! Check your 6 for Migs.

  6. #6
    QuantumLeap
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    Quote Originally Posted by sleeper View Post
    Nice hit on Colorado last night!
    Thanks! That was a lot of fun. Hopefully we can filter out the losers and get mostly winners like that.

  7. #7
    Birdman557
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    I'll help you out:

    Nebraska 4-7 on the road, Penn 9-3 at home. Nebraska lost last 2, Penn won last 2. Line is even, enjoy!

  8. #8
    QuantumLeap
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    Quote Originally Posted by Birdman557 View Post
    I'll help you out:

    Nebraska 4-7 on the road, Penn 9-3 at home. Nebraska lost last 2, Penn won last 2. Line is even, enjoy!
    Yeah, I saw that but their road record concerned me. Also, I was concerned about Penn State's record prior to their last 2 wins but you could be right.

  9. #9
    Birdman557
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    Quote Originally Posted by QuantumLeap View Post
    Yeah, I saw that but their road record concerned me. Also, I was concerned about Penn State's record prior to their last 2 wins but you could be right.
    I'm playing, let's ship!

  10. #10
    QuantumLeap
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    Quote Originally Posted by Birdman557 View Post
    I'm playing, let's ship!
    Good luck! I'll be rooting for you.

  11. #11
    Birdman557
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    Quote Originally Posted by QuantumLeap View Post
    Good luck! I'll be rooting for you.
    Thanks and keep up the good work

  12. #12
    QuantumLeap
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    I was also looking at San Diego +14 1/2 but it's hard to look at a line that large and say it's TGTBT. Still, I DID take St. John's at +11 against Seton Hall last Sunday. Hmmmm...

  13. #13
    QuantumLeap
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    Quote Originally Posted by QuantumLeap View Post
    I am NOT picking these teams just yet. Just putting these out there as teams I'm looking at. Looking at DePaul, ASU, UCLA, Stanford.

    I love the Pac 12 for this system as you can see.
    I wanted to explain why I put DePaul in here. I've never taken a favorite as a TGTBT pick. I won't be taking them but the reason I mentioned them is because St. John's played Seton Hall in a public game Sunday morning in the Garden and should have won but got ripped off by the officials.

    People see how well St. John's did against a good Seton Hall team and wonder why they are underdogs of 5 points. The main reason I'm not taking them is because one of my filters (thanks to Boston College) is to not count on a bad team to cover. DePaul is 8-18 and may give up if they get behind, especially this late in the season.

  14. #14
    Birdman557
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    Depaul: I'd stay away, garbage game of the year hands down.

  15. #15
    Birdman557
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    Braska down 15+ all fukking game, at 2 points with 1 min to go, GOGOGO!!!

  16. #16
    Birdman557
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    Braska +1.5 WINNAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!

  17. #17
    QuantumLeap
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    Quote Originally Posted by Birdman557 View Post
    Braska +1.5 WINNAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!
    Wow!!!!


  18. #18
    iloseagain
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    Quote Originally Posted by Birdman557 View Post
    Braska down 15+ all fukking game, at 2 points with 1 min to go, GOGOGO!!!
    wow penn st wins by 1

    edit: oh shit nvm thought u had PK haha

  19. #19
    QuantumLeap
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    Stanford +1 over USC

    Stanford 13-12 are 2-5 in their last 7.
    USC are 19-8.

    This looks TGTBT. Take the Trees.

  20. #20
    iloseagain
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    depaul up 17 at half

  21. #21
    QuantumLeap
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    Quote Originally Posted by QuantumLeap View Post
    I was also looking at San Diego +14 1/2 but it's hard to look at a line that large and say it's TGTBT. Still, I DID take St. John's at +11 against Seton Hall last Sunday. Hmmmm...
    Looks like they aren't folding (down by 8 at the half) so I put some House Money from the IPFW win on USD +6 for the 2nd half. I think they can give it a go and maybe pull within a few points even if Gonzaga pulls away at the end. This will NOT count as a TGTBT pick.

  22. #22
    Miavia
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    Quote Originally Posted by QuantumLeap View Post
    Stanford +1 over USC

    Stanford 13-12 are 2-5 in their last 7.
    USC are 19-8.

    This looks TGTBT. Take the Trees.
    Damn I wished I had jumped on this...

  23. #23
    iloseagain
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    great call on stanford. zaga pulled away big time

  24. #24
    posey_mvp
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    I noticed your pretty good at seeing these angles for these type of games.. Whatever it is, keep up the great work. :-)

  25. #25
    QuantumLeap
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    Quote Originally Posted by Birdman557 View Post
    Depaul: I'd stay away, garbage game of the year hands down.
    DePaul covers by 3 but I took your advice here. They lead large at half and almost pissed away this game. I'm glad I stayed away.

    Thanks for the input.

  26. #26
    QuantumLeap
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    Quote Originally Posted by iloseagain View Post
    great call on stanford. zaga pulled away big time
    Thanks. Sometimes it's not just knowing when to bet but when to stay away. Did you see that Providence got beat badly in a rerun of the SIU game? Thanks for the input. It helped keep me away from taking Providence.


  27. #27
    QuantumLeap
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    Quote Originally Posted by posey_mvp View Post
    I noticed your pretty good at seeing these angles for these type of games.. Whatever it is, keep up the great work. :-)
    Thanks posey. I'm going to be going to a stock investment seminar. They don't teach you how to pick stocks. They teach you how to see which stocks the major investors are taking so you can invest in them as well. They tell you that the major investors seldom make losing investments.

    I liken what I'm doing here to that. I don't see which teams have an advantage. I learn to see what the linesmakers put out as traps to get people to bet big on lines that don't win and then I bet the opposite.

  28. #28
    QuantumLeap
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    Quote Originally Posted by QuantumLeap View Post
    Stanford +1 over USC

    Stanford 13-12 are 2-5 in their last 7.
    USC are 19-8.

    This looks TGTBT. Take the Trees.
    This game was never in doubt.

    Today: 1-0

    This week: 4-3
    Points Awarded:

    iloseagain gave QuantumLeap 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  29. #29
    Birdman557
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    Poster of the week hands down

  30. #30
    QuantumLeap
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    Quote Originally Posted by Birdman557 View Post
    Poster of the week hands down
    Thanks. I think I'm going to start calling you "Omaha" from now on. Lol.

  31. #31
    Birdman557
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    Quote Originally Posted by QuantumLeap View Post
    Thanks. I think I'm going to start calling you "Omaha" from now on. Lol.

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